Shaun's Ratings

[Shaun]

I will post my ratings for each day in a txt doc, i normally bet my top 4

[turntable kungfu]

hey mate, so far so good with the first race. i had a little stab with the 2nd rated, come through for $11.
keep up the good work

[Shaun]

For today

[Shaun]

This is a new set of ratings started out well last week but has dropped of, i am going to review the races selected and reduce the number to the best quality races for the day.

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

To many shorties for backing 4 runners today

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

I hope a few had a look today, so far 6 winners from 9 races with winners @ $17,$29 and $50

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Only 1 race today

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

5 from 5 today for my top 4 with 2 top rated and a nice 58% P.O.T

If you are interested in just following the top selection it is running at 25% P.O.T over the last 150 races with an average $4.84 betfair.

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

12 from 14 races today for a 29% p.o.t

[aidleo]

Nice Work Shaun,

You backing Top 3 are you?.

[Shaun]

Top 4 with this price scale for available price.

$2-$3 = 5 units
$3-$4 = 4 units
$4-$7 = 3 units
$7-$12 = 2 units
$12-$20 = 1.5 units
$20> = 1 unit

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

wow don't think i could have bought a winner today, 2 from 7 gees

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

After 201 races

1st sel SR 23.88% AV/Div $4.59 P.O.T 9.72%

2nd sel SR 19.40% AV/Div $5.67 P.O.T 9.98%

3rd sel SR 9.95% AV/Div $8.35 P.O.T -16.95%

4th sel SR 12.94% AV/Div $10.45 P.O.T 35.16%

overall SR 66.17% AV/Div Per Race $1.70 P.O.T 12.49%

These are betfair prices, so the top 2 selections are very stable selections, the 3rd selections is a loss at this point but with the larger divi for the 4th selection it covers this amount plus some profit.

My own personal staking is only showing a profit of 6.98% on turn over this is due to the fact i have changed a few different ways of staking to work out the best option for me, but this shows that level stakes would be better at this point.

I will show another report after 500 races, in about 6 weeks looking at an average of 50-60 bets a week.

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Race

[Shaun]

Things seamed to have died a bit, i am only backing the top 2 selections at this point, but there is value in the exotics

[darkydog2002]

Shaun.Do the ratings include the prevailing Track Conditions?

Cheers
darky

[Shaun]

No, and this may be my undoing, it is only based on form

[darkydog2002]

Thanks Shaun.
Cheers.

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[darkydog2002]

Shaun.
With your ratings if you concentrated on the top 4 but excluded those under $5 how do you think I,d go.
Cheers
darky

[Shaun]

I am finding at the moment that backing the top 2 selections is performing better.

I have 252 races with results for all selections but will only be recording the top 2 selections as of Monday.

[darkydog2002]

Thanks Shaun.
In that case I,ll opt for a MINIMUM $3 +

Quoting from Malcolm Knowles booklet -"Weight"

"Runners carrying 55 KG or more account for 36.5 % of all runners but provide 50.6 % of the winners.It is stating the obvious where your handicapping efforts should be focused"

Hope thats of some interest to your rating method.

Cheers
darky

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[yster1]

Hi Shaun, I am totally new using your selections and don't know what to pick.
This is the selections for 11:57 - 27 May 2010:

Gold Coast Race 4 Class 6 11.57am
Rated
8 8.62 $35.16 1 Main Vein (6)
4 23.77 $12.75 2 Sir Monashee (5)
3 39.07 $7.76 3 Danardos (NZ) (3)
9 5.73 $52.91 4 Bradfield (NZ) (8)
5 22.82 $13.28 5 Overanxious (7)
6 12.26 $24.72 6 Tootsie Zynsky (2)
1 96.55 $3.14 7 Passed In Twice (1)
2 84.36 $3.59 8 Royal Saint (4)
7 9.87 $30.70 9 His Boy Elroy (9)

Now, for the first 2, must I pick Main Vein & Sir Monashee or Passed In Twice & Royal Saint.
Can you advise please.
Thanks

[Shaun]

The first number under rated is there rated position so in this case
1--- 96.55--- $3.14--- 7 Passed In Twice (1)

Is the top selection with a rating of 96.55 and a price of $3.14 so if the runner was under this price you could say it is not worth backing, but i still working on the price part so this is of less importance rated position the amount separating each runner is more important.

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

The last 2 days have been pretty good and today with 3 on top and 2 2nd rated was not bad and we came close to taking out the 7 races with my top pick 2nd in the other races, i didn't hear how far away Yass River was but i backed it at 20s on betfair and rated it a $4.55 chance.

Should be at least 10 or more races for tomorrow.

[Shaun]

Todays Races

I still have 1 race at Belmont Park WA to add and will post a separate sheet for that when scratchings are known.

Also i am informed it is very wet in Queensland and my ratings do not take track conditions in to account just to let you know.

[Shaun]

Belmont Park

[Shaun]

Gees i hope a few were on that last one, it turned a very bad day into a small profit.

I got $21 on betfair for the race 6 at Belmont park

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

2 20/1 shots in 2 days way nice and both top selections, the top selections are realy going well.

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

1 race for Belmont Park to be posted when scratchings are known

[Shaun]

Belmont race 5

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Slow start to the week but a couple of nice winners $12.50 each on betfair to boost profits.

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Another good day 3 from 4 races with all on top selections, we may have to just back the top selection the way things are going.

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Well what a day, 9 winning races from 17 with my top 2 selections including the quinella in the oaks, my bank increase for the day was 60% this takes my bets to a whole new level and may allow me the split my bank so i can tackle the exotics

[partypooper]

Well done Shaun, I also had a bumper day, with my place plan netting over a grand if ONLY I could do it every day!!!!!

I've settled into only backing overs now and although my "investments" are about 1/4, my POT is up from about 4-5% to around 20%, that's after almost 400 bets so I'm pretty confident, Hey! you're not going to that Betfair thingo at Burswood next Thursday are you? thought we might hook up for a pint?

[Shaun]

I didn't know they were having one, i might look into it, would you have a link or anything handy on it.

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[partypooper]

Shaun, addy is info@email.betfair.com.au or if you want me to forward the e-mail send an e-mail lumbasakabayo ATT hott male DOT comm. They give you a $50 credit just for turning up + nibblies. + gumph

[Shaun]

Todays Race

[darkydog2002]

Shaun,
Are you going to continue to put these up?
I,m trialling them.
Cheers
darky

[Shaun]

Sure it is no effort as i have to create the sheets for myself any ways, i am tired of changing ideas so i plan to stick with this as long as the bank holds out.

My current staking method is to back the top 2 and run a quinella bet with the top selection to stand out from the top 3

I would like to work some exotic as the ratings themselves are quite good from my point of view.

[darkydog2002]

Thanks Shaun.

Top 2 and the "forgotten" Quinella.
I like the way you think.
Cheers
darky

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Small mistake race 2 at Sandown the top 4 should be 3-1-6-4

[Shaun]

A bit of a loss today for win bets but those quinellas made it an overall profit.

[Shaun]

Todays Race

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Hard to make a profit this week, i guess it does that good thing we had a bumper week last week.

Quinella bets are doing ok i am thinking to take my top 2 to stand out from the 3rd and 4th i want to avoid boxing them all if i can.

[partypooper]

Gawd, Shaun, you know this game is about LONG TERM profits everything else is Booool sheeet but hey did you get to the Burswood???

[Shaun]

No mate i was going to go and see if i could get in but since i was not sure i got tired up elsewhere.

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

I learned something new today, don't take 2 horses in a stand out quinella because if they come 1st and 2nd you get zip back.

[Shaun]

Todays Races

Sorry they are late

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[lomaca]

I learned something new today, don't take 2 horses in a stand out quinella because if they come 1st and 2nd you get zip back.How did you do it, not clear?

did you do 1,2/3,4,5?
If you did, you excluded them forming a quin together!

[Shaun]

Yes that's how i did it not the smartest bet around.

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[jimbob]

Todays Racesthanks heaps i love your ratings!https://imageshackau.com/sports/35/handle/random.gif
https://imageshackau.com/sports/34/handle/random.gif

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

1 Race Today

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

Todays Races

[Shaun]

I am taking a break from this for a few weeks over school holidays as i will spend a bit more time with kids.

[oldtimers]

hi shaun,thanks for the idea,sounds good, have you tried it if so how does it go?cheers oldtimers