Lay to liability test

[Shaun]

In the past i have tested a few lay methods but have not gone on with it.

I have another one to test so will see how far i go

Rules
1) Lays will run in race time order
2) look at the 2 Unitab tipsters polls and note the top 2 selections (it is possible to have 4 selections)
3) Look at betfair with about 15 seconds to go and note order of prices from the lay column
4) Remove the Uintab selections
5) Lay the lowest priced runner to a specified liabilty (eg $25)
6) If the runner loses your next lay amount is liability+profit-comms of last bet (eg if you got back $5 your next liability is $25+$5)
7) Run this for 3 races then stop
8) If you want to add a max price of say $10 this is fine


I will set up a sheet and post results.

[Shaun]

Looking at the first in Queanbeyan i think it best to add a minimum starters to this system of say 8

When i post results will post info on why particular races or runners were not selected so you can understand how things run.

[Shaun]

Day 1
Results

Queanbeyan R1 less then 8 Runners
Mornington Race 1 (Delete 1,4,16) Liability $25 Lay No 13@$6.4 Return $4.40
Hobart Race 1 (Delete 4,11) Liability $29.40 Lay No 7@$6 Return $5.58
Tamworth Race 1 (Delete 4,5) Liability $34.98 Lay No 6@$6 Return $6.44
Profit $16.42

[Shaun]

Day 2
Results

Gosford Race 1 less then 8 Runners
Eagle Farm Race 1 (Delete 1,4,10) Liability $25 Lay No 2@$8 Return $3.39
Randwick Race 1 less then 8 Runners
Oakbank Race 1 (Delete 1,6,7) Liability $28.39 Lay No 5@$5.4 Return $6.13
Flemington Race 1 less then 8 Runners
Swan Hill Race 1 less then 8 Runners
Godford Race 2 (Delete 4,5) Liability $34.52 Lay No 1@$4.8 Loss $25
Profit -$8.58

[Shaun]

I am going to add another rule:After deletions lay the lowest priced runner as long as it is not fav

[Shaun]

Might have to stick to my stable runners, not very good at this laying.