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garyf
1st March 2011, 09:59 AM
Like everyone else each night i record my bets.
I actually place the bets into four different columns marked ease and firm.
The easers in one column the firmers into three other different columns.
For example lets look at the four scenarios i use.
($4.0-$5.0) (ease)
($4.0-$5.0-$4.8) (firm)
($4.0-$5.0-$4.0) firm to be same as opening price (F.S.A)
($4.0-$5.0-$3.6) firm from opening price (F.O.P)
For instance my top rated horse has an across the board s/rate of 25%.
However my s/rate in the (FOP) column is far superior to the (EASE) column.
The dividends obviously in the (EASE) column are superior to the (FOP) column,thus compensating for the lower s/rate.
When going through a run of outs even without consulting my s/rate chart,
i can see the majority eased so some peace of mind till a winner arrives.
In some states on a provincial circuit i can back all (FOP) horses and make,
a few % roi without any filters.
Be warned make sure the s/price of these firmers don't become so short,
that they are no longer profitable?.
This idea of firmers and easers may help some people who run multiple systems in to improving ones s/rate, some mechanical systems may improve if backing firmers only.???
But make sure your system is (PROFITABLE) first before applying the rules.
cheers
garyf.

garyf
1st March 2011, 10:16 AM
What i forgot to state is if your system is (PROFITABLE) to start with you may wish to increase your bet (SLIGHTLY) if backing firmers has helped the s/rate.
This method is not to be used as the start of a system.
In certain circumstances i increase my bet if my selection firms helping to add to it's profitability based on 1.000s of final bets i have recorded.
cheers
garyf.

garyf
1st March 2011, 12:54 PM
Can't believe i missed this one from previous post.

($4.0-$4.0) i class as (same )

cheers
hopeless f