Bhagwan
16th May 2008, 05:37 AM
Heres a way of betting ones 3 selections & using the shortest price as a saver bet.
1) Fav as saver
Say we are useing $10 a race.
We bet the shortest price into $10 & spread the remainder over the other 2 selections.
E.g.
$10 divided by say $2.50 = $4 O/L on fav
$4 - $10 = $6 remainder
$6 divided by 2 = $3 to be placed on the other 2 selections, say Price was $4.50 & $7.00
If the Fav wins, we break even.
If either of the other 2 get up, we should make profit of either +$3.50 or +$11.00 depending on which one gets up.
2) Other 2 Horses as a Saver
If one wished to have the other 2 horses as a saver & have the Fav as the Main bet.
Say the 2 longest priced horses were $4.50 & $7.00
$10 divided by $4.50 = $2.22
$10 divided by $7.00 = $1.43
Total = $3.65
Minus $10 = $6.35 remainder to be placed on the say said $2.50 Fav
Total ret if Fav gets up $15.88 = +$5.88 prof
Break even if either of the other 2 horses get up.
This I feel this is a stronger way to minimise the run of outs one always encounters at some stage.
I feel it is a stronger approach than betting E/W because we have the same chance or greater, percentage wise, of striking a return as E/W but the returns a usually higher.
One will note I have used cents in the calculations.
One can do this literally, if using Bet Trader Pro or Fairbot when betting through Betfair because these programms get around the Betfair $6 min.
The first 3 in the live market have a stat of 65% SR
Most tipsters have a SR of 45-55% SR of their first 3 selections, with the odd double digit payer.
Cheers.
1) Fav as saver
Say we are useing $10 a race.
We bet the shortest price into $10 & spread the remainder over the other 2 selections.
E.g.
$10 divided by say $2.50 = $4 O/L on fav
$4 - $10 = $6 remainder
$6 divided by 2 = $3 to be placed on the other 2 selections, say Price was $4.50 & $7.00
If the Fav wins, we break even.
If either of the other 2 get up, we should make profit of either +$3.50 or +$11.00 depending on which one gets up.
2) Other 2 Horses as a Saver
If one wished to have the other 2 horses as a saver & have the Fav as the Main bet.
Say the 2 longest priced horses were $4.50 & $7.00
$10 divided by $4.50 = $2.22
$10 divided by $7.00 = $1.43
Total = $3.65
Minus $10 = $6.35 remainder to be placed on the say said $2.50 Fav
Total ret if Fav gets up $15.88 = +$5.88 prof
Break even if either of the other 2 horses get up.
This I feel this is a stronger way to minimise the run of outs one always encounters at some stage.
I feel it is a stronger approach than betting E/W because we have the same chance or greater, percentage wise, of striking a return as E/W but the returns a usually higher.
One will note I have used cents in the calculations.
One can do this literally, if using Bet Trader Pro or Fairbot when betting through Betfair because these programms get around the Betfair $6 min.
The first 3 in the live market have a stat of 65% SR
Most tipsters have a SR of 45-55% SR of their first 3 selections, with the odd double digit payer.
Cheers.