crash
30th June 2006, 07:49 AM
Thought I might revisit this system of mine and tweak it a bit. It must be getting on to 3yrs old and the original rules have performed well during the off again, on again periods I have used it and also for someone here who has used it since day one I think.
Like all systems, this one has had it's 'outs' and a couple of those [happens to all systems] will see the system dumped and punters move on to the next shinny thing, so I'm not bothered about it ruining odds if it proves successful. Nor do I believe in the conspiracy theory that good systems are stolen and sold, as considering the amount of free systems around from many sources [profitable systems too], anyone who pays for one nowadays has a cog loose.
The main rule changes here are an up/down in weight rule and a modified barrier rule to cover leaders, on-pacers and mid-pacers [barrier 1 to 9] and back-markers [barrier 3 or more]. Not much point backing a leader from barrier 14 or a back-marker in barrier 1. If you don't know the running style of a horse stick to the barrier 1 to 9 rule and keep your fingers crossed.
I thought I might try this with an e/w angle: $1w x $6p and see how things go.
........................................No Brainer revisited........................................
No Hurdles, Maidens, 2yr. olds, Stakes, Group or Cup races.
1. Must be 5yrs. old or less.
2. Add placings last 4 starts. Total must be no more than 9 [0 or S =10].
3. Last start must have been 21 days or less.
4. Barrier 1 to 9 only or if back-marker, barrier 3 or more only.
5. Must not be up more than 3kg or down more than 4kg. [ignore allowances].
7. Must have won in conditions.
8. If won last start, must have 20% or better WSR.
9. Morning line odds between $2.50 and $7
Bet: $1w x 6p
Selections below: After horse's age there is days since last run, type of runner [L leader, P on-pacer, M mid-pacer, B back-marker], average earnings and SR.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Fri. 30th.
BATHURST
r7/6 2113 Stop 'n' Go (2)" M A Cahill 54.0 dn 2.5 5/m 11 M 963 18% 37%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Sat. July 1st.
CHELTENHAM PARK
r4/2 1251 Aptitry (5)" Ryan Maloney (a 1.5) 55.5 dn 1.5 3/g 19 B 3511 25% 50%
------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLEMINGTON
r3/2 1132 Saliente (7)" D Oliver 54.5 dn 4.0 3/g 17 L 4459 27% 54%
r5/4 3111 Blutigeroo (9)" D Gauci 55.0 up 2.0 4/g 21 B 5526 35% 58%
------------------------------------------------------------------------
BELMONT PARK
r2/ 2131 Hail Halo (6)" 54.5 dn 1.0 3/g 10 M 2473 20% 80%
------------------------------------------------------------------------
ROSEHILL
r6/2 1211 Taken At The Flood (4)" J Innes 56.0 up 1.5 4/g 14 L 9264 28% 56%
r8/6 2121 With A Chance (4)" G Buckley 54.5 dn 2.0 4/g 19 L 6894 56% 81%
------------------------------------------------------------------------
I will adjust these later for track condt. and PP odds if required.
Cheers.
Like all systems, this one has had it's 'outs' and a couple of those [happens to all systems] will see the system dumped and punters move on to the next shinny thing, so I'm not bothered about it ruining odds if it proves successful. Nor do I believe in the conspiracy theory that good systems are stolen and sold, as considering the amount of free systems around from many sources [profitable systems too], anyone who pays for one nowadays has a cog loose.
The main rule changes here are an up/down in weight rule and a modified barrier rule to cover leaders, on-pacers and mid-pacers [barrier 1 to 9] and back-markers [barrier 3 or more]. Not much point backing a leader from barrier 14 or a back-marker in barrier 1. If you don't know the running style of a horse stick to the barrier 1 to 9 rule and keep your fingers crossed.
I thought I might try this with an e/w angle: $1w x $6p and see how things go.
........................................No Brainer revisited........................................
No Hurdles, Maidens, 2yr. olds, Stakes, Group or Cup races.
1. Must be 5yrs. old or less.
2. Add placings last 4 starts. Total must be no more than 9 [0 or S =10].
3. Last start must have been 21 days or less.
4. Barrier 1 to 9 only or if back-marker, barrier 3 or more only.
5. Must not be up more than 3kg or down more than 4kg. [ignore allowances].
7. Must have won in conditions.
8. If won last start, must have 20% or better WSR.
9. Morning line odds between $2.50 and $7
Bet: $1w x 6p
Selections below: After horse's age there is days since last run, type of runner [L leader, P on-pacer, M mid-pacer, B back-marker], average earnings and SR.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Fri. 30th.
BATHURST
r7/6 2113 Stop 'n' Go (2)" M A Cahill 54.0 dn 2.5 5/m 11 M 963 18% 37%
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Sat. July 1st.
CHELTENHAM PARK
r4/2 1251 Aptitry (5)" Ryan Maloney (a 1.5) 55.5 dn 1.5 3/g 19 B 3511 25% 50%
------------------------------------------------------------------------
FLEMINGTON
r3/2 1132 Saliente (7)" D Oliver 54.5 dn 4.0 3/g 17 L 4459 27% 54%
r5/4 3111 Blutigeroo (9)" D Gauci 55.0 up 2.0 4/g 21 B 5526 35% 58%
------------------------------------------------------------------------
BELMONT PARK
r2/ 2131 Hail Halo (6)" 54.5 dn 1.0 3/g 10 M 2473 20% 80%
------------------------------------------------------------------------
ROSEHILL
r6/2 1211 Taken At The Flood (4)" J Innes 56.0 up 1.5 4/g 14 L 9264 28% 56%
r8/6 2121 With A Chance (4)" G Buckley 54.5 dn 2.0 4/g 19 L 6894 56% 81%
------------------------------------------------------------------------
I will adjust these later for track condt. and PP odds if required.
Cheers.