Sandown Park Greyhounds

[moeee]

RACE 3

5 COOLAN MISS $3.4
4 DYNA VIV $4.6
2 DINO FERRARI $5.1
3 TAKE ME HOME $10
1 MACALEA BALE $12
7 BEES KNEES $20
8 LIMBURG GOLD $20
6 ZLATAN $33

Fixed Odds suggests I won't be betting in this Race.
Gamblerholic in me suggests otherwise :(

[moeee]

RACE 4

1 BLING IT ON $3.1
7 HAYDO'S REVENGE $4.2
2 APACHE PASS $8.3
3 SERENE PASSION $8.4
5 AUNTY BESSIE $10
8 SELECT GODDESS $20
4 CARLINFORD STEWY $25
6 KINGA WILL $40

I will back #3 SERENE PASSION for the Place.
Is showing $4 on Fixed Odds.
Hasn't been having a lot of Luck lately , but this Field around it are fairly slow early.

[woof43]

splits adjusted to meadows
1 5.087
2 5.094
3 5.071
4
5 5.163
6 5.043
7
8 5.132
tight tussle on the rails, favours the #6 dog out wide I suspect, who has just about the best 2nd sectionals.

[moeee]

RACE 5

5 LEKTRA EXPRESS $4.3
8 BUDGIE LASS $4.7
1 SHIRAZ POINT $5.2
7 HELLA GOOD $8
6 BOGGY SPITFIRE $12
2 TIMMY WOODCOCK $15
4 FULL NOISE $18
3 GALBA JACK $20

[moeee]

Do you think I would have success if I averaged my animals Percentage Chance with that of the TAB?
I feel that what they call "TRUE ODDS" may lay somewhere between the 2 Markets.
The trouble is the Market is so volatile it probably wouldn't work , unless I only try it on Fixed Odds Races.

[woof43]

Nope, do not incorporate a tote line into your workings, unless you want to come back to the rest of the field and be a loser.

You are better off classifying each race favourite,on why joe public made it favourite, then you will find gold amongst your dogs

[moeee]

You are better off classifying each race favourite,on why joe public made it favourite,

So if I missed something in my studies , shorten it.
And If find nothing , then leave it as is.

[woof43]

If you clasify your races based on how the public made a dog favourite they will play that type of race the same week in week out, then its a matter of looking where they do badly or where you do well and adjust the factors that your going to use., then you'll be looking at your strike rate and your the edge, and your rated price for today and try an find discrepancies in the market

[moeee]

What Percentage on Turnover over 12 months would please you?

[woof43]

splits adjusted to meadows
1 5.030
2 5.120
3 5.090
4 5.117
5 5.188
6 5.084
7 5.119
8 5.096
very even race thru the 1st turn, the #4 is the best dog, but it travelled so much you just don't know how its recovered, I'm preferring the #6 and #8
Brittons dog seem to be all racing heavy tonight.

Moee that last winner put on a lot of weight but its better runs had been up near that weight in the middle of its career, 2nd time its lead all way ina fifty odd start career

[woof43]

What Percentage on Turnover over 12 months would please you?
If you could select the leader of only the 500 metres races just at Meadows and Sandown with around 23 % strike rate you should be averaging around the $6.00 mark.
around that mark is currently being acheived by a gentleman in victoria.

[moeee]

Gimme a way of wagering $5 on the last Race please someone.

[moeee]

If I converted the Sky Ratings into a Market , do you think there would be Profits to be made.
I was thinking maybe their Ratings would be more accurate than mine.

[moeee]

I Love Losing - NOT!!!

Good Night.