View Full Version : Favourite system test
thorns
20th April 2010, 03:46 PM
Have dug this one up from years ago, can't remember who gave it to me but will run a test for a while. So far this week from Monday there have been 22 races for a win return of 38.12 (12 win from 22) and place return of 28.57 (18 from 22). Both of those is taking the favourite as it appears on Betfair before jump.
We target a 'hot' venue and bet the favourites in every race.
Tomorrows hot venues are:
Canterbury
Murray Bridge
darkydog2002
20th April 2010, 04:19 PM
How do you calculate a "hot" venue.?
Cheers
darky
thorns
21st April 2010, 04:23 PM
Well horror day at both venues with only one fav saluting for the win.
The winner paid $4 on BF, and the place return was 11 units on a outlay of 16.
Overall
39 races
Win Return: 42.12
Plc return: 39.56
Tomorrows venues:
Naracoorte
Gosford*
*Gosford is a fav punters graveyard from my stats, so be interesting to see how it performs.
Bhagwan
21st April 2010, 06:01 PM
Favs today (Wed 21/04/10
They had a terrible result today with only 35% of the Favs for all venues , running a place instead of the average of 62%
17% won.
It had 23 outs in a row at one stage.
Which is to be expected at some stage as per theoretical run of outs
at 30%SR.
Funny aah
It shows the value of having a stop loss set for the day.
thorns
22nd April 2010, 04:50 PM
Gosford
8 races
Win return: 6.34
Plc return: 8.19
Naracoorte
8 races
Win return: 14.42
Plc return: 10.74
Tomorrow Scone is a qualifier
thorns
24th April 2010, 09:07 AM
Scone 8 races
Win ret: 4.37
Plc ret: 9.56
No qualifiers for today
vBulletin v3.0.3, Copyright ©2000-2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.