The Meadows

[moeee]

RACE 2

4 BLACK HOMBRE $2.7
5 STAGGER $7
1 KUUSOU RUMBA $7.6
3 DREAM CHICK $7.8
2 DYNA BARB $11
6 SELECT BREAKER $20
7 JUSTIN BALE $20
8 BITTEN $28

Top selection probably leads all the way.
If I can , I'll stay out of this one.

[moeee]

RACE 3

2 CARLOW QUEEN $4.2
1 MRS. FREEZE $5.2
8 JAMAICAN RUBY $5.8
6 LYLEY BIRD $7.2
4 ALL INN BRADY $9
7 JET BLAST $12
5 MARCERI $20
3 RHONIN'S BLADE $66

I wise idea would be to stay out of this one too.

[moeee]

RACE 4

4 DYNA LOWELL $3.8
2 ARAZI $6
5 PROFICIENT $6
1 ALETA ALLEN $7.3
6 MOJITO $10
8 PINUP LASS $15
7 SMOKIN' GONZALES $16
9 GREYWINDS DAN $28

Seems the top selection is an Overlay.
I've taken the $6.50 Fixed Odds for $8.

[moeee]

RACE 5

6 MISS BEL AIR $3.3
5 GAELIC BALE $4
4 MANUEL BALE $10
3 PETER'S PROJECT $11.4
1 CRIME WAVE $12.8
8 KHUMBU $14
2 GOLD RUSH MAX $16
7 LIESEL $20

Hard Race

[moeee]

RACE 6

7 RYBENBROOK $4.6
4 EASY PEASY $4.7
2 MAMIE BALE $8
5 MYSTIC APPLE $8.2
3 YOWYEH $8.6
6 ALLOWANCE $9
8 LEKTRA JOHNSON $20
1 TANIA TWO SHOES $23

Looks like a Big Quaddie tonight.

[woof43]

RACE 4

4 DYNA LOWELL $3.8
2 ARAZI $6
5 PROFICIENT $6
1 ALETA ALLEN $7.3
6 MOJITO $10
8 PINUP LASS $15
7 SMOKIN' GONZALES $16
9 GREYWINDS DAN $28

Seems the top selection is an Overlay.
I've taken the $6.50 Fixed Odds for $8.

1 5.100
2 5.070
9 5.131
4 5.229
5 5.094
6 5.150
7 5.200
8 5.087
When the #4 has won Moee on two turn tracks its been up close to the lead and it's been able to sweep thru the turn, however you look at it the best it will be is 5th early, or last which would be its best position to get an interference free run.
So your going to have at least 3 front runners in front of it and they will be going to run somewhere around their best time, which makes the #4 a gamble to win, I'd play it more for 2nd, 3rd and 4th and have it only to win with some outsiders in the minors, meaning the up front dogs have ruined their chances at the 1st turn.

[moeee]

RACE 7

3 PEDRO'S FINEST $2.9
2 NEW YEAR'S PUNCH $5.4
5 GRANDUER $7.5
4 NAPOLEON TIGER $9.3
7 LUCENT $14
6 ZIPPY GALORE $15
8 DOUBLE CHAMP $16
1 SHAUNY BADTOOTH $33

If the top selection can't account for this lot , then I'll be a Monkeys Uncle.

[woof43]

RACE 3

2 CARLOW QUEEN $4.2
1 MRS. FREEZE $5.2
8 JAMAICAN RUBY $5.8
6 LYLEY BIRD $7.2
4 ALL INN BRADY $9
7 JET BLAST $12
5 MARCERI $20
3 RHONIN'S BLADE $66

I wise idea would be to stay out of this one too.

Box 1st Split Rating
1 $8.30
2 $3.74
3 $15.83
4 $3.24
5 $16.24
6 $66.23
7 $62.71
8 $6.76
Looks like the 1,2&4 should vie for the lead, #8 should get across fine.

#6 has the best second sectionals, but it needs to get thru the 1st sectional free of interference.
4,8,6 for mine based on value at this moment

[moeee]

Moee the #4 a gamble to win, I'd play it more for 2nd, 3rd and 4th


Yeah , I'll have it in them places for sure.
If only I could stay out instead though.

I had a closer look and shifted it out a point , with Proficient in a point.
But Proficient really dissapointed me last week when I had a substantial wager on it , and it failed after looking a great chance at the home turn.

[moeee]

RACE 8

1 AMAKLER GIRL $3.6
2 COSMIC PLANET $4
6 HUTMAKER $6
3 ZIPPSTAR $8.5
8 IN HIDING $14
4 FENNEL BALE $15
5 DISRAELI $25
7 SNOW CRISP $40

[woof43]

RACE 5

6 MISS BEL AIR $3.3
5 GAELIC BALE $4
4 MANUEL BALE $10
3 PETER'S PROJECT $11.4
1 CRIME WAVE $12.8
8 KHUMBU $14
2 GOLD RUSH MAX $16
7 LIESEL $20

Hard Race
I have the #6 a little shorter than your quote.This dogs only started the twice on the this track out of about 30 starts. tells you something
Thought the #8 was a real chance if the odds were good
8,5,4 is what i prefer to the Fav.

1 5.153
2 5.104
3 5.162
4 5.133
5 5.130
6 5.065
7 5.153
8 5.095

[woof43]

1st split times.
1 5.038
2 5.094
3 5.008
4 5.206
5 5.237
6 5.047
7 5.173
8 5.108
Moee, I think the #1 may struggle to lead these dogs, #3 has been racing very well. I thought brittons dog in the #6 would get clean go especially with the slow early #5 sitting under it.
It's tight between the #6 & #8 for the second sectionals.
8,6,3,5 for mine

[woof43]

Moeee, in last weeks Sandown thread you were talking about incorporating odds line into your rating.

What is far more beneficial is to for each dog, in their past formlines, convert their starting price odds to a Natural % then total these decimals points then see how if this dog is over bet by the public to its actual strike rate.

[moeee]

Say the past 18 starts would probably be okay?

[woof43]

yep, you need more then 12 starts at a minimum