Testing

[michaelg]

I've been looking at another neural (this is a worry) lay and also a bet system. I won't list the rules but if any of the systems perform well I will do so.

Bet.

There's been 17 races for 7 winners returning exactly $17 on Tatts Tab and 13 placegetters returning $22.40 (a POT of 32% and a strike rate of 76%). Because the selections are high in the market I would expect/hope that Place would outperform Win

Today's selections:
Inverell 8/6
Sun Coast 4/2
H.Rock 5/1
M.Bridge 6/2
Bunbury 3/1


Lay

I haven't recorded the results but there's been about 50 selections for no accidents. Yesterday I had a very good day, there was even a fave that was unplaced. There are quite a few selections each day which appeals to me because I can lay them early in the day and don't have to be at a computer as I do when laying the field.

Mornington
5/9
7/11
8/11

Inverell
7/12

Terang
4/13
7/14

Sun Coast
3/8
7/10
8/12

H.Rock
4/7

M.Bridge
1/2
2/7
5/3
8/9

Bunbury
4/6
7/14
8/14

17 selections.

[michaelg]

From yesterday's four selections there were 2 winners paying $4.30 for the Win and $2.30 for the Place.

Today's selections:

Warwick Farm
4/2
6/1
8/3

Flemington
7/1

SapphireCoast
1/7
3/1
4/1

Naracoorte
8/9


Lay.

Yesterday's 17 selections were beaten for a profit of $10.33

Today's selections:

Bairnsdale
5/8
7/11

Flemington
1/10
2/11
3/14

Gold Coast
4/17
5/12

Naracoorte
7/11

Pinjarra
1/8

[michaelg]

Even though there was a slight profit on Place betting I am ending it because I prefer Laying.

There were 9 smiles from yesterday's 9 lay selections for a profit of $6.47.

Today's selections:

Taree
1/3 ($6.50 in the p-p market)
4/8

Townsville
1/7
6/8

Wangaratta
2/4
7/10
8/8

[michaelg]

Even though there was an accident yesterday the method is still in profit.

From today I am changing the method selection slightly so that hopefully the accidents will be much less frequent, hopefully non-existent.

However, if it fails I will most likely resume listing the selections here and the liability for one of my laying the field methods. I still do this particular method privately, and fortunately the profit is still consistent but small.


Lay:

Canterbury
2/9
5/6
7/2

Dombeen
1/8
4/8
5/9

Narrogin
9/1

Launceston
1/2
2/5
6/8

Morphetville
6/7
7/8

[michaelg]

I'm again going to lay the field here. I'll list only one race per day and see how it goes. This particular method has been providing a small profit but steady.

Albury R6

Lay for a liability of $30 - nos. 3, 5, 14
Lay for a liability of $31 - all the other horses in the race.

[michaelg]

A bad start because the fave won - a loss of $2.46.

[michaelg]

Today's lay race is Seymour R8.

Lay for $30. Nos. 1, 2, 3, 4, 11, 12.
All other horses for $31.

[michaelg]

A good day for a profit of $4.41

[michaelg]

Today's lay race.

Gold Coast R4.

Lay for $30. Nos 1, 3, 4, 6, 7, 11.
Lay for $31. All the other horses.

[michaelg]

There was a loss yesterday of $0.86. After three days of posting the selections here there is a profit of $1.18.

Because I can't identify the best race of the day I will list them


W'bool
R6
$30 - nos. 1, 3, 12, 13
$31 - others

W'bool
R8
$30 - nos. 5, 6, 9
$31 - others

Gilgandra
R8
$30 - nos. 2, 7
$31 - others

Coffs
R4
$30 - nos. 5, 9
$31 - others.

[michaelg]

Yesterday three of the four races showed a profit. Unfortunately the fave in the fourth race won for a loss of $8.03 because it paid only $2.50. The overall profit was $2.72.

One race today:

Moruya R8.

Lay $30 nos. 2,3
All others at $31