Football Query

[michaelg]

Does anyone regularly bet/lay the score on football?

The reason I ask is because today's match between Bradford and Notts Co has the current Lay prices at;

Bradford - $2.80
Notts - $2.70
Draw - $3.60
0-0 score of $17.00

In comparison, the match between Charlton and Barnet has the current Lay prices at:

Charlton - $1.56
Barnet - $7.60
Draw - $4.60
0-0 score of $19.50.


By my reckoning the Bradford/Notts match has a much greater possibility of ending in a draw, even a 0-0 score, than the Charlton/Barnet match. However, the prices for a 0-0 result for both games are more or less the same ($17 as opposed to $19.50).

Does this mean that laying the 0-0 score on the Charlton/Barnet game represents good value, or is there more to it than that?

[MyHatMyCoat]

Betting on a draw current odds, Bradford-Notts Co. around $3.10 to $3.35, Charlton-Barnet around $3.65 to $4.00

[MyHatMyCoat]

Doesn't really answer your question, michaelg.

I always analyse a game before checking the odds. Then decide if there is value available. Just like horse racing.

I generally stay away from games that look to have a more than average chance of a draw (or could easily go either way).

[michaelg]

I don't analyze a game as anything can and does happen in sport or racing, and will continue to happen - at least that's my excuse.

The way I looked at this particular match is that when comparing the price of the fave in both games it would appear that Charlton's possibility of scoring at least one goal is more or less treble that of Notts because its Win profit of $0.56 ($1.56 less the outlay of $1.00) is treble that of Notts Win profit of $1.70.

I realise this may be a false way of looking at it, or even that backing the 0-0 score in the Bradford/Notts could be value.