waggamick
21st September 2007, 07:02 PM
Reviving old system that worked well 4 or 5 years ago.
Not sure if closed meetings and EI will affect it...may improve it.
Still working on staking by trialling 3 options:
$10 Flat stake.
$1, $2, $4, $8 for max of 4 runs
Bet to win $100
Will see how they go.
Also looking at applying BARRIER filter and WINNING DISTANCE RANGE filter.
Will post selections over the next few weeks..see how they go.
These horses (barring serious injury and EI) tend to win eventually.
So I don't expect every horse I list to win that day.
I'm also limiting the selection to a bet when the odds are between $3 and $9, that is, 2/1 and 8/1. Although I might extend those odds out to $20 during carnivals when the better class of racing presents you with better odds.
It may lend itself to place betting over those odds...I'll see.
As I,m doing this Friday night I can only work off Sportsman odds which will be in brackets...but they are only a bet between $3 and $9.
If it works I'll post the system rules which are based on Trainer logic.
CAULFIELD
R2 #1 Permaiscuous ($8 in Sportsman)
#11 Maha Chakri ($13)
R3 #5 Sonic Quest ($4.60)
R8 #2 La Italia ($13)
#3 El Pauji ($8)
R9 #6 Sirmione ($9)
#8 Shuaily ($17)
#10 Mettre en Jeu ($13)
ROSEHILL (Get up early)
R2 #4 Decorateur ($13)...not ideal with Duct Tape Boy riding.
R3 #2 Deltona ($11)
R5 #2 Brawny ($5)
R10 #3 Danzippo ($7)
#15 Spinners Magic ($15)
#16 Tarleton ($21)
R12 #1 Big Joker ($5)
#3 Eight Moons ($7.50)
EAGLE FARM...strange meeting as most of my selections are WAY OUT oddswise! Might not get a bet.
R1 #1 Dance Machine ($26)
#2 Emifive ($13)
#6 Waterford Springs ($31)
R3 #3 Bang The Castle ($26)
R5 #10 Take Off ($31)
#11 Unique Around ($51)
R6 #6 Rhymenoreason ($31)
R8 #10 Innocent By Birth ($31)
MORPHETVILLE
R4 #4 Nisha ($5)
R5 #5 Soloist ($11)
R7 #15 This Is Me ($51)
R8 #4 Wildlife Girl ($3.20)
BELMONT...never tried it before...who are Top Trainers over the last two seasons...#1 and #2? Luciani and Kersley?
R5 #9 Priceless Symbol ($13)
Am prepared to have a crack at NZ but not sure who top trainers are, in that, do they specialise..North Island and South Island or do they travel from Island to Island?
Anyway...lets see how tomorrow works out.
Remember I'm only backing them if they are between $3 and $9.
Not sure if closed meetings and EI will affect it...may improve it.
Still working on staking by trialling 3 options:
$10 Flat stake.
$1, $2, $4, $8 for max of 4 runs
Bet to win $100
Will see how they go.
Also looking at applying BARRIER filter and WINNING DISTANCE RANGE filter.
Will post selections over the next few weeks..see how they go.
These horses (barring serious injury and EI) tend to win eventually.
So I don't expect every horse I list to win that day.
I'm also limiting the selection to a bet when the odds are between $3 and $9, that is, 2/1 and 8/1. Although I might extend those odds out to $20 during carnivals when the better class of racing presents you with better odds.
It may lend itself to place betting over those odds...I'll see.
As I,m doing this Friday night I can only work off Sportsman odds which will be in brackets...but they are only a bet between $3 and $9.
If it works I'll post the system rules which are based on Trainer logic.
CAULFIELD
R2 #1 Permaiscuous ($8 in Sportsman)
#11 Maha Chakri ($13)
R3 #5 Sonic Quest ($4.60)
R8 #2 La Italia ($13)
#3 El Pauji ($8)
R9 #6 Sirmione ($9)
#8 Shuaily ($17)
#10 Mettre en Jeu ($13)
ROSEHILL (Get up early)
R2 #4 Decorateur ($13)...not ideal with Duct Tape Boy riding.
R3 #2 Deltona ($11)
R5 #2 Brawny ($5)
R10 #3 Danzippo ($7)
#15 Spinners Magic ($15)
#16 Tarleton ($21)
R12 #1 Big Joker ($5)
#3 Eight Moons ($7.50)
EAGLE FARM...strange meeting as most of my selections are WAY OUT oddswise! Might not get a bet.
R1 #1 Dance Machine ($26)
#2 Emifive ($13)
#6 Waterford Springs ($31)
R3 #3 Bang The Castle ($26)
R5 #10 Take Off ($31)
#11 Unique Around ($51)
R6 #6 Rhymenoreason ($31)
R8 #10 Innocent By Birth ($31)
MORPHETVILLE
R4 #4 Nisha ($5)
R5 #5 Soloist ($11)
R7 #15 This Is Me ($51)
R8 #4 Wildlife Girl ($3.20)
BELMONT...never tried it before...who are Top Trainers over the last two seasons...#1 and #2? Luciani and Kersley?
R5 #9 Priceless Symbol ($13)
Am prepared to have a crack at NZ but not sure who top trainers are, in that, do they specialise..North Island and South Island or do they travel from Island to Island?
Anyway...lets see how tomorrow works out.
Remember I'm only backing them if they are between $3 and $9.