Simplicity Plus

[darkydog2002]

Go To IASBET

Note the top 4 OPENING prices.

Multiply the OPENING prices by 1.2

These prices become your MINIMUM acceptable price.

Bet these horses at these prices or better to make a profit whichever one wins.

Cheers.
darky.

[thorns]

Like your work darky!

[crash]

Bright work from a dark place Darky!

[partypooper]

Darky. the concept seems great , but say we have openers (after x by 1.2)of 3-1, 5-1, 6-1, 7-1 so we wait 10 min s b4 the off the 3-1 shot is available @ 7-2 so we grab it, then with 1 min to go the 7-1 shot is available at 8's so we grab it as well. Thats it it's off.
Question how much do we bet? as we don't know till it's too late how many IF any of the four will be available at the odds required until its all too late? Not knocking just enquiring?

[crash]

I really thought Darky had cracked something. I've now thought it through and your sound logic has ruined my day Party!

[partypooper]

Well Crash, THAT'S why they call me : dare I say it?....... A PARTYPOOPER!

[Try Try Again]

Why not just bet to collect $100 at the "rated" price.

So in PP's example

Bet $25 on 3/1 ($4.00) chance. Collect 25 x $4.50 = $112.50 (if wins)
Bet $12 on 7/1 ($8.00) chance. Collect 12 x $9.00 = $108.00 (if wins)

If 3/1 ($4.00) chance wins, outlay $37 ($25 + $12), collect $112.5. Win $75.50

[darkydog2002]

Party.

I bet FIXED at the 2nd Fluctuation to take out X amount of dollars.

The 2nd fluctuation is good enough for me ( sometime at the 3rd fluctuation they might come in or blow out .A matter of judgement I suppose )

i.e At $4 I would bet $33 to nett $100 etc etc etc

Hi Thorns .

As my old mum used to say "The best rating service is the bookmakers OPENING price."

Cheers.
darky.

[crash]

Party.

As my old mum used to say "The best rating service is the bookmakers OPENING price."

Cheers.
darky.

Even my Grandmother used to say that. Stick with it Darky!

[Mr Quaddie]

How well off is your mother now financially?

Say hi to your mum for me!

[Bhagwan]

The way the late great Don Scott would do it was...
Divide ones accessed price into say $100 (base figure) for all the targeted selections for the race if they were paying overs.

I have not taken into account the overs of the actual bet placed here.
So , if one gets up , it will pay more than what is shown.

If betting to Price
$4.00/$100 = Bet 25.00
$8.00/$100 = 12.50
$11.00/$100 = 9.09
O/L $46.59
To Ret $100
Prof +$53.41
no matter which one gets up

If betting to odds
3/1 / 100 = Bet 33.33
7/1 / 100 = 14.29
10/1 / 100 = 10.00
O/L $57.62

O/L is usually greater doing it this way.

If 3/1 wins = 75.71 Prof
If 7/1 wins = 56.67
If 10/1 wins = 52.38

Which is not a bad way of doing it especially if one feels the shorter prices will be more dominant on the day.

Cheers.

[crash]

He had a great run for awhile but maybe he changed his method. It's a pity he died broken [dead broke] by the Bookies!

[darkydog2002]

Thanks Mr Quaddie.

My late mother was no slouch on the punt and died aged 84 with a vast amount of wealth both money wise and in terms of knowledge.

Cheers.
darky.