Makin' cents of Greyhounds, No foolin'

[moeee]

The MEADOWS Race 1

1 ALLEN ZANDER $3
2 PINK BANDANNA $4.2
6 LUCENT $6.4
7 MIDNIGHT ECLIPSE $9
5 ALLEN SHAUL $12
4 COCO HOKO POKO $15
9 WANDY LAYLA $60
8 DON'T COMMIT $500

I've taken the $3.40 about Allen Zander Fixed Odds for $10
I'm just tired of ********fartin' about trying to get best Odds , or bagging some sort of Exotic and all that sort of stuff

Work out the Odds needed, if theys available, grtab 'em

And I'll be posting a running total of how I'm travelling from now because I'ld like everyone to know how clever I am :) , even though the stuff I been posting lately is best forgotten :(

[moeee]

5 HAYDER BALE $3.8
2 WHAT SIZE $5.2
6 TONNELI BALE $5.3
1 HAMEL $5.8
7 RYKER BALE $14
3 LADY LATINO $16
9 MAGIC RUBBLE $33
10 LEKTRA BOB $40

Fortunately I have some control over my Gamblerholicness here , and am staying out of this Race.
Top 4 selections in my Quaddie onle.

[woof43]

Been a big day at the races, I'll try an post some of my stuff later,
but just looking at this race prior to scratchings
I thought the #1 had a great chance even though it has ordinary 2nd sectionals, it really is drawn to get a nice run, with both the dogs drawn outside of it moving off the rails, and most of the outside dogs pushing inside, I think the #5 will find it hard to have an interference free run early, with the #6 just about checking all dogs drawn under at every start, it's crucial for the #5 to get a clean run early. You then have the #3 who will just about lead these maybe doing a head and head with the #5 and at the same time trying to push wide.

[woof43]

Race 7 split times
Box 1st Split Rating
1 5.146
2 5.135
3 5.160
4 5.131
5 5.266
6 5.074
7 5.179
8 5.155
very even set of splits here, but a few dogs are slow beginners then drive to the first turn, these dogs cause trouble.
I have the #6 a 3.20 chance of leading at the first turn, It has two slow beginners drawn either side, the #7 & #8 will stay where they as both like racing wide.Dogs drawn from box 5 to box 2 will all move to the rails at the start, this spells problems for the #3, I think it will do it tough tonight.
As said before the #8 especially is drawn to perform well, other dog who may perform well is the #2 it will need to jump in front of the #1 who will then push off the track. around $9 may be the right price for this dog considering the threat of interference.

[moeee]

I think the #5 will find it hard to have an interference free run early, with the #6 just about checking all dogs drawn under at every start, it's crucial for the #5 to get a clean run early. You then have the #3 who will just about lead these maybe doing a head and head with the #5 and at the same time trying to push wide.

I've got the #5 being slow enough early to avoid any interference and slipping safely to the rails.
But yeah, the permutations of this start are infinite, and best be stay out.
And yeah , the #3 is an excellent chance if it leads, but I don't like it in this class.

[moeee]

6 NO JUSTICE $3.8
8 STACK 'EM FLAT $4.8
2 GARIS GARIS $7.9
1 NAPOLEON TIGER $8
7 MAMIE BALE $11
3 STEPPING STONE $14
4 SOUL CALIBUR $16
5 OKIE BALE $20

A couple of Quinellas with Garis Garis
6 - 2 for $2.50
2 - 8 for $2

The top 2 selections go in my Quaddie.

[woof43]

I've got the #5 being slow enough early to avoid any interference and slipping safely to the rails.
But yeah, the permutations of this start are infinite, and best be stay out.
And yeah , the #3 is an excellent chance if it leads, but I don't like it in this class.

I don't think it really pushes to the rails, it's last start it hit the lids before the boxes opened, I have it generally racing centre of track to first turn or it holds it box position, I think it will make it hard for the #6 to bore over at the start.

[moeee]

6 ALLEN HERTZ $3.3
2 UNLOCK THE CODE $6.1
5 TIMBO $9.2
1 SHIRAZ COLOUR $9.3
3 CAROL ALLEN $10
4 MAGIC DASHER $13
8 PROVEN PUZZLE $13.1
7 SHEER KISMET $14

Not a good betting Race, but I can't let it go without some sort of Wager.
EXACTAS with Allen Hertz to win
6 - 2 for $2
6 - 5,1 for $1.50

[moeee]

I don't think it really pushes to the rails, it's last start it hit the lids before the boxes opened, I have it generally racing centre of track to first turn or it holds it box position

Thats strange.
I've always known it as a railer.
So I checked its last 5 starts and it looked for the rails at 4 of those runs.

Woof43 - what does it mean when the FormGuide has this Comment : Q1111R,Sw
I know Q means quick and R means Rails , but what means "Sw" ?

[moeee]

The MEADOWS Race 1

1 ALLEN ZANDER $3
2 PINK BANDANNA $4.2
6 LUCENT $6.4
7 MIDNIGHT ECLIPSE $9

I'm just tired of ********fartin' about trying to get best Odds , or bagging some sort of Exotic and all that sort of stuff



I couldn't help meself , and purchased a $2 FlexiTri.
I had this : 1,2-1,2,6,7-5,6,7-5,6 (FLEXI 14.2857%)
I was supposed to have 7 for 4th, but didn't notice I forgot to check its Box in my haste to get my last second decision to wager.
Fortunately it came in , but would have bin very frustrating to think I had the correct combination, but messed up.
Anyway, I gets back $24.
What this is all about is thats the reason I have trouble posting winning wagers.

Regardless, the running Total here is Outlay of $10 with ZERO Return :(

EDIT: - Where it says FlexiTri, should read FlexiFirst 4.

[woof43]

Thats strange.
I've always known it as a railer.
So I checked its last 5 starts and it looked for the rails at 4 of those runs.

Woof43 - what does it mean when the FormGuide has this Comment : Q1111R,Sw
I know Q means quick and R means Rails , but what means "Sw" ?

swabbed

I'm sure it means swabbed.

When I say rails to centre or wide I'm just talking in reference to how it runs to the first turn, not how it handles the turns
I think its last start when it hit the lids , I'm sure it headed to the rails after twenty metres or so, but generally it holds its ground to the turn

[moeee]

Thanks Woof.
Yes, Swabbed sounds good.
The Sw only seems to turn up when the animal wins, or occasionally runs second.

The Quaddie is looking very difficult.
Looks to me if I bags it, then I bags it for maybe less than 2% worth :(

[moeee]

RACE 5

Fortunately I have some control over my Gamblerholicness here , and am staying out of this Race.
Top 4 selections in my Quaddie onle.

Control???
Yeah sure, in my dreams.
Got really close to buying a First 4 , but went instead for the more easier FlexiTri.
Had I went First 4 , I mighta got a percentage.
Instead, I lost a dollar on this : 1,2,5,6-1,2,5,6-3 (FLEXI 8.3333%)

[moeee]

2 ALLEN ELROY $3.4
3 BIRTHDAY BOY $4.7
7 ENRY WALT $5.8
8 LEKTRA SHARP $10
4 DON CHENDO $14
1 BANGER HARVEY $15
6 ROYAL CHOIR $20
5 MUNGO MAN $25

$6 on Birthday Boy at the $7 Fixed Odds for me.
Plus an EXACTA for $2.50 on 2 - 3 as a Saver.

[woof43]

Control???
Yeah sure, in my dreams.
Got really close to buying a First 4 , but went instead for the more easier FlexiTri.
Had I went First 4 , I mighta got a percentage.
Instead, I lost a dollar on this : 1,2,5,6-1,2,5,6-3 (FLEXI 8.3333%)

you really need to develop a matrix of trifecta stacks or F4 stacks depending on what situation arises.

[moeee]

I just downloaded the Weights sheet.

2 things I noticed were a large decrease in weight for HAMEL, who won, and also a Large decrease in weight for Napoleon Tiger, who just missed.

I knew weights were important, but the problem is I do my studies before weights are released.
I really must put a Question Mark on runners returning from spell from now on until the Weights are released.

[woof43]

Most good performances are normally when a dog weighs less than the its average LTD race weight.

[moeee]

you really need to develop a matrix of trifecta stacks or F4 stacks depending on what situation arises.

You need to understand that I only invested a dollar!!!
I don't know how much you invest Woof43, but would you bother messing about with the intricacies if you only wagered a dollar a Race?

If I ever become skilled enough to go Professional, I would contemplate it, but I really don't think that is the reason I am losing.
The reason I am losing is because I am not anticipating the start of the Race well enough as yet.
And also my Markets need work.
They do not allow , for example, the problems Hayder Bale will have to negotiate, and the lack of obstacles that HAMEL would have.

And well done in selecting Hamel, Woof43, I'm sure you are continuing your BIG DAY into tonight.

I'm still alive in my Quaddie and need #2 or #3 to win the Last Leg to collect 1,2,5,6/6,8/F/2,3 (FLEXI 2.3437%)

[moeee]

Well I had the ol' , "The Favourite wins every time I take a Field in a leg of the Quaddie" happen again :(

But Race 7 was another example of where I had a rough idea that Carol Allen would lead, and therefore I should have had it shorter in My Market.
Plus it went a fair way down in weight, and Lo and Behold, My SPECIAL "Allen Hertz" went up nearly a kilo :(

Thank goodness there is more racing tomorrow to make amends for tonights blunders!!
Plus 2 more events tonight :)

[woof43]

Well done on No Justice.

couldn't get set on Betfair that dog, it was kept very tight.

It wouldn't matter how much was invested Moee, that tri bet just didn't make sense.

[woof43]

Well I had the ol' , "The Favourite wins every time I take a Field in a leg of the Quaddie" happen again :(

But Race 7 was another example of where I had a rough idea that Carol Allen would lead, and therefore I should have had it shorter in My Market.
Plus it went a fair way down in weight, and Lo and Behold, My SPECIAL "Allen Hertz" went up nearly a kilo :(

Thank goodness there is more racing tomorrow to make amends for tonights blunders!!
Plus 2 more events tonight :)

Both from the same kennel, makes you re-think your investment

[woof43]

Box 1st Split Rating
1 $7.60
2 $6.05
3 $3.31
4 $4.86
5 $5.46
6 $384.62
7 $147.06
8 $416.67
The #7 is the best dog by far in this race but how it runs it's races will give you a heart attack, #8 will stay out where it is giving it a clean run early, # 1 is awkward around the 1st turn needing some ground, The #2 will move a bit of the rails early, I'm thinking the #3 will make the race from the #5 and the #7 will have to run them down, it just needs to be 3 or 4 lenghts of them down the back straight.

[moeee]

Gimme a suggested Wager for the last tonight please Woof43.
I have a spare $3 to dispose of.

[moeee]

Well thats that then :(

Down $34 without a single collect, but was somewhat stiff when the door wouldn't open when Birthday Boy tried to force his way through along the rails with only 50 metres to go.
But no excuse for the poor night where all the other Wagers weren't even warm.

What I hate most was that I felt so good about tonight when doing the Form !!

[moeee]

1 RADLEY BALE $1.7
2 STAR DIAMOND $4.1
8 ZERO'S HERO $14
4 LIESEL $25
6 DRIPSTONE $40
5 LEKTRA BILLY $50
3 MINU BALE $70
7 MELALUKA LAD $100

Not a good betting Race even though the results are predictable.
I'll go a Trifecta

1 - 2 - 8 for $4

[moeee]

1 RADLEY BALE $1.2
8 ZERO'S HERO $12
4 LIESEL $20
6 DRIPSTONE $50
5 LEKTRA BILLY $66
3 MINU BALE $70
7 MELALUKA LAD $100

Still a Trifecta
1 - 8 - 4 for $5

Unless I can get good Odds ($2.80) about the Exacta 1 - 8 for $10 worth

[moeee]

Due to Weight Variations regarding my 2nd and 3rd Selections, the Wager has now changed.

Geelong Race 6

The bet is now a FlexiFour
1 - 8,4 - 8,4,6,5,3 - 8,4,6,5,3 for $5 worth

[moeee]

Finally a Collect.
Could have been bigger if not for going the safety way, but a collect is good just the same.

OUTLAY $40
RETURN $20

Still have a couple at Sandown and a couple at Sale.

[moeee]

7 ZURI DIAMOND $2.9
3 SEASPRAY SURFER $6.7
1 LIMBURG POWER $7.5
5 WILD VIKI $9
6 CONNOR'S FURY $10
4 BESTEARS $12
2 EYES LIKE GOOFA $14
8 SHAUNY BADTOOTH $50

I've got Zuri Diamond leading here and managing to hold off a lot of good finishers.
FlexiTri for $6 worth
7 - 3,1,5,6 - 3,1,5,6,4

[moeee]

6 BRIAN BORU $5
1 FAST EDDIE MAC $6.4
4 UNIQUE CHAOS $7
7 SPICEY LUKE $7.8
2 LISA'S PEARL $8.7
3 WRECK AND ROLL $9.8
5 REGAL WOO $10
8 BAD BOY PEDRO $15

A Box Quinella for a Unit here 6,1,4

EDIT : Make it a $2 Unit :)

[moeee]

SALE Race 8

1 OUR BUDDY $2.9
2 OSKA NEVEELK $5.4
6 CREWSAN JAY JAY $6
5 RED SOLE $8.1
3 BIG ROSE $11.2
7 LACEY PAPER $15
8 DENISON FLASH $50
4 GOOMBY $125

Some FlexiTris and Fours
$3 on each of them

1
265
2653
26537

[moeee]

OUTLAY $60
RETURN $20

In the REAL World I'm actually not doing as bad as that.
I'm probably losing the 15% Commish which even the most capable dart thrower can do.

Goodnight.