New System

[pearcy]

Hi I was wondering if anyone had a system that I could try every day I would keep results as it gives me an interest each day. Thanks

Rob

clohe@bigpond.net.au

[the rostram]

yeah rule one dont give a gift horse bananas cause they already slipped on thier ??????????? lmao

[Chrome Prince]

Give this a try pearcy:

Select the race with the highest class at each track.
Bet on the horse that won it's last start in the least number of days.
If more than one horse, pick the highest techform rated qualifier.

Should give you four or five bets a day and not do too much damage.

Use top fluctuation.

Use this tactic and you'll make a modest profit.

[partypooper]

You could also include: NO BET IF THE SELECTION IS NOT WITHIN 1.5KG'S OF THE ALOTTED TOP WEIGHT!!! (handicaps only, ignoring claims)

[Chrome Prince]

You could also include: NO BET IF THE SELECTION IS NOT WITHIN 1.5KG'S OF THE ALOTTED TOP WEIGHT!!! (handicaps only, ignoring claims)

It's not as good as it looks in print Partypooper.

[partypooper]

Chrome ,well, that's enough to make me grit my teeth and say "GR!" (all one word)

[Chrome Prince]

look at it this way, nobody presents their ideas or systems in the black and white logical terms.

they say "It makes this much profit (based on staking this way)"

or it's this strike rate, or this POT.

Why not cut to the chase and say "my system is based on only 200 races out of millions and the profit is made up from two horses"

200 races is absolutely nothing statistically. It's like sampling 200 people and making a rash statement. What's worse is, people pin their hopes on something with a probability or less than 1% and a recurring probability of much less than that.

Those that tout such things lose credibility very quickly.

I wouldn't be putting any bank on just two horses!

[partypooper]

Hey Chrome I'm on your side, I was just attempting humour that's all, as soon as I see it picked/gave you/you WOULD have been on, this 40-1 shot,etc,..... it hit's the trash can. Got one in the mail today, has to be passed on by Mr, GR, as that's the ONLY one that had my PO Box no. this one is gunna make me $120,000 starting with $100 in 9 weeks, hee hee! That was on the front page didn't read the rest (about 8 pages I think) got the wood burning stove going nicly though.

[Chrome Prince]

Hi Partypooper,

I wasn't having a go at you mate, more having a go at these guys who publish MISLEADING stuff.

While what was published was accurate, it did not tell the full story, and what of the previous years - dismal!

[Chrome Prince]

Yesterday there were 2 bets unplaced.

Today the selections are:

Sandown R6 6 Rural Law (Craig Williams) Open $5.50 Fixed Price $4.50
Canterbury R7 10 Dandrina (Zac Purton) Open $9.00 Fixed Price $8.00

[Bhagwan]

Single word named horse.

Heres a crazy plan that throws up the odd good payer.

Target the 1st 2 selections from a reliable tipster e.g. UniTAB RadioTAB selections.

Target races 1- 5 only for each day. 7 days a week.
This helps keep the number of bets down.

If the horse has a single word name, from the 2 selections & the other has 2 or more word name , we bet the single word name .
e.g. If the 2 selections were Crop & Antique Affair , we would bet Crop.

If there are 2 single word names, from the 2 selections , its a no bet race.
If there are 2 horses with 2 or more words to their names , its a no bet race.

Strike rate so far is around 24% with a 20 % POT.
The figures can change like any other mechanical system , so be prepared.
Some of their prices can be surprising good.

Betting at level stakes $1:70 ratio to bank

Check it out on some 150 past results first, before betting any real money.

Cheers.

[KennyVictor]

If the horse has a single word name, from the 2 selections & the other has 2 or more word name...........Ah Bhagwan, all the credibility built up over the years.... hundreds of posts full of solid gold.... A thread dedicated to your praises not long ago....

And now it all comes crashing down. You really are just one of us after all.

:) KV

[Chrome Prince]

Is nobody following this system seriously, thought there'd be a response here for sure!!!

7 bets since I posted for a $12.70 winner today.

Profit for the week thus far 5.70 units.

81.43% POT

There ya go pearcy ;)

[Bhagwan]

Dear Kenny Victor,
See what I have been reduced to ,(I'm nothing but a ====) I was going to make a post on sectional times ,but thought nar , one would need to subscribe to a service & have a program to run it & I thought the chap requesting some help would prefer something more straight forward ,maybe I am wrong.

Anyway I warned you it was a crazy assed system & that one should go over some past results first & if one had ,since posting , here are the results for the last 4 days.

9 from 36 =25% SR
15% POT
Divs $3.20,5.50,5.80,4.00,6.80,10.70,1.90,1.80,1.60

The results 4 days prior to this ,were much higher. Approx 55% POT

I am not supprised one would think that this plan is crazy , cant possible work , mad, stupid, wont work, impossible, cant be done, Bhagwan`s got rocks in his head... ect.. ect.
But so far, it has been delivering for whatever reason.
So , like I said , test it out over say 150 bets first ,before one critisises the idea totally.

The only logic behind it ,is that the top 2 tipster selections win approx 40% of all races & we have gone from there to try & break it down by going over past stats which show single named horses have a higher percentage SR than the others to the number that are contesting the event , based on the past , they appear to have an edge.
e.g. 3,000 out of 10,000 runners have single word names. Yet they win a disproportioate percentage of them compared to horses with 2+ word names
Now if someone can give me some stats based on the future , I would be most greatful, so in the mean time , I will have to use the past as a guide.

Now Kenny Victor , it`s your turn to offer this chap something constructive & maybe more complicated to help him (or confuse him) . That is of course, if you want to.

Remember , anyone can stand on the side line & throw rocks, thats more fun than replacing it with something that has some research & is willing to share their findings freely , rightly or wrongly.
OR
Maybe I should get out more , rock throwing sounds like fun.

Cheers.

[KennyVictor]

I was wrong Bhagwan, you are still the Master. :)

[Chrome Prince]

Give this a try pearcy:

Select the race with the highest class at each track.
Bet on the horse that won it's last start in the least number of days.
If more than one horse, pick the highest techform rated qualifier.

Should give you four or five bets a day and not do too much damage.

Use top fluctuation.

Use this tactic and you'll make a modest profit.

Wondering if anyone is using this, it's provided a handsome profit since I posted it, if you filter limits.