NFL Power Rankings - Week 9

[AssumeTheCrown]

1. Chicago 46
2. Dallas 41
3. NYG 41
4. Baltimore 38
5. Indianapolis 38
6. San Diego 38
7. Atlanta 37
8. New England 37
9. Jacksonville 35
10. New Orleans 33
11. Philadelphia 33
12. Carolina 33
13. Cincinatti 33
14. Minnesota 33
15. Denver 32
16. Kansas City 32
17. Tampa Bay 30
18. Pittsburgh 29
19. Seattle 28
20. Cleveland 28
21. Washington 27
22. NYJ 27
23. St Louis 26
24. Green Bay 23
25. Detroit 22
26. Buffalo 22
27. Oakland 22
28. Arizona 20
29. Miami 19
30. Tennessee 19
31. San Francisco 16
32. Houston 16

[jfc]

ATC,

My bet is many would be interested in this if you could remind them how to use it.

I've just scoured through 2 sites trying to find out, but the problem is I get sidetracked by your pearls and need to pause to savour them fully.

All I've grasped so far is that you need to add 7 to the home team.

[Sportz]

ATC,

What's your tip at the moment for the Superbowl teams???

[breadman]

This would be the hardest thing to tip on but for my opinion im really keen on the NY Giants. There in the hardest division and they are playing great footy at the moment. The other side my heart wants indianapolis but its up to peyton manning to prove himself under the pressure of finals footy. If he decides to pass like he does during the regular season they will be hard to beat. But they do need to improve their defence a bit too. Cheers Breadman.

[AssumeTheCrown]

Hi Guys,

Have not posted for a long time as i just got back from a long holiday to the USA. These Power Rankings are derived from one of my mathematical programs that is used to predict future encounters between teams based on past results. These ratings change with every result. The predicted margin is the difference between ratings of the 2 sides pitted against each other. Home Advantage is then taken into account which varies depending on the team and the ground. Last year the average HA was 6 or 7. This season so far it is less than 3. The current ratings for the first 8 weeks of the year are assuming an HA of 3 for every team and ground just to keep things simple. The predicted margins become prone to large error when high rated teams play low rated teams due to high leverage so the margins become quite inaccurate. The model works best on a head to head basis where probabilities are formulated according to the predicted margin. Will post week 9 predicted chances of each match up shortly.

Cheers
ATC