View Full Version : LAYING TRIAL
YoungBuck
30th May 2006, 10:55 AM
I've been working on a laying favs system. It is not re-inventing the wheel, but has had some very solid paper results. I will post my lays from time to time, as i cannot access my computer every day. Hopefully my results will speak for themselves. Keep in mind, sometimes I won't know exact final odds,
but my lays should at least be in the market. If this works as good as i think it does, maybe the punters out there would be interested in doing a deal. Let's see how I go.
LAY 1 - Cessnock R1 N3 - RATHER FIERY
YoungBuck
30th May 2006, 02:13 PM
In all honesty, although that lay was successful, It was paying $4.20 on the tote, so I didn't get on with Betfair. I would endevour to lay at no more than around $3.50, but some may wish to push it further. My main problem with this system, is working out which horses will be warm favs without sitting in front of the computer all day. At the moment i am just checking the form guide, and looking at the assessers odds. Any advice on the matter would help.
YoungBuck
1st June 2006, 08:59 AM
Hawkesbury:
R4 N4 FUJI LAD
Townsville:
R1 N3 PIRAEUS
R7 N8 DORIAN
YoungBuck
1st June 2006, 04:42 PM
4/4 successful lays with an average price of $3.85 (tote figures).
The lays are ending up as 2nd fav, probably for good reason.
They keep coming 2nd! Would like to concentrate on favs, but if
they keep losing, it may not matter. So far so good.
YoungBuck
2nd June 2006, 08:50 AM
SUNSHINE COAST
R7 N3 PROSPECTORS CHARM
QUEANBEYAN
R1 N3 GLOBE TREKKER
YoungBuck
2nd June 2006, 04:19 PM
Queanbeyan was called off, but my other lay, at the Sunshine Coast,
finished 3rd. I have decided anything @ 5.00 or under is an acceptable
laying level. Using a simple staking method, such as having your liabilities
of your lay being a constant 5% of your betting bank, would have yeilded
a decent week to date:
For example, with a starting bank of $1000, the kitty would be around $1090.
So, after only 3 days:
Bank = $1090
S/R = 5/5 = 100%
wesmip1
2nd June 2006, 06:08 PM
YoungBuck,
Good work. keep them coming.
YoungBuck
3rd June 2006, 10:19 AM
ROSEHILL
R4 N3 SINUOUS
R6 N6 NATURAL DESTINY
EAGLE FARM
R7 N17 CENTURY SERB
YoungBuck
3rd June 2006, 11:27 AM
BELMONT
R6 N12 AVENIDA MADERO
YoungBuck
3rd June 2006, 09:46 PM
3 From 4 successful lays, but i won't count 2 of them as their odds drifted
more than anticipated. So Natural Destiny cost us but we got some back with Century Serb.
Bank = $1055
S/R = 6/7 = 86%
YoungBuck
4th June 2006, 09:21 AM
TAMWORTH
R5 N2 HALVATION
SUNSHINE COAST
R1 N1 LUNACAMPO
KALGOORLIE
R1 N5 RIVETS
Wombat2
4th June 2006, 10:34 AM
Youngbuck could you enlighten us all of the rules to your system.
Cheers wombat2
YoungBuck
4th June 2006, 11:01 AM
Hi Wombat,
I don't think its in my best interests to reveal the exact system, as it is still a work in progress. The reason i am posting these is ideally i would like to provide a laying service and give selections to subscribers. I am testing it to
the public to see if it is worthy. If not i will pull the pin on it. Is that reasonable? Thanks for the interest.
Youngbuck
YoungBuck
4th June 2006, 04:45 PM
Good day again today. All 3 lays duly lost. One was paying a little more than
my limit though. Essentially, I have posted 11 lays for 10 collects. But as i have mentioned, i will only count those under 5.00. My staking plan is very conservative, and some may have done better with a more aggressive approach, but i feel slow & steady suits me.
Bank = $1093
S/R = 8/9 = 89%
wesmip1
4th June 2006, 05:10 PM
Youngbuck,
If you are not going to share the rules then you should be posting in the Horse Racing Forum and not the Race Betting Systems forum. This forum is for sharing the rules (even if it isn't always straight away).
Good Luck.
YoungBuck
4th June 2006, 05:37 PM
Fair call Wesmip. In future I will post any lays in the horse racing forum.
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