Soccer Tonight - Newcastle

[Church22]

Are newcastle a chance at all tonight?? looking for expert soccer peoples opinions

[knowledge]

Only bet I would advise is over 2.5 goals.

[dc]

Many upsets in the football so far. im going for a draw, i put it in with nalbandian [tennis] multi.

Arsenal cost me dearly so im not going straight out in this although the inviting odds.

[Floydyboy]

I backed bolton I also had a few bob on the over 2.5

[thebookie]

Go the over!!!

[thebookie]

OK, I'll have a crack at tonight's EPL game between Man City and Norwich.

Mind you I have no idea about soccer!!!

Using the last 4 years stats and a suitable form of statistical distribution (i'm sure most of you know which one) I come up with the following :

Pr <2.5 goals 0.68 or $1.47

Therefore, the suggestion is to back <2.5 goals at the $1.85 for whatever your staking plan suggests!

Let's see how we go???

You can all flame me tomorrow when it's a 5-4 goalfest and then we can try again!

[knowledge]

I say under 2.5 goals is a good bet.

[thebookie]

Cheers bro, let's hope so!

[Floydyboy]

Ive got a two or three goal scoreline and Ive traded to be all green on any reultW/L/D
My original bet was a draw (2nd leg of a doule with Bolton(w))@$10

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: Floydyboy on 2004-11-02 07:39 ]</font>

[thebookie]

Looks like we've hit form on the EPL :smile:

[Floydyboy]

My P/L tells me I havent yet recovered the weekends losses when it does then ill have struck some form .....

[Floydyboy]

I think your allowed to say where you get your stats from..... I use bet explorer how bout you

[thebookie]

EPL Home Page

[knowledge]

Floydyboy we've discussed where I get my stats/information from, but for the benefit of others I'll list them...

espnsoccernet.com
http://www.goonersguide.com
http://www.bettingzone.co.uk
http://www.betexplorer.com
bonusbetting.net
http://www.soccerstats.com

:smile:

[knowledge]

i've just seen norwich's goal... wtf were man city doing? after defending so well against Chelsea I'm very surprised to see such a defensive blunder by them.

under 2.5 goals though again.

[thebookie]

Keeper's blunder was pretty bad in the Man City goal

[thebookie]

hehehe sitting there this morning for 40mins hoping for no goal was fun!!!

You guys know the feeling...

[knowledge]

yeh I know the feeling.

When there's no money involved I get disappointed when there are no goals, when I bet on under 2.5 goals I find entertainment in poor shooting/good defending. :razz:

[thebookie]

DEFENCE DEFENCE DEFENCE!!! :wink: