Log in

View Full Version : Dunno why, but heres My Meadows


moeee
30th April 2011, 10:48 AM
RACE 3

2 WYNDHAM FLYER $4.9
4 STOKED $5.4
8 DYNA JOE $5.5
3 SERENE PASSION $5.6
5 SHAIANE BALE $12
9 SHEZA WEETBIX $14
10 UNO BRINNEY $20
6 GOOD INVESTMENT $25

FlexiTri and FF
2,4,8,3 - $4 worth and $2 worth

woof43
30th April 2011, 02:11 PM
Race 1 split
1 5.256
2 5.316
3 5.196
4 5.204
5 5.121
6 5.277
7 5.145
8 5.293
Its interesting to note the Fixed are all being set right on 135%, even running a solver check on win and place odds there are being perfectly balanced.
Box Combined Rank
1 $6.15 3
2 $18.02 6
3 $5.51 2
4 $3.03 1
5 $92.59 8
6 $22.83 7
7 $6.74 4
8 $14.84 5
It looks like who ever set the odds has taken the view in this race that you need to be on the leader, which is correct in these weaker grades, but it still needs to be balanced with a consistent 2nd sectional.
The #5 has very poor 2nd sectionals, so it needs to lead clearly I have the #7 sitting outside of it, with the #3 # 4 pushing up inside.

woof43
30th April 2011, 02:15 PM
Moeee here is the top 50 set of trifecta combos
They totally ignore the #5.

MG-01-TT-00001.0/1/2/3/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/1/2/4/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/1/2/6/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/1/2/7/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/1/2/8/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/1/3/2/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/1/3/4/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/1/3/6/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/1/3/7/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/1/3/8/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/1/4/2/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/1/4/3/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/1/7/2/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/1/7/3/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/1/7/8/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/1/8/2/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/1/8/3/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/3/1/2/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/3/2/1/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/3/2/4/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/3/2/6/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/3/2/7/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/3/2/8/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/3/4/2/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/3/7/2/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/3/7/8/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/3/8/2/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/4/1/2/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/4/1/6/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/4/1/8/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/4/2/1/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/4/2/3/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/4/2/6/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/4/2/7/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/4/2/8/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/4/3/2/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/4/3/6/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/4/3/8/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/4/6/2/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/4/7/2/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/4/8/1/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/4/8/2/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/4/8/3/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/4/8/7/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/7/1/2/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/7/2/3/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/7/3/1/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/7/3/2/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/7/3/8/
MG-01-TT-00001.0/8/3/2/

woof43
30th April 2011, 03:18 PM
1st split times
1 5.177
2 5.238
3 5.222
4 5.158
5 5.155
6 5.224
7 5.247
8 5.131
Appears the #5 will be very close to the lead, in this race, #1 has ordinary 2nd sectionals needs to be in fresh air to win.
For mine I have the #5 pretty short, followed by the #4

moeee
30th April 2011, 03:56 PM
3 PROFICIENT $4.2
1 SEE YOU LATTE $4.8
2 SPELLBOUND $5.8
6 SIR PEDRO $6.4
5 HIZ GOT CHILLS $12
4 BOWL ALONG $16
7 EYES ON PRIZE $18
9 FORCE MAJEURE $25

Same wagers as in race 3 but numbers 3,1,2,6

woof43
30th April 2011, 04:02 PM
Box Combined Rank
1 $4.66 2
2 $28.82 6
3 $2.26 1
4 $24.81 5
5 $62.11 7
6 $6.56 3
7 $10.13 4
9 $1,250.00 8
Looks like the 1,3,5 will be leaders with the #3 too strong. #6 is the real danger but it will give too much away at the start.

woof43
30th April 2011, 05:16 PM
1st split times.

1 5.155
2 5.188
3 5.141
4 5.144
5 5.136
6 5.206
7 5.224
8 5.174
the 1st splits are so tight in this race the potential for 5 dogs wide at the first could be a reality.
Against what the watchdog have said about the #4 this is it's ideal race considering it's past "misdemeanors", the #8 is going to have to work big time to win this race.

moeee
30th April 2011, 06:19 PM
Moeee here is the top 50 set of trifecta combos
They totally ignore the #5.


Looks like you might have to have a word to the staff :(

I took your advice and boxed 1,2,3,8 in my FlexiTri.
Woulda bin okay had the #5 fell over, but it didn't.