Svenvlad
8th July 2006, 12:12 AM
G'Day all,
Sorry for the lateness of the thread, been out for a few tonight. Looks a good day tomorrow at EF, with rail true and track good. Fields are a good size, and the quality is still there for the most part. Lets see if we can find some winners....
Race 1 - Well this isn't a good start, hate the race. Maybe Snowcraft can do something over the longer journey. Seemed to get home OK last time (i didn't see the run) so the 1600m and EF should suit - the Monashee Mountain's are going great guns too. Albert's Return seems to be the one they want and he did win well last time, in pretty smart time. Good chance to, he won't be far off them from the good draw and if they don't pour the pressure on, he'll be right there at the end. Tayrhiana should get better with racing and a bit of ground, judging by what the trainer said (and what she did last time), but she might be a place chance tomorrow...because this isn't a great field.
Race 2 - Well, if there was more speed in this race then my selections would probably change heaps. But since all i can see is Lindalay and maybe Chasin Tail being close up, then i've got to settle on Chasin Tail. It was a dominant win last time (and they didn't forget to back him either), and altho he has more weight and is a doubt at the journey, a soft run near the lead should see him get it in this company. Strong chance for mine. Radar O'Reilly would've been my pick with another speedster in here, because he loves the EF 1600m and the 3 runs under his belt should see him cherry ripe for this assignment. Bikkie Tin Blues was a great win last time in the wet and i see that the trainer thinks there might be a few more wins in store for this bloke up here in QLD. If he keeps racing like he is at present, that might just be the case.
Race 3 - Like Muscle Up. Have liked this horse since him 1st start, and its just a shame that he couldn't pull it off last time, because he'll be fav tomorrow and will be well fancied from hereon in. Strange that McMahon has been engaged, but he was wide at Ippy last time on a hot speed and still managed to kick on well at the death. With a better run, no weight and a weak field, he should win this. William Street has a great record, but i doubt the quality of opposition he has been meeting. I'll wait until he performs well in town before i pick him on top. Having said that, he has obvious talent and should be included in multiples. Cocktail Shaker for 3rd because he is a pretty honest sort of a bloke and Smith seems to know what he is doing - when they come to town, they're generally there to win.
Race 4 - Tough race. If Spur Me On was 2nd up, i'd nearly have him a special. But since he is first up, and his first up record isn't all that great, i am not convinced. For that reason, imma stick with General Patton. He won really well last time, admittedly in a lower class event, but he did what he needed to. There seems to be heaps of pace here, and so i think General can sit off em and steam home over the top. Spur Me On will be in front and has been scratched from a few races prior to this engagement (no doubt dodging the wet tracks) so he should be ready for it tomorrow. Good chance, watch him 2nd up though.....probably around Doomben. Persuades is a nice horse too, i prefer her fresh too. Once she gets too many runs under her belt, i think her form tapers a little. 3rd up should be fine and she'll be there if given the right run.
Race 5 - I like Consider Yourself here. Has been running pretty good time lately, and although this is a tough race to win....the trainer knows what he is doing and so i will risk at eachway odds. You won't get anything flash because this stable attracts the money. The alley and the jockey help the cause too - there should be plenty of speed, so we can sit just off them. Sequestrate is a nice horse when right, but he has just run into the wrong horse or been given tough runs which have played havoc with his form. In this easier grade, and with the decent alley, i think he is a nice chance - market seems to have forgotten him too, which is nice. I would've had Rasmussen on top if i thought they'd accept, but given that no jockey has been listed, and the fact that this horse was scratched multiple times last prep, i don't think he'll be there. Promising horse though, can't wait to see him back.
Race 6 - They'll go like anything here. Theres nothing like these 1000m open sprints, it brings all the speedsters out. I might go for Steel Cap at big odds. Is a total speed machine, the 1000m suits perfectly i think. The alley is awkward, but if he jumps well, i think he can cross most of them. Given that, im willing to have a gamble on him. That's Better is a really nice horse, who has just been in the wrong race at the wrong time. Ran into both Starlactic (a few times) and Babinda Half last prep, which spells disaster. Given that there isn't any of those in this race, he is a definite chance...especially fresh. Grandway Shogun is quality, but generally goes better over a bit more ground. He may find the 1000m too quick, but is a place chance, for sure. I wouldn't recommend a large wager there though, those 1000m races are too risky for me.
Race 7 - Well, theres some speed here. Mitanni, Omnitrader and Umaprince will ensure that they don't get a rest. I like Smart and Mighty. I think he was on the wrong part of the track the other day and things just didn't go right. With a better track tomorrow, and given the hot pace, i think he is well worth a go. Byrne has stuck, which is a positive too. Grecolo has been in great form in the 3yo races, which are often great form races in Brisbane. I see that he is fav in the paper market - i wouldn't back him at $3, but he is a nice chance if the price gets out to about double that. He struck a good one in Accardo last time too. Don't worry about the beaten margin. Thats a very very good horse. Step Right In is about ready to show something too. After having the runs over the shorter journeys for fitness, the 1400m is about his go at this stage and i think he should be respected. The market will doubtless forget him because he was beaten 9 lengths last time, but he has form behind Hard To Catch last prep...not too shabby.
Race 8 - Bad one to finish on. Maybe Thee Auld Hussie, who finished hard the other day. Form is dubious with King of Soul failing during the week sometime, but i spose she should be respected on previous efforts. The weight is a slight concern too. Rapid Reason has been in great form lately, and i can't see any reason for that to change here. Good alley, Bowditch on (don't know why Pengelly isnt....) both point to a strong showing tomorrow. Skyleda's last run screamed 'back me next time', but the wide alley at the 1800m start has put me off a bit. If he gets a nice run, then wtach for him coming late. Thats a big if though, this is a nightmare start.
Overall, not bad tomorrow. A good betting day. My best would be Muscle Up, General Patton and Consider Yourself with eachway chances going to Steel Cap and Step Right In.
Good luck all,
Sven
Sorry for the lateness of the thread, been out for a few tonight. Looks a good day tomorrow at EF, with rail true and track good. Fields are a good size, and the quality is still there for the most part. Lets see if we can find some winners....
Race 1 - Well this isn't a good start, hate the race. Maybe Snowcraft can do something over the longer journey. Seemed to get home OK last time (i didn't see the run) so the 1600m and EF should suit - the Monashee Mountain's are going great guns too. Albert's Return seems to be the one they want and he did win well last time, in pretty smart time. Good chance to, he won't be far off them from the good draw and if they don't pour the pressure on, he'll be right there at the end. Tayrhiana should get better with racing and a bit of ground, judging by what the trainer said (and what she did last time), but she might be a place chance tomorrow...because this isn't a great field.
Race 2 - Well, if there was more speed in this race then my selections would probably change heaps. But since all i can see is Lindalay and maybe Chasin Tail being close up, then i've got to settle on Chasin Tail. It was a dominant win last time (and they didn't forget to back him either), and altho he has more weight and is a doubt at the journey, a soft run near the lead should see him get it in this company. Strong chance for mine. Radar O'Reilly would've been my pick with another speedster in here, because he loves the EF 1600m and the 3 runs under his belt should see him cherry ripe for this assignment. Bikkie Tin Blues was a great win last time in the wet and i see that the trainer thinks there might be a few more wins in store for this bloke up here in QLD. If he keeps racing like he is at present, that might just be the case.
Race 3 - Like Muscle Up. Have liked this horse since him 1st start, and its just a shame that he couldn't pull it off last time, because he'll be fav tomorrow and will be well fancied from hereon in. Strange that McMahon has been engaged, but he was wide at Ippy last time on a hot speed and still managed to kick on well at the death. With a better run, no weight and a weak field, he should win this. William Street has a great record, but i doubt the quality of opposition he has been meeting. I'll wait until he performs well in town before i pick him on top. Having said that, he has obvious talent and should be included in multiples. Cocktail Shaker for 3rd because he is a pretty honest sort of a bloke and Smith seems to know what he is doing - when they come to town, they're generally there to win.
Race 4 - Tough race. If Spur Me On was 2nd up, i'd nearly have him a special. But since he is first up, and his first up record isn't all that great, i am not convinced. For that reason, imma stick with General Patton. He won really well last time, admittedly in a lower class event, but he did what he needed to. There seems to be heaps of pace here, and so i think General can sit off em and steam home over the top. Spur Me On will be in front and has been scratched from a few races prior to this engagement (no doubt dodging the wet tracks) so he should be ready for it tomorrow. Good chance, watch him 2nd up though.....probably around Doomben. Persuades is a nice horse too, i prefer her fresh too. Once she gets too many runs under her belt, i think her form tapers a little. 3rd up should be fine and she'll be there if given the right run.
Race 5 - I like Consider Yourself here. Has been running pretty good time lately, and although this is a tough race to win....the trainer knows what he is doing and so i will risk at eachway odds. You won't get anything flash because this stable attracts the money. The alley and the jockey help the cause too - there should be plenty of speed, so we can sit just off them. Sequestrate is a nice horse when right, but he has just run into the wrong horse or been given tough runs which have played havoc with his form. In this easier grade, and with the decent alley, i think he is a nice chance - market seems to have forgotten him too, which is nice. I would've had Rasmussen on top if i thought they'd accept, but given that no jockey has been listed, and the fact that this horse was scratched multiple times last prep, i don't think he'll be there. Promising horse though, can't wait to see him back.
Race 6 - They'll go like anything here. Theres nothing like these 1000m open sprints, it brings all the speedsters out. I might go for Steel Cap at big odds. Is a total speed machine, the 1000m suits perfectly i think. The alley is awkward, but if he jumps well, i think he can cross most of them. Given that, im willing to have a gamble on him. That's Better is a really nice horse, who has just been in the wrong race at the wrong time. Ran into both Starlactic (a few times) and Babinda Half last prep, which spells disaster. Given that there isn't any of those in this race, he is a definite chance...especially fresh. Grandway Shogun is quality, but generally goes better over a bit more ground. He may find the 1000m too quick, but is a place chance, for sure. I wouldn't recommend a large wager there though, those 1000m races are too risky for me.
Race 7 - Well, theres some speed here. Mitanni, Omnitrader and Umaprince will ensure that they don't get a rest. I like Smart and Mighty. I think he was on the wrong part of the track the other day and things just didn't go right. With a better track tomorrow, and given the hot pace, i think he is well worth a go. Byrne has stuck, which is a positive too. Grecolo has been in great form in the 3yo races, which are often great form races in Brisbane. I see that he is fav in the paper market - i wouldn't back him at $3, but he is a nice chance if the price gets out to about double that. He struck a good one in Accardo last time too. Don't worry about the beaten margin. Thats a very very good horse. Step Right In is about ready to show something too. After having the runs over the shorter journeys for fitness, the 1400m is about his go at this stage and i think he should be respected. The market will doubtless forget him because he was beaten 9 lengths last time, but he has form behind Hard To Catch last prep...not too shabby.
Race 8 - Bad one to finish on. Maybe Thee Auld Hussie, who finished hard the other day. Form is dubious with King of Soul failing during the week sometime, but i spose she should be respected on previous efforts. The weight is a slight concern too. Rapid Reason has been in great form lately, and i can't see any reason for that to change here. Good alley, Bowditch on (don't know why Pengelly isnt....) both point to a strong showing tomorrow. Skyleda's last run screamed 'back me next time', but the wide alley at the 1800m start has put me off a bit. If he gets a nice run, then wtach for him coming late. Thats a big if though, this is a nightmare start.
Overall, not bad tomorrow. A good betting day. My best would be Muscle Up, General Patton and Consider Yourself with eachway chances going to Steel Cap and Step Right In.
Good luck all,
Sven