Bhagwan
23rd August 2002, 10:00 AM
Why back a winner, when some of you already have an excellent track record of backing short priced loosers.
Here`s some guaranteed Crappy favorites , from the fine house of CRAP ,that have a 90% chance of falling over , according to my computer programm , if they start as Fav.that is.
You can make money out of them by betting them to loose against the field ,with Mark Read bookmaker.
The down side is the min. bet with
Marky Mark ,is approx. $250-$300 per bet excepted, Ouch !
at odds of approx. 1/3 on . In laymans terms ,that means you get $100 back plus your $300 investment . In other words a Dividend of $1.33 for every $1.00 outlay.
At those odds , you would need to be successfull 75% of the time ,of the Fav. falling over, just to break even.
Its almost like backing Favs for a place if they pay a placing $1.50+ ,easier said than done.Getting the price that is.
We know the Favs. have a 70% chance of falling over because of the universal stat. that say Favs. win 30% of the time ,so you can see ,Mark is not silly ,he has a 5% edge against you already.
(Stick a forlk in the Punter`s Butt and turn him over, he`s DONE !)
This is where the fine House Of CRAP comes into it . If we can get a 90% fall over rate at the odds mentioned over 10 bets , outlay $3000 .Ret. should be $3600 Pofit $600=20%POT.
This sounds like we are going to be pushing it up hill at those odds.
But I recon we can succeed against the odds.
Selections to fall over if they start as favorite with bookmaker, as shown in the Fri pre-post market .
Doomben.
R3.7
R5.4
R6.5
R8.7
W.Farm.
R6.5
R7.13
Caulfield.
R2.4
Cheltanham.
R2.5
R4.3
R5.7
R6.4
Remember ,they have to start as favorite with the bookmaker before you bet against them.
I will post the results , so stay tuned.
Another fine product from CRAP incorporated.
Here`s some guaranteed Crappy favorites , from the fine house of CRAP ,that have a 90% chance of falling over , according to my computer programm , if they start as Fav.that is.
You can make money out of them by betting them to loose against the field ,with Mark Read bookmaker.
The down side is the min. bet with
Marky Mark ,is approx. $250-$300 per bet excepted, Ouch !
at odds of approx. 1/3 on . In laymans terms ,that means you get $100 back plus your $300 investment . In other words a Dividend of $1.33 for every $1.00 outlay.
At those odds , you would need to be successfull 75% of the time ,of the Fav. falling over, just to break even.
Its almost like backing Favs for a place if they pay a placing $1.50+ ,easier said than done.Getting the price that is.
We know the Favs. have a 70% chance of falling over because of the universal stat. that say Favs. win 30% of the time ,so you can see ,Mark is not silly ,he has a 5% edge against you already.
(Stick a forlk in the Punter`s Butt and turn him over, he`s DONE !)
This is where the fine House Of CRAP comes into it . If we can get a 90% fall over rate at the odds mentioned over 10 bets , outlay $3000 .Ret. should be $3600 Pofit $600=20%POT.
This sounds like we are going to be pushing it up hill at those odds.
But I recon we can succeed against the odds.
Selections to fall over if they start as favorite with bookmaker, as shown in the Fri pre-post market .
Doomben.
R3.7
R5.4
R6.5
R8.7
W.Farm.
R6.5
R7.13
Caulfield.
R2.4
Cheltanham.
R2.5
R4.3
R5.7
R6.4
Remember ,they have to start as favorite with the bookmaker before you bet against them.
I will post the results , so stay tuned.
Another fine product from CRAP incorporated.