View Full Version : 1200 MTR system
darkydog2002
6th June 2010, 01:45 PM
1200 only
FIELD SIZE = 6 - 16
NO RACE WHERE THEIR ARE 6 OR MORE BACK FROM A SPELL
VENUES SYD/MELB/ADEL BRIS /WA
TRACK CONDITIONS = GOOD OR DEAD
HORSES AGE = 2 - 7
CAREER STARTS = 3 - 39
BARRIER 1 - 14 AFTER SCRATCHINGS
TAB NUMBER = 1 - 15
WEIGHT 52 - 58 (ignore apptc allowance)
DAYS SINCE LS = MAX 30
DAYS TO 2ND LS 24 - 63
DAYS SINCE 3RD LS MINIMUM 94
RUNS THIS PREPARATION = 2
LS FIN POSN = 1 OR 2
2ND LS FIN POSN = 1 - 5
PRICE LAST START UP TO $7 MAX
WEIGHT CHANGE + - = 5 KG
MAX DISTANCE CHANGE 200 + -
LS MARGIN = WON OR 0.5 FROM WINNER
NO MORE THAN 2 SELECTIONS IN THE 1 RACE
Cheers
Stix
9th June 2010, 01:32 PM
Think you are taking the pi$$ darky.....but best I can fit is:
1200 only
FIELD SIZE = 6 - 16
NO RACE WHERE THEIR ARE 6 OR MORE BACK FROM A SPELL N/A
VENUES SYD/MELB/ADEL BRIS /WA
TRACK CONDITIONS = GOOD OR DEAD
HORSES AGE = 2 - 7
CAREER STARTS = 3 - 39
BARRIER 1 - 14 AFTER SCRATCHINGS
TAB NUMBER = 1 - 15
WEIGHT 52 - 58 (ignore apptc allowance)
DAYS SINCE LS = MAX 30
DAYS TO 2ND LS 24 - 63
DAYS SINCE 3RD LS MINIMUM 94N/A
RUNS THIS PREPARATION = 2
LS FIN POSN = 1 OR 2
2ND LS FIN POSN = 1 - 5
PRICE LAST START UP TO $7 MAX
WEIGHT CHANGE + - = 5 KG
MAX DISTANCE CHANGE 200 + -
LS MARGIN = WON OR 0.5 FROM WINNER
NO MORE THAN 2 SELECTIONS IN THE 1 RACE N/A
Sel 185
Win 32 (@17.3%)
Ret 201
Profit 16 (@8.6%)
lomaca
9th June 2010, 03:05 PM
Think you are taking the pi$$ darky.....but best I can fit is:
Hi there Stix, always wondered why punters insist that one distance is a better betting proposition than an other.
Maybe because their "system" treats all distances the same way?
Any ideas?
Cheers
darkydog2002
9th June 2010, 03:15 PM
No Stix,Not taking the PiXX but exactly as sold for around $250.
Are people really this mad buying this stuff?
I post em to give the novices some indication of what they can expect for their hard earned.
I,ve got one here that has between 18 - 35 bets a year (no more form of torture could be invented) but as I know the designer I wont embarrass him by posting it.By the way sold by the same source.
Cheers
darky
Bhagwan
9th June 2010, 11:47 PM
This produced... Sat only results
42% SR
54% POT
RULES
Plc Ranking 1
Age 4yo only
Dist 1200m excatly
4+ career starts
LSW
Last start margin less than .80 lengths
SP on the day $8.00 & less
darkydog2002
10th June 2010, 02:34 PM
Thanks Bgahwan.
Will give it a whirl.
Cheers
darky
Stix
11th June 2010, 12:08 PM
Quote:
<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD style="BORDER-BOTTOM: 1px inset; BORDER-LEFT: 1px inset; BORDER-TOP: 1px inset; BORDER-RIGHT: 1px inset" class=alt2>Originally Posted by Bhagwan
LSW
Last start margin less than .80 lengths
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Last strat Win and margin less than .8 lengths?
Quote:
<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD style="BORDER-BOTTOM: 1px inset; BORDER-LEFT: 1px inset; BORDER-TOP: 1px inset; BORDER-RIGHT: 1px inset" class=alt2>Originally Posted by Bhagwan
RULES
Plc Ranking 1
Age 4yo only
Dist 1200m excatly
4+ career starts
LSW
Last start margin less than .80 lengths
SP on the day $8.00 & less
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
All Days Metro-10 years
Sel 609
Win 178 (@ 29.2%)
Plc 373 (@ 61.25%)
WLoss -66 (10.8%)
PLoss - 32 (5.2%)
9.58% LOT for Saturdays
All Days Syd = 41% SR POT 31%
Stix
11th June 2010, 12:14 PM
Last strat Win and margin less than .8 lengths?
Hmmm http://www.propun.com.au/racing_forums/images/smilies/rolleyes.gif..... margin >-0.8
Sel 178
Win 42(@ 23.6%)
Loss 35 (@ 19.4%)
Sat AND margin >-0.8
Sel 223
wins 81 (@36.2%
Loss 4 (@ 1.75%)
All Days AND margin >-0.8
Sel 332
wins 115 (@34.6%
Loss 1 (@ 0.24%)
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
TheSchmile
11th June 2010, 12:53 PM
Hi Stix,
It's the Shmile here, the figures from your last post look encouraging.
If you find the time using the same margin >-0.8 could you also try:
Win last start was at the same track
Win last start was at the same track and distance
Win last start was the same track, distance and track condition.
I'd also like to know what prices you use for your stats if you don't mind sharing.
The Schmile
darkydog2002
11th June 2010, 02:06 PM
Bgahwan
Just curious but why the Last Start Win by less than 0.8?
Thanks.
darky
Bhagwan
13th June 2010, 12:17 AM
No reason , it just how the stats fell on the sample used.
Bhagwan
13th June 2010, 12:23 AM
I used the Online system creator.
It now has all the UniTAB prices added to it , which makes it very handy for analysing
Pauls123
13th June 2010, 09:23 AM
Hey there Bhagwan, or others. A question regarding Unitab please. Are the ratings changed after the scratchings, or does each horse maintain the same rating. EG. If say the 100 rater was scratched does another horse take that place..?
Paul
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