won last start

[leroy]

Hi Wesmip,
Any chance of you running this through for me please?

1.min 7 starters after scratchings.
2.max of 3 last start winners in race.
3 if more than 1 last start winner,start at horse no 1 and work down to pick horse.
4.no heavy tracks.

if you have time run with 1 and 2 last start winners too please.

Cheers Leroy

[wesmip1]

1.min 7 starters after scratchings.
2.max of 3 last start winners in race.
3 if more than 1 last start winner,start at horse no 1 and work down to pick horse.
4.no heavy tracks.


Returns 80%


1.min 7 starters after scratchings.
2.max of 2 last start winners in race.
3 if more than 1 last start winner,start at horse no 1 and work down to pick horse.
4.no heavy tracks.


Returns 81%


1.min 7 starters after scratchings.
2.max of 1 last start winners in race.
3 if more than 1 last start winner,start at horse no 1 and work down to pick horse.
4.no heavy tracks.


Returns 80%

[leroy]

Thanks mate.

what about if you make it non-metro and uni-tab rating 97+ ?

Leroy

[wesmip1]

Can't really do non-metro ..

But 97+ here is the breakdown
For 3 last start winners:

97-76%
98-77%
99-100%
100-87%


For 1 last start winner:

97-74%
98-74%
99-113%
100-88%


Hope that helps.

[leroy]

Thanks doing that Wes, and for all the other work you do on here.

Leroy

[leroy]

Can't really do non-metro ..

But 97+ here is the breakdown
For 3 last start winners:

97-76%
98-77%
99-100%
100-87%


For 1 last start winner:

97-74%
98-74%
99-113%
100-88%


Hope that helps.Any chance of adding a t-d-c rule to see what happens.
Thanks
leroy

[wesmip1]

Any chance of adding a t-d-c rule to see what happens.
I assume it has a T or a D or a C.

97-70%
98-82%
99-113%
100-92%

If I assume it is a T and C and D. ( ie form line shows TDC or similar )

97-50%
98-126%
99-127%
100-130%

Nice numbers but in 3 years there has only been 120 selections or 40 selections a year which is not much ... not even one a week.

But profitable never the less....

Good Luck.

[leroy]

Thanks mate.
how is the "wow system" going ?
i might start looking at that.

Cheers Leroy

[wesmip1]

I haven't run the numbers on it the last few months .....

Numbers were showing a nice profit this year so far but I have my extra filters to enhance profit.. I haven't run the numbers since posting the method.

[wombathq]

I assume it has a T or a D or a C.

97-70%
98-82%
99-113%
100-92%

If I assume it is a T and C and D. ( ie form line shows TDC or similar )

97-50%
98-126%
99-127%
100-130%

Nice numbers but in 3 years there has only been 120 selections or 40 selections a year which is not much ... not even one a week.

But profitable never the less....



Good Luck.
Hi Wes, best of luck with the newone on the way
Is the results with 126%,127% and 130% for 1 last start winner or for 3 last start winners and you said only 120 selections is that for one rating in particular or for all four combined
cheers

[wesmip1]

Sorry about that ... this is just for only 1 last start Winner.

[wombathq]

ok thanks were the 120 selections for just one rating or all combined
cheers

[leroy]

[QUOTE=wesmip1]I assume it has a T or a D or a C.


99-113%
100-92%

THAT WAS WITH MIN 7 STARTERS,ONLY ONE LAST START WINNER,
IS IT POSSIBLE TO GET A BREAKDOWN OF THIS WITH STARTING PRICE?
MAYBE <$3
$3 -$4
>$4 -$7
>$7

THANKS
LEROY

[darkydog2002]

Hey WESMIP.

At average 40 bets a year you could probably do a deal with Barry and Norm and a even better deal if you could cut the number of bets a year to 20.

Go fot it I say.

Cheers.
darky

[darkydog2002]

Hey WESMIP.

At average 40 bets a year you could probably do a deal with Barry and Norm and a even better deal if you could cut the number of bets a year to 20.

Go for it I say.

Cheers.
darky

[leroy]

Can you test this please Wes ?

won last start
same track and distance as last time
uni-tab rating 99/100

then add
won by at least 2 lengths

then add
top 3 radio tab

thanks
Leroy

[wesmip1]

won last start
same track and distance as last time
uni-tab rating 99/100
Shows a loss of 22%

then add
won by at least 2 lengths
Loss of 5%, Change to 3 lengths and you get a profit of 4%

then add
top 3 radio tab
With 2 lengths you get a profit of 3% with 3 lengths you get a profit of 12%.

Good Luck.

[leroy]

thanks wes
was there many bets with 12% profit ?

leroy

[wesmip1]

Averaged about 5 bets a month.