Chrome Prince
21st March 2009, 03:15 PM
Now that doesn't make sense does it?
Can't reveal why it works, but there's method in the madness.
Here's a method that's been working well but still in it's infancy....
Rules.
1. For UK racing only.
2. Take the openers from Ladbrokes (they dribble through from around 9:30pm)
3. Consider only horses opening LESS than $2.00
4. Take Betfair SP only.
5. Lay any horse opening over $1.55
6. Back any horse opening under $1.55
7. You can't just back and lay at SP giving filters without considering the Ladbrokes opening price as the first rule - very important part of it.
Back results (at betfair sp before commission):
Selections 20
Winners 18
Strike Rate 90.00
Return $25.10
P/L $5.10
POT 25.50
Lay results (at betfair sp before commission):
Selections 26
Winners 11
Strike Rate 42.31
Return $19.31
P/L $6.69 (laying)
POT 25.73
When we combine the two:
(at betfair sp before commission):
Selections 46
P/L $11.79
POT 25.63%
Copyright © 2009
:D
Of course more selections are needed, and I'll update this page from time to time.
46 selections is only minor. but consider the fact that they are all under $2.00 when opened by the bookies and the cutoff is $1.55 both ways.
It is a very high strike rate method (both ways)
It does have regular action, last night there were three successful lays from three and two successful backs from two.
So I copped 100% success rate on five selections.
Can't reveal why it works, but there's method in the madness.
Here's a method that's been working well but still in it's infancy....
Rules.
1. For UK racing only.
2. Take the openers from Ladbrokes (they dribble through from around 9:30pm)
3. Consider only horses opening LESS than $2.00
4. Take Betfair SP only.
5. Lay any horse opening over $1.55
6. Back any horse opening under $1.55
7. You can't just back and lay at SP giving filters without considering the Ladbrokes opening price as the first rule - very important part of it.
Back results (at betfair sp before commission):
Selections 20
Winners 18
Strike Rate 90.00
Return $25.10
P/L $5.10
POT 25.50
Lay results (at betfair sp before commission):
Selections 26
Winners 11
Strike Rate 42.31
Return $19.31
P/L $6.69 (laying)
POT 25.73
When we combine the two:
(at betfair sp before commission):
Selections 46
P/L $11.79
POT 25.63%
Copyright © 2009
:D
Of course more selections are needed, and I'll update this page from time to time.
46 selections is only minor. but consider the fact that they are all under $2.00 when opened by the bookies and the cutoff is $1.55 both ways.
It is a very high strike rate method (both ways)
It does have regular action, last night there were three successful lays from three and two successful backs from two.
So I copped 100% success rate on five selections.