black book/ adelaide tips

[ra sun]

i'm going to start up my adelaide tips each saturday and hopefully the odd mid week aswell. had a little bit of success last time i did it so hopefully can steer you into a few winners down here. i will also put in a few black book horses from each meeting, ones to follow.


one for my black book is actually a wa horse of kersley's that i like, ran a nice race in its first start and backed it up today with a solid third, definately one to watch.

Commondeer

[ra sun]

AR race 1 #6 Norms Boy Roughie- Magic Mitch
AR race 2 #10 Ride the rocket Roughie- Suzie mine
AR race 3 #7 Run like Blevic Roughie- Kelmark
AR race 4 #2 Magical Sprirt Roughie- Top Kala
AR race 5 #3 Woman Eyes Roughie- Classy Racer
AR race 6 FIRST 4- #'s 4 Merlot Now/ 3,5,6. Roughie- Rendelsham Star
AR race 7 FIRST 4- #'s 6 Grundy's Crossing/ 1,3,4. Roughie- Finniss D'Or
AR race 8 #3 Fava. Roughie- Golden Sable

Best Bet- race 7 #6 Grundy's Crossing*
Best Each-way bet- race 6 # 6 Rendelsham Star*

[brave chief]

Some open races today mate.

# R2 I have Susie Mine rated $2.33 in an ordinary field. Only lightly raced and i've assessed it to rate 53 here. Has already rated 52 and has a solid 49/50 base.

# R3 I had Making A Road on top @ $3.56 here now scratched. I didn't like Kelmark here, tends to only rate 53 at best.

# R5 Open race but i have Classy Racer equal with Bleveeka @ $4.78 as well. Should be overs.

# R7 Grundy's Crossing on top @ $4.56

# R8 Bugger of a scratiching here, Hug A Mug; was pre post fave at 9/4 and i didn't rate it a chance. I rate Golden Sable an improver @ $3.33 but the value has now been slashed.

Good luck.

[maverick1993]

I find Adelaide races the best to bet in...Sparkling Now and Merlot Now were huge value yesterday ...I also had Brakenbury Bill but thought he was ridden upside down..It seems the form in Adelaide is easier to evaluate..

[brave chief]

I only had the 2 bets yesterday and had a nice win (susie mine). I'll continue looking at Adelaide particularly while the carnivals are on.

Just have to refine the jockey ratings a touch.

[ra sun]

hey guys, good to see theres some interest in the thread. haven't been able to post the wrap up from saturday and by black book horse for the meeting, been flat out, should be done by about thursday hopefully. and yes i agree, adelaide races do seem to be easier to find winners in.....back soon

[ra sun]

AR race 1 #1 Papa Roach Roughie- #8 Clive
AR race 2 #8 Tresillian Roughie- #10 Denning
AR race 3 #3 Jestajewel Roughie- #5 Napa Sky
AR race 4 #4 Rapidfire Lady Roughie- #5 Teerex
AR race 5 #5 Kenshou Roughie- #7 Ayasofia
AR race 6 #11 Covet in Gold Roughie- #6 Rations
AR race 7 #4 Jimmy's Edge Roughie- #14 Cobamuse
AR race 8 #8 Lambretta Roughie- #4 Golden sable

Best Bet- Race 1#1 Papa Roach
Best each-way hope- Race 5 #5 Kenshou

[maverick1993]

not a great sat meeting but with the races during the week it was expected..
Youths edge looks a sure thing
Barraba Road flew home last start
Covet in Gold will like the distance..
and maccas mount looks to good..

these look the best to me....

Did my figures for each state the other day...and Adelaide is by far my best hunting ground ...and here i was thinking i was a Brissie expert..
Melbourne is like a graveyard for me..

[brave chief]

My Best Bet = Race 2 Tresillian

Tresillian $1.44
Pluvius $4.81

Tresillian has a very nice ratings base so i have projected improvement. Looks superbly placed in this field.

[brave chief]

Other bet will be R8 GEPPETTO'S STAR

GEPPETTO'S STAR $2.33
HONOUR KATE $3.89
NIKITA JANE $7.78
VAINSKY $11.67

[ra sun]

Very, very ordinary day indeed.
i must say i didn't want to post any tips at all on friday, but as it is a very new spread, i kicked on and tried to find some value, which was not a successful mission.

congrats to the connections of papa roach, good friends of mine who tragically lost their son, a great mate, several years ago. named after one of his fav. bands. they have had a few troubles with the horse but patience in paying dividends for them, he's got up at some juicy odds in recent weeks, unlike the $1.50 on offer yesterday.

My black book runner for the day, Papa Roach. i think he can step up to the next level. did that easy considering the speed of the race.

[ra sun]

Race 1 1st- $1.50/$1.10 3rd- NTD
Race 2 9th and 12th
Race 3 5th and 6th
Race 4 2nd- $1.30 and 4th
Race 5 2nd- $2.10 and 5th
Race 6 5th and 10th
Race 7 2nd- $3.20 and 9th
Race 8 2nd- $2.80 and 7th

As you can see, 4 seconds........................ and a $1.50 winner
Stick with me, bring on next week. i hope for some better results....