Percentum's Tips

[Percentum]

I'm returning from a long spell. Have spent much time seduced by exotics - good when they arrive but not fussed on the droughts in between.
These should be backed win only.
Earlier research produced about 16% profit on turnover based on about 2000 races. The strike rate was around 18%.
Top pick (first horse listed) made about 25% on turnover in that workout.
Bets are in fields of 13-14 (top 2) and 15+ (top 3).
Recent good winner was Doonan Dancer ($100+ in NSW) . Needless to say, I was doing my own thing trying to wring something out of trifectas and missed it. that's what happens when you're a greedy old turnip squeezer.
There can be frustrating runs -well, show me a method where there aren't. Apologies for Jack's Tip - it seemed funny at the time.

Sydney
R2 4 and 13
R8 5, 11 and 4

Brisbane
R2 1 and 3
R5 8, 5 and 15
R6 3 and 8
R7 6 and 11
R8 14 and 7

Adelaide
R3 1 and 6

New Zealand
R6 16 and 2
R7 4 and 8
R8 4 and 13

Good Luck everyone!

[Percentum]

R6 8, 9 and 4
R7 3, 14 and 5
R9 12 and 2

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Bets 32
Outlay $32
Return (NSW TAB) $22.8
Progressive: loss of $9.2

[Percentum]

Canberra
R6 14 and 12

Murray Bridge
R7 5, 2 and 3
R8 4 and 10

Swan Hill
R6 3 and 2
R7 4 and 1
R8 1 and 7
R9 1 and 9

Launceston
R6 1 and 3

Western Australia
R8 9, 7 and 2

Good Luck

[Percentum]

Summary for Sunday 4 December 2005

Bets 22
Outlay $22
Return (NSW TAB) $40.4

Progressive
Outlay $54
Return $63.2
Profit $9.2

[wesmip1]

Percentum,

Nice results today.

Do you use level staking in the races ? What if there is a short priced fav ?

[Percentum]

Thanks Wes
Unfortunately I find it difficult to bet race by race due to time constraints and also because I don't think I've got the temperament so what I list here are the raw mechanical figures based on flat level stakes. I'm not a staking plan man (more through ignorance than research or insight). I think the thing to do with these if you can bet race by race is to set yourself a minimum price and bet only when overs are available. I used to sit and watch my top 3 and bet top 2 at 15/1 or better and 3rd at 25/1 or better. As you know, if you look at the results panel on any Sunday, there aren't too many winners over 15/1 on any given day so there were many days when I'd sit all day for a few bets and no return. In the long run I was doing okay but it wasn't fun. This method is the most reliable mechanical thing I've come up with myself. I went through about 7000 races using my ratings method and found that profitability only started when the field size was 13+. Strike rates were slightly diminished but the profitability was there because of the better prices available in bigger, more open fields. I've spent a few years trying to make money out of the exotics but find them most frustrating and I chopped and changed. A few weeks after giving away boxing my top 4 in fields of 15+ the Doonan Dancer trifecta lobbed paying $27 000 (rated 3-1-4). Missing out on this, I did a giant dummy spit on the exotics (although I still have a go on about 20 Group and Listed races a year).

[Percentum]

I notice Jack's Tip has been erased from here. Fair dinkum, Jack will be upset.

[Percentum]

What happened to the Joe Keating thread? First Jack (who, incidentally, is inconsolable) and now Joe. I was interested in the field size observations for reasons that have now been deposited in history's dustbin. Does anyone know the Keating view on this matter. My experience and research show that the bigger the field, the better the profitability. That, though is betting mechanically, placing bets before jump of race one etc.

[Percentum]

Sorry these are late. Unfortunately work sometimes interferes with life's important pursuits.
Gawler
R7 5 and 6
R8 1, 5 and 11

Brisbane
R6 12 (each way) Rose Hussar

Good Luck everyone.

[Percentum]

7 units out for zero return today.
Progressive

Outlay $61
Return $63.2
Profit / Loss +$2.2

[wesmip1]

Percentum,

Seemed like a bad today. I had 5 bets for only 1 winner.

Lets hope it improves tommorrow.

[Percentum]

Yes Wes. My research that is the basis of my ratings method was done on metropolitan races only so I probably should stick to them. I can't think of a logical reason why they shouldn't succeed midweek, however. Anyway, you've been going really well and there's always a downside in this game.
Cheers

[Percentum]

I have that feeling of optimistic enthusiasm today. Lots of big fields all harbouring potential long priced winners. Our two major characteristics as punters - optimism and resilience.

(I like Jim Killen's description of all the discarded losing tickets lying around or flying around a racetrack when the final race has been run...'the litter of optimism'.)

Anyway, for what they're worth, here are my tips for today.

Sydney
R4 9 and 1
R7 1 and 2
R8 8, 2 and 5)

Melbourne
R6 12 and 1

Brisbane
R2 3 and 6
R3 1, 9 and 12
R4 1 and 7
R5 10, 14 and 3
R6 9, 1 and 12
R7 1, 8 and 14

New Zealand
R3 5 and 9
R9 15 and 6
R10 2, 9 and 10
R11 3, 8 and 16
R12 5, 11 and 10

Stony Creek
R9 15 and 8

Good luck everyone.
Perth thoughts will be posted after scratchings. An exciting day there.

[Percentum]

Perth
R2 5 and 10
R6 11,5 and 4
R7 3 and 1
R8 14, 15 and 11

[Percentum]

Progressive Results
To 10 December 2005

Today
Outlay $50
Return $38.1

Progressive
Outlay $111
Return $101.3
Loss $9.7 (NSW TAB)

A lot of short priced winners today for the type of race I am targetting.

[Percentum]

Cowra
R7 2 and 11

Ballarat
R7 2 and 6
R9 5, 2 and 3

[Percentum]

Progressive Results to 11 December 2005

Today
Outlay $7
Return $15.4

Progressive
Outlay $118
Return $116.7
Loss of $1.3

[wesmip1]

Percentum,

Nice work today. I had a quick look at your tips and noticed if you drop off your Saturday tips you are going quite well (with a nice POT).

Keep it going as I have been checking these each time you post.

Good Luck.

[Percentum]

Townsville
R6 9 and 3

Tamworth
R8 1 and 2

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Results For Tuesday 13 December 2005

Outlay $4
Return nil

Progressive
Bets 122
Outlay $122
Return $116.7
Loss $5.3

[Percentum]

Rosehill
R7 1 and 2

Sandown
R6 11, 6 and 5

Port Lincoln
R8 7 and 9

Pinjarra
R3 3, 2 and 9

Whatever you're on good luck.

[Percentum]

Outlay Today $10
Return ziltch

Progressive
Outlay $132
Return
$116.7

Can't buy a winner. Oh well.

[Percentum]

Geraldton
R4 4 and 5
R5 1 and 5
R7 4 and 5
R8 2 and 4

[Percentum]

Today

Outlay $8 Return $20.3

Progressive
Outlay $140
Return $137
Progressive Loss of $3

[Percentum]

These are all win only:

New Zealand
R1 5 and 16
R7 8, 16 and 1
R10 1 and 4

Sydney
R6 7, 3 and 21

Melbourne
R6 10 and 12
R8 1 and 15
R9 13 and 5

Brisbane
R1 8, 3 and 2
R3 5 and 9
R4 3 and 2
R5 5 and 7
R6 7, 14 and 15
R7 9 and 11
R8 16, 7 and 19

[wesmip1]

Good Luck today.... nice win yesterday.

[Percentum]

Outlay $33
Return $47.2 (NSW TAB)

Divs:
S6 Aqua D'Amore $8.1
M8 Vainsky $1 (late scr)
NZ7 Alkicita $18.5
B5 A Little Naughty $5.3
B6 Strawberry Malt $7.5
B7 High Academy $6.8


Progressive Results
Outlay ($1 win bets) = $173
Return (NSW TAB divs) = $184.2
Overall profit = $11.2
Profit on turnover = 6.4%

[Percentum]

These are win only:

Cranbourne
R10 4 and 7

Sunshine Coast
R3 6 and 5
R4 1 and 7
R8 2, 7 and 10

Horsham
R5 9 and 3
R8 1 and 2
R9 2 and 4

Launceston
R6 1 and 2
R9 4 and 3

Bunbury
R7 2 and 7

[Percentum]

Today's Bets

Outlay = $21
Return = $15.5

Winners
Sunshine Coast R8 Holy Lover $3.8
Horsham R8 Great Steps $5.7
Launceston R9 Miewa's Quest $6

Progressive Results
Bets = 194
Outlay = $194
Return = $199.7
Profit $5.7

[Percentum]

These are win only:

Sale
R8 10 and 2

Narromine
R6 14 and 7
R7 3 and 5

Cessnock
R7 3 and 5

Good Luck!

[Percentum]

Outlay = $8
Return = $1
Divs:
Cessnock R7 Tondano $1 (scratched)

Progressive
Bets = 202
Outlay = $202
Return = $200.7
Loss = $1.3

[Percentum]

Wangaratta
R6 4 and 1
R8 3 and 8

[Percentum]

Outlay $4
Return nil

Progressive:
Outlay $206
Return $200.7
Loss $5.3

[Percentum]

These are win only:

Strathalbyn
R7 5, 3 and 4

Ascot
R7 1, 5 and 12

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Bets 6
Outlay $6
Return $11.4

Winners
Strathalbyn R7 Stage Boy $6.7
Ascot R7 Early Express $4.7

Progressive
Bets 212
Outlay $212
Return $212.1

Comments:
#1 Wow! Ten cents profit!
# Both winners were top picks (horses are listed in rated order)

[Percentum]

These are win only:

Tamworth
R8 1 and 3

Pinjarra
R3 1 and 12
R4 1, 11 and 3
R5 7, 2 and 5
R7 10, 2 and 16

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Bets 13
Outlay $13
Return $9.8

Winners
Tamworth R8 Search For Glory $2.8

Pinjarra R5 Classic Quarters $7.0

Progressive
Bets 225
Outlay $225
Return $221.9
Loss $3.1

[Percentum]

Lismore

R8 7 and 3

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Today's Bets

Bets 2
Outlay $2
Return nil

Progressive
Bets 227
Outlay $227
Return $221.9
Overall Losing $5.1

[Percentum]

These are win only:

Sydney
R4 2 and 4

Melbourne
R6 10, 9 and 5
R8 14 and 2

Brisbane
R7 1 and 11
R8 7 and 3

Gawler
R8 5, 6 and 1

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Today

Bets = 14
Outlay $14
Return $1.8

Progressive
Bets = 241
Outlay = $241
Return = $223.7
Loss $17.3

[Percentum]

These are win only)

New Zealand (Ellerslie)
R4 11 and 12
R6 1, 9 and 11
R9 5 and 2

Launceston
R4 3 and 2
R5 6 and 4
R6 4 and 8
R7 13 and 12
R8 10 and 11

Randwick
R5 10 and 4

Melbourne
R8 5 and 12

Brisbane (Eagle Farm)
R1 10, 2 and 14
R2 1 and 12
R3 4 and 15
R5 10, 22 and 19
R7 2 and 8
R8 1 and 6

Adelaide
R6 5 and 9
R7 2, 3 and 8

Good punting.

[Percentum]

Ascot
R7 12, 6 and 2
R8 5 and 2

[Percentum]

Bets 45
Outlay $45
Return $31.7

Progressive
Bets = 272
Outlay = $272
Return = $253.6
Loss = $18.4

Yesterday's Winners
NZR6 Shikoba $4.6
BR8 House of Woodwinds $11.1
AR7 Royal Ida $4.8
TR4 Yep $4.2
TR5 Irish Joker $7.0

[Percentum]

These are win only:

Coffs Harbour
R7 7 and 8

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Outlay $2
Return nil


Progressive

Bets = 274
Outlay = $274
Return = $253.6
Loss = $20.4

[Percentum]

These are win only:

Melbourne
R8 14 and 9

Bunbury
R6 2 and 7
R7 1 and 9

Good punting.

[Percentum]

Today

Bets = 6
Outlay = $6
Return = $5.1

Winners
MR8 Footy $5.1

Progressive
Bets = 280
Outlay = $280
Return = $258.7
Loss $21.3

[Percentum]

Ellerslie
R3 12, 9 and 16
R5 14, 12 and 4

Kilmore
R6 2, 4 and 5

Naracoorte
R8 1 and 5

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Bets = 7
Outlay = $7
Return = nil

Note 4 late scratchings (Kilmore R6 no 2, NZR3 nos 9 and 12, NZR5 no4)

Progressive
Bets 287
Outlay $287
Reurn $258.7
Loss $28.3

Exasperating run of outs continues. Runs like this lead to massive self doubt. A fairly exhaustive workout showed that the selection method I'm using was profitable. Maintaining faith while going through a period such as is presently the case is difficult.

[slowman]

chin up mate ...at least you have the guts to stand by yourself.
..................cheers......slowman................

[wesmip1]

Percentum,

I have had a bad run in the last 3 days as well althought I did edge out a profit today.

It will come good again in the new year.

Good Luck.

[Percentum]

Thanks Slowman and Wes. Hopefully I can make some inroads today.

Canberra
R7 5 and 11

Toowoomba
R1 7 and 4
R4 8 and 2

Good luck all.

[Percentum]

Bets = 6
Outlay = $6
Return = $2.6
Loss = $3.4

Winner
St Angelo $2.6

Progressive
Bets = 293
Outlay = $293
Reurn = $261.3
Loss = $31.7

[Percentum]

Very poor fare today. Two of my bettable races are maidens, though all with exposed form. Anyway, see what happens.

New Zealand
R6 2 and 5

Doomben
R3 11 and 4

Toowoomba
R6 5 and 1

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Pinjarra (WA)
R5 2 and 4
R6 13 and 8
R7 3 and 5
R8 11 and 10

Good luck and even better luck in the new year.

[Percentum]

Bets = 14
Outlay = $14
Return = $25.1

Winners
B3 Babinda Half $3.1
Pinjarra
R5 Lyric Writer $6.6
R7 Dainty Halo $15.4

Progressive
Bets = 307
Outlay = $307
Return = $286.4
Loss $20.6

[Percentum]

These are win only:

Inverell
R3 1 and 3
R7 5 and 12

New Zealand
R5 6, 8 and 4
R6 9 and 1
R7 22, 2, 7 and 16
R8 7 and 8

Good luck everybody.

[Percentum]

These are win only:

Sunshine Coast
R7 4 and 11

Ascot
R3 10 and 1
R6 2, 10 and 6
R7 8 and 2
R8 2, 3 and 20

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Bets = 27
Outlay = $27
Return = $19.9
Loss = $7.1


Winners
NZ
Pentane = $3.9
Shinkobu = $2.5
Zarius = $9.6
Baldesarini = $3.9


Progressive
Bets = 334
Outlay = $334
Return = $306.3
Loss = $27.7

[Percentum]

These are win only:

Sydney
R6 7 and 4

Melbourne
R6 16, 4 and 10

Gold Coast
R7 6, 19 and 9

Adelaide
R8 4 and 12

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Bets = 10
Outlay = $10
Return = $2.1

Winner
Tommifrancs $2.1

Progressive
Bets = 344
Outlay = $344
Return = $308.4
Loss = $35.6

[Percentum]

These are win only:

Brisbane
R3 11, 13 and 1

Punters' Prayer
The thought of one getting under our guard or being missed is a constant worry to we punters. This prayer may allow some of us to sleep less restlessly at night.

Now I lay me down to sleep
I pray the Lord my soul to keep
If I should die before I wake
Put five bucks on number eight.

[Percentum]

Bets = 3
Outlay = $3
Return = $1.8

Winner Jachaze $1.8

Progressive
Bets = 347
Outlay = $347
Return = $310.2
Loss = $36.8

[Percentum]

Rockhampton
R7 8, 3 and 15

New Zealand
R5 5 and 8
R6 1 and 9

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Bets = 7
Outlay = $7
Return = $8.0

Winner
NZ6 Morgan Rose 8.0

Progressive
Bets = 354
Outlay = $354
Return = $318.2
Loss = $35.8

[Percentum]

Doomben
R1 14 and 6
R4 5 and 14
R7 3, 17 and 8
R8 17 and 12

Morphettville
R7 1, 6 and 3

Sandown
R6 6 and 2

New Zealand
R8 12 and 3
R10 8 and 9
R11 1 and 9

Gold Coast
R3 1 and 6

Good luck.

[Percentum]

These are tips for the later meetings today:

Sydney
R8 1 and 6

Toowoomba
R1 3, 1 and 5
R4 2 and 4
R5 2 and 1
R7 7, 1 and 2

Ascot
R6 9 and 3
R8 6, 15 and 18

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Bets 39
Outlay $39
Return $18.2

Progressive
Bets 393
Outlay $393
Return $336.4
Loss $56.6

Yesterday's winners

NZ
Kingsinga $2.0
Year of the Cat $11.5

Toowoomba
R7 Abandoned - $3 refund

Sydney
Snowden $1.7

[Percentum]

Hobart
R4 7 and 11
R7 11 and 13

Bairnsdale
R3 7 and 3
R5 1 and 9
R9 1 and 5

Geelong
R4 4 and 2
R6 4, 5 and 8

Sunshine Coast
R4 11 and 12
R8 11 and 8

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Pinjarra
R5 2 and 12
R6 3 and 7
R7 8 and 4

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Second here, second ther, second every b* where - I give up I think. NZ racing runs rings around the sort of stuff dished up to us . I haven't worked out a method of evaluating the merit of a horse running 3rd in a field of 5 which is the kind of stuff one has to be thinking about when trying to evaluate local form. Third of 18 says more I think. Anyway, good luck to you all. Long termers will have seen many such fading stars on this forum, no doubt.

[Percentum]

I'm again resuming from a spell but will carry on from previous results. All results are based on $1 win bet on NSW TAB.
Trentham
R7 2, 3, 8 and 12
R9 10, 12, 15 and 17

Caulfield
R6 3 and 10
R8 5 and 6

Eagle Farm
R4 7 and 10
R5 1, 3, 12 and 13

Good Luck

[Percentum]

Going back through these results I have eliminated all non-metropolitan meetings and done the figures for Saturday's only as that was the basis of my original research. I kept trying to make a profit including midweeks and Sundays but didn't succeed doing this. Taking Saturdays only into account the figures before yesterday read 182 bets, outlay on win only bets $182, return $153.2, loss of $28.8. I'll continue listing Saturday's only and any jumping races.

Results for Saturday 26 January 2008

Bets = 18
Outlay = $18
Return = 22.6
Win $4.6
Winners: Young Centaur ($8.8), Doug's Mate ($1.8), Absolute Glam ($12.0)

Progressive

Bets = 200
Outlay = $200
Return = $175.8
Loss = $24.2

[Percentum]

These are win only:

WINGATUI
R3 1 and 4
R4 5, 7, 9 and 10

TE RAPA
R4 11 and 15

DOOMBEN
R1 1, 5, 6 and 7
R5 1, 2, 11 and 17

ADELAIDE
R6 3, 9, 11 and 14
R8 3 and 4

Good luck.

[Percentum]

These results are for win only bets on NSW TAB:

Bets = 22
Outlay = $22
Return = $27.5
Win $5.5

Winners:
Je Suis Presse (NZ) $15.0; Keepolaria $6.5 (NZ); To A Fault (SA) $6.0

Progressive:
Bets = 222
Outlay = $222
Return = $203.3
Losing $18.7

[Percentum]

These are win only.

Te Rapa
R2 5, 6, 13 and 15

Hobart
R1 4 and 6
R2 5 and 14
R4 3, 10, 11 and 12
R8 2, 3, 8 and 10
R10 3 and 10

Adelaide
R3 2, 5, 7 and 9
R4 1, 2, 9 and 10
R6 8, 10, 12 and 17

Doomben
R8 10 and 17

Caulfield
R4 3, 6, 8 and 11
R6 1 and 5
R7 4, 6, 13 and 14

[Percentum]

Saturday's Results

Bets = 42
Outlay = $42
Return = $28.2
Loss = $13.8

Winners:
Believe 'n Succeed (Caulfield) $11.0
Peacemaker (Morphettville) $5.1
Little Oro $2.5, Blitzem $4.1, Molopo $5.5 (Hobart)

Progressive
Bets = 264
Outlay = $264
Return = $231.5
Loss = $32.5

[Percentum]

These are win only:

Moe
R1 no 3

Hobart
R7 2, 3, 7 and 10
R8 2, 5, 9 and 13

Bets today in both Hobart listed races and Moe hurdle.

[Percentum]

Bets = 10
Outlay $10
Return $2.9
Winner = Offenbach $2.9

Progressive

Bets = 274
Outlay = $274
Return = $234.4
Loss = $39.6

[Percentum]

These bets are win only.
AVONDALE
R5 1, 2, 9 and 13

ADELAIDE
R6 5, 7, 11 and 16

MOE
R1 6
R2 2
R3 8

CAULFIELD
R2 6 and 8
R5 3, 4, 5 and 7

SYDNEY
R7 5 and 7

BRISBANE
R1 1, 2, 5 and 7
R2 8 and 12
R6 1, 8, 14 and 15
R8 3 and 13

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Bets = 31
Outlay = $31
Return = $28.10
Loss = $2.90
Winners: Isti Bee = $6.1; My Limit = $17.3 Hissing Sid = $4.7

Progressive
Bets = 305
Outlay = $305
Return = $262.5
Loss = $42.5

[Percentum]

HAMILTON
R3 no7 WHEEL THE LEAD (win only)

[Percentum]

These are win only:
FOXTON
R3 4 and 11
R6 3, 4, 5 and 11
R7 5 and 13
R9 5, 7 and 11
R10 1, 5, 7 and 10

TE RAPA
R3 9, 11, 13 and 14
R4 2, 4, 10 and 15
R5 7, 8, 13 and 15
R6 4 and 8
R7 7, 9 and 15
R8 1, 3, 10 and 13

Moonee Valley
R2 3 and 9
R3 3
R5 7 and 13
R6 2 and 3
R7 7 and 9
R8 5 and 10

DOOMBEN
R4 4 and 13

ADELAIDE
R1 8
R5 6 and 11
Good luck.

[Percentum]

These are win only:
R6 11, 18, 9 and 3
R8 10 and 13
R9 6 and 12
Good luck.

[Percentum]

Bets = 61 (includes Wheel The Lead last Sunday)
Outlay $61
Return = $83.8

Winners

FOXTON
The Kiss ($2.6) and Fourcast ($6.1)

TE RAPA
Brompton ($13.8), Strapped For Cash ($11.7) Oriental Lad ($12.7)

MOONEE VALLEY
Tranquility Base ($4.4) In The Shadows ($5.3) Stavka ($2.7)

BELMONT PARK
Battle Emblem ($7.8) Escadaire ($16.7)

Progressive
BETS = 366
OUTLAY = $366
RETURN = $346.7
LOSS $19.3

A few nice exotics today Brompton Exacta $429; one of the NZ running doubles paid $262. Hope you had some.

[Percentum]

These are win only:


Ballarat

R1 no 1 Pasco
R2 no 5 In Detention

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Bets = 2
Outlay = $2
Return = $10.4

Winners:
BALLARAT
R1 Pasco ($3.1)
R2 In Detention ($7.3)

Progressive

Bets = 368
Outlay = $368
Return = $357.1
Loss = $9.9

[Percentum]

Win only:

SANDOWN
R1 no 3

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Bets = 1
Outlay = $1
Return = $2.9
Winner = Pentagon ($2.9)

Progressive
Bets = $369
Outlay = $369
Return = $360
Loss = $9

(Note error in previous summary: Loss should have been $10.9 not $9.9)

[Percentum]

These are win only:
ROSEHILL
R5 2 and 13
R7 1 and 13

CAULFIELD
R2 4, 5, 10 and 16
R3 12 and 13
R7 1 and 2
R8 6 and 11

Doomben
R4 5, 14, 15, 16
R8 8, 10, 11, 12

ADELAIDE
R1 4
R2 1
R7 1 and 6

PERTH
R4 4, 5, 6 and 11
R9 4, 5, 14 and 17

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Bets = 32
Outlay = $32
Return = $41.7

Winners: Isti Bee ($1.6) Tempest Tost ($37.2) Offer It Up ($2.9)

Progressive

Bets = 401
Outlay = $401
Return = $401.7
Profit = $0.70

[Percentum]

These are win only:

HAMILTON
R1 7
R2 3
R3 5

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Bets = 3
Outlay = $3
Return = $2.6

Winner: Ponce ($2.60)

Progressive
Bets = 404
Outlay = $404
Return = $404.3
Profit $0.30

[Percentum]

Win only:

BALLARAT
R1 4 (Periomen)

[tevez17]

Cheers mate... ended up good value...

[Percentum]

Thanks Tev. I'm surprised at the price too. Love the jumps. They've got character. You can witness a little drama unfolding watching these races.
To all the knockers, they might consider that if the jumps weren't available to some of these stoic gallopers, they would still be going past a winning post but at Wentworth Park.

Bets = 1
Outlay = $1
Return = $4.7

Winner = Periomen ($4.7)

Progressive
Bets = 405
Outlay = $405
Return = $409
Profit = $4

[Percentum]

These are win only:
Normally I won't be putting up tips midweek unless it's a 'Saturday' type of meeting (i.e. major group or listed country cups in Spring etc) or a jumping race (basically the same pool of horses Saturdays and midweek). I've done Riccarton today as it's the postponed meeting from last Saturday.

RICCARTON
R3 4 and 5
R5 4
R6 1, 2, 9 and 15
R7 2 and 4
R9 2, 7, 16 and 18

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Bets = 13
Outlay = $13
Return = $20.1

Winners
Yanna Marie ($2.0)
Ima Akbar ($2.8)
Shamrock Star ($15.3) (n.b. paid $38.9 on NZTAB)

Progressive
Bets = 418
Outlay = $418
Return = $429.1
Profit = $11.1

[Percentum]

These are win only:
MATAMATA
R1 7
R2 3
R4 4


COFFS HARBOUR
R7 1, 5, 6 and 14

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Bets = 7
Outlay = $7
Return = $4.4

Winner = Belmonte $4.4

Progressive
Bets = 425
Outlay = $425
Return = $433.5
Profit = $8.5

[Percentum]

Back these win only:

RICCARTON
R1 1
R4 12
R6 5, 10 and 17
R7 4
R9 7 and 12
R10 1, 3, 5 and 10

Good luck.

[Percentum]

These are win only:

FLEMINGTON
R3 1, 3, 13 and 14
R5 2, 5, 12 and 13
R8 3, 5, 10 and 16

EAGLE FARM
R1 1 and 7
R2 3 and 11
R3 1, 6, 11 and 15
R5 1, 12, 14 and 15

MORPHETTVILLE
R6 2 and 12

WARRNAMBOOL
R1 9
R2 4
R3 2

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Bets = 41
Outlay = $41
Return = $15.8

Winners
Equivocal ($2.5) Regal Castanea ($2.5) Taken At The Flood ($1.9)
Gracious Curves ($2.6) Propel ($6.3)

Progressive
Bets = 466
Outlay = $466
Return = $449.3
Loss = $16.7

[the raven]

i take the free tips from different highly performing websites eg trb and punters paradise and i bet progressively till i win and get small profit. i started with $100 in february and now i have $689. i bet only with iasbet and austote as they have better odds than the tabs.

[Percentum]

These are win only:
CAULFIELD
R3 5 and 13
R5 3, 8 and 11
R7 1, 2, 8 and 16
R8 3, 4, 9 and 10

ADELAIDE
R3 6
R4 1

DOOMBEN
R5 5, 7, 8 and 14
R8 1, 2, 3 and 9

OTAKI
R9 5 and 6

TE RAPA
R1 1 and 4
R6 5 and 6
R10 1 and 3

Good luck.

Raven, I take it you're alluding to some sort of staking plan. These sorts of things make me nervous. I remember reading about some fabulous staking plan invented by university students (who else?) at the casino in Monte Carlo (where else?) where you crossed off numbers (or something like that) and as soon as you got a winner you were in front by $1. Logically you could play both heads and tails on a coin toss and finish in front in each column, albeit only by $1 per series. Amazed at my discovery I quickly pulled out some paper, ruled up some lovely columns and started a workout. For several pages I did marvellously, pocketing my $1s. Unfortunately I hit a run of outs, tossing 37 heads in a row. My hypothetical bet to get square in the tails column was up around the gross national product of a small Central American country. Even though it was hypothetical I was sweating and experiencing shortness of breath and chest pains. Since that day I've never trusted staking plans. Good on you if yours is working and you're comfortable with it.
The thing to do with any set of tips is to set yourself some price rules and bet only at your minimum price or better. This, of course, requires you to have the time available to you to do this.

[Percentum]

I forgot to put in my Sydney tips today.

ROSEHILL
R6 2, 6, 9 and 15
R7 2 and 11

They're win only, of course.
Good luck.

[Percentum]

Bets = 36
Outlay = $36
Return = $8.9

Progressive
Bets = 502
Outlay = $502
Retirn = $458.2
Loss = $43.8

[Percentum]

These are win only:

ELLERSLIE
R4 3
R5 9
R6 4 and 5
R7 2

PUKEKURA
R8 5 and 8

WARWICK FARM
R7 2, 3, 14 and 17

MOONEE VALLEY
R5 5 and 6
R7 10 and 13
R8 4 and 5

DOOMBEN
R5 3, 6, 13 and 14
R7 10 and 11

ADELAIDE
R3 3 and 4

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Bets = 25
Outlay = $25
Return = $12.5
Winners: Double or Nothing ($4.2) Oakbank Heights ($8.3)

Progressive:
Bets = 527
Outlay = $527
Return = $470.7
Loss = $56.3

[Percentum]

CASTERTON
R1 5
R4 4

KALGOORLIE
R6 6 and 15

TAREE
R6 1, 2, 15 and 16

Win only.

[Percentum]

Bets = 8
Outlay = $8
Return = $9.8

Winners: One Sandwich Short ($2.8) With A Chance ($7.0)

Progressive:
Bets = 535
Outlay = $535
Return = $480.5
Loss = $54.5

[Percentum]

Records kept are for win only bets.

Lismore
R7 4 and 9
R8 3 and 5
R9 8 and 10

Bairnsdale
R8 2, 3 and 14
R9 10 and 15

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Bets = 11
Outlay = $11
Return = $4.0

Winner = Going Fine ($4.0)

Progressive
Bets = 546
Outlay = $546
Return = $484.5
Loss = $61.5

[Percentum]

Records kept are for win only bets:

Moonee Valley
R1 4

CANTERBURY
R6 3 and 7

MURRAY BRIDGE
R5 2, 4, 9 and 10

[Percentum]

Bets = 7
Outlay = $7
Return = $13.8

Winner: MUSTY $13.8

Progressive

Bets = 553
Outlay = $553
Return = $498.3
Loss = $54.7

[Percentum]

Records kept are for win only bets.

FOXTON
R4 9
R5 2

Good luck.

[Percentum]

Yesterday
Outlay = $2
Return = $2.50

Progress ive
Bets 555
Outlay = $555
Return = $500.8
Loss = $54.2

Today's Tips (Friday 29 August 2008)

Oamaru
R2 3
R4 3

[Percentum]

UPDATE
Friday
Outlay = $2
Return = $0

Progressive:
Bets 557
Outlay = $557
Return = $500.8
Loss = $56.2

HASTINGS RACES Saturday 30 August 2008

R1 2, 7, 11 and 13
R2 7 and 12
R5 2 and 5
R8 4, 9, 10 and 12
R9 4, 7, 9 and 10

Results posted are for win only bets.
Good luck.

[Percentum]

ROSEHILL
R1 4 and 11
R5 2 and 16
R6 11 and 14
R7 13 and 14
R8 3 and 4
R9 7 and 14

CAULFIELD
R2 7 and 13
R5 6, 11 and 14
R6 6, 9 and 11
R8 8 and 12

DOOMBEN
R5 7 and 10
R6 7 and 8
R8 3 and 7

CHELTENHAM
R1 3
R9 3, 5, 8 and 14

BELMONT 2 and 15

Records kept are for win only bets.
Good luck.

[Percentum]

Saturday
Bets = 50
Outlay = $50
Return = $36

Winners
Charming Rogue $3.7
Hairy $8.1
Weekend Hussler $1.7
Friendly Embrace $8.6
Deacon $2.2
Her Alibi $5.6
Cassandra Shadow $6.1
Bopalula = $1.0 (late scratching)

Progressive
Bets = 607
Outlay = $607
Return = $536
Loss = $71

Tips Sunday 31 August 2008

Kalgoorlie
R2 1 and 12
R6 8, 10 and 13
R7 1 and 7

Ballina
R5 2 and 7
R6 4 and 9
R9 5 and 8

Warrnambool
R1 3

Results shown are for win only bets.
Good luck.







Bet

[Percentum]

Sunday 31 August
Bets: 14
Outlay: $14
Return: 0

Progressive:
Bets 621
Outlay $621
Return $536
Loss $85

[Percentum]

SYDNEY
R2 10 and 9
R4 8 and 5
R8 1 and 5
R9 9 and 10

BRISBANE
R4 10 and 7
R8 4, 3, 14 and 17

ADELAIDE
R1 2
R5 6 and 8
R6 5 and 12
R7 7, 13, 8 and 17

MELBOURNE
R4 11 and 1
R6 10 and 2
R7 10 and 2
R8 2, 14 and 15
R9 13 and 10

AWAPUNI
R6 9, 6, 14 and 5
R7 1 and 10
R8 5, 18, 1, 3

Win only.

[Percentum]

Saturday 13 Sept
Bets 44
Outlay $44
Return $14.8
Winners: Turfstar $11.2 Dynamic Hero $3.6

Progressive
Bets = 665
Outlay = $665
Return $550.8
Loss $114.2

Tips Thursday 18 Sept 2008

NEWCASTLE
R1 1 and 5
R3 5, 6, 7 and 16
R5 9 and 13
R7 2, 6 and 13
R8 11, 15 and 16

Results are for win only bets (NSW TAB)

[Percentum]

HASTINGS
r1 3 and 14
R3 10, 8, 11 and 2
R5 4, 6, 17, 9
R8 2 and 5
R10 16, 7, 9, 10

RICCARTON
R8 7, 9, 3, 10
R9 16, 12, 2, 3

CAULFIELD
1, 7, 12, 4
R5 9 and 6
R6 6 and 7
R7 18, 14, 16, 6
R8 8, 2, 9, 1
R9 10, 11, 2, 12

SYDNEY
R4 5
R8 1 and 12
R9 14 and 8

BRISBANE
R8 3, 13, 5, 1

Results shown are for win only NSW TAB.

[Percentum]

Thursday 18 September 2008

Bets = 14
Outlay = 14
Return = $17.4

Winners: Elusive Port $5.0; Bianca $5.4; Cullen Castle $7.0

Saturday 20 September 2008

Bets = 53
Outlay = $53
Return = $52.0

Winners: The Black Oak $2.5; Kovak $9.4; Metropolitan $14.8; Sunburnt Land $2.2; Weekend Hussler $1.5; Musket $6.6; My Vegas $6.7; Moppett $8.3

Progressive
Bets = 731
Outlay = $731
Return = $620.2
Loss = $110.8

[Percentum]

WARRNAMBOOL
R1 2
R2 8
R3 10
R8 2 and 11

Results are for win only bets (NSW TAB)

[Percentum]

Update Warrnambool
Outlay = $5
Return = $1.4

Winner July ($1.4)

Progressive
Bets = 736
Outlay = $736
Return = $621.6
Loss = $114.4

Saturday's Tips

Mornington R4 6, 10, 11, 15

Adelaide
R4 4 and 7
R7 6 and 9

Brisbane
R5 3, 7, 12 and 15
R7 8
R8 6 and 7

Sydney
R3 7
R6 3
R7 2, 5, 7, 18
R8 4

New Plymouth
R5 1 and 8
R10 10 and 13

Ellerslie
R7 11 and 12
R8 6 and 14

Newcastle
R8 4 and 15

Results shown are for win bets NSW TAB

[Percentum]

Bets = 32
Outlay = $32
Return = $38.3

Winners
Mistry ($15.00)
Tassie Gold ($6.10)
Queen's Kiss ($3.40)
Senorita Smiles ($11.90)
Rock Kingdom ($1.90)

Progressive
Bets = 768
Outlay = $768
Return = $659.9
Loss $108.1

Nice exacta Mornington R4 today.

[Percentum]

PORT MACQUARIE
R6 3 and 15
R7 11 and 14
R8 3 and 5

[Percentum]

Port Macquarie
Outlay = $6
Return = $13.1

Winner: Singtom ($13.1)

Progressive
Bets = 774
Outlay = $774
Return = $673
Loss $101

[Percentum]

Woodville (NZ)
R8 8, 4, 14, 5
R10 12, 7, 2, 3

Geelong
R6 13 and 8
R7 2 and 7

Results shown are for win bets NSWTAB

[Percentum]

Bets = 12
Outlay = $12
Return = $2.9

Progressive
Bets = 786
Outlay = $786
Return = $675.9
Loss = $110.1

(Based on win bets NSW TAB)

[Percentum]

Sydney
R1 6 and 9
R7 4 and 2
R8 6, 12, 16, 8, 11, 10, 3, 17, 7
R9 13 and 10
R10 4, 10, 11, 7

Melbourne
R2 6 and 2
R4 13 and 2
R6 4, 2, 13, 12
R7 11 and 8
R8 4 and 9
R9 17, 13, 1, 14
R10 9

Brisbane
R2 1 and 6
R3 2 and 8
R4 3 and 1
R5 1 and 8
R6 7, 3 and 14
R7 10, 7 and 5
R8 3 and 4

Riccarton
R4 2 and 4
R10 8 and 5
R11 14 and 16

Hastings
R5 3 and 10
R6 4 and 12
R7 16, 1, 10 and 6
R9 12, 3, 5 and 6
R10 4 and 3