Sandgroper's Unders

[Sandgroper]

The following horses are pre-post favourites for their respective races at Belmont today. They are winning chances, but according to my ratings are quoted well under their true winning odds. A very risky wager at the quoted odds.

Race 1 no. 1 Tignadina - quoted 2/1
Race 2 no. 1 Amio – quoted 4/7
Race 4 no. 1 Grand Cavalier – quoted 5/2



_________________
All the best from the West

Sandgroper :smile:

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: Sandgroper on 2002-07-06 10:53 ]</font>

[topsy99]

still think tignadina is good show

[Rain Lover]

Amio should still win by panels of fencing but the other two are false favourites, I think.

[Rain Lover]

R1 Tignadina 9/4 Fav - 5th, beaten by 4.25 lengths.
R2 Amio 4/9 Fav - 1st by 1.75 lengths
R4 Grand Cavalier 9/4 Fav - 3rd, beaten by 1.75 lengths.
Well spotted, Sandgroper. I stayed off all of them.
You could have also included on your list of dodgy favourites:
R3 Golden Delicious 5/4 2nd
R5 Tumeric 13/8 2nd
R6 Master Park 5/4 2nd
R8 Give Me A Chance 11/4 9th.
My point is that Perth consistently throws up more dodgey markets than the national average. Which is great as there's more value here by not taking the skinny odds.
I didn't have time to pre-post my selections but for the record, I backed
R1 Awesome Annie 3/1 1st
R3 Bellcina 8/1 7th
R4 Northern Beau 8/1 8th
R6 Island Light 9/2 1st
R7 Pindarri 4/5 1st
R8 Urastat 8/1 6th
Only 35% return at level stakes, but better than losing.