Starts from a spell

[gunny72]

Please can someone provide the winning strike rate of horses versus starts from a spell, particularly first up strike rate. I did find some stats previously on this forum but cannot locate them now.
gunny72

[Raven]

gunny, I'll put something together for you.

[gunny72]

Thanks, looking forward to it

[Raven]

Please can someone provide the winning strike rate of horses versus starts from a spell, particularly first up strike rate. I did find some stats previously on this forum but cannot locate them now.
gunny72Lets see if this tables presents ok:

RUNS THIS CAMPAIGN - ALL DISTANCES
HORSES LESS THAN $20

ALL.....1,031,071.....145,188.....14.08%

RFS.....STARTERS.....WINS......S/R..........RF
0........136,224........18,743.....13.76%....0.977
1........173,850........24,787.....14.26%....1.013
2........160,078........23,172.....14.48%....1.028
3........133,491........19,451.....14.57%....1.035
4........106,425........15,660.....14.71%....1.045
5........294,253........39,828.....13.54%.....0.961
6........7,428...............968......13.03%....0.925
7........5,380...............780......14.50%....1.030
8........3,860...............534......13.83%....0.982
9........2,700...............341......12.63%....0.897
10+.....7,382...............924......12.52%....0.889

A slight advantage for horses with between 2 to 4 runs from a spell. Horses with 9 runs plus appear to run below par. First uppers go ok, just a slight disadvantage.

You will notice I did not include runners $20 plus. I have a feeling there would be quite a few first uppers $20 plus (stayers resuming etc) that might have skewed the results.

[gunny72]

Thank you. Excellent data, just what I needed. I'll now spend some time using it in my ratings.
gunny72