The Champions System.(Made up in 5 minutes)

[darkydog2002]

Win % = 70 +

Minimum of 10 Career starts

Last Start exactly 7 Days ago

LS Placing = 1 - 4

Price Today $3 - $10

On Pace Runner

Cheers
darky

[OM SHARNTEE]

Hi darkydog2002

Quote (Made up in 5 minutes)

But you will be waiting 5 months for a bet!!!

Cheers

[darkydog2002]

Probably..
Might be longer if I restrict it to 4 YO geldings.
Wonder whether anyone with a data base will check it.?
Cheers
darky

[aussielongboat]

Probably..
Might be longer if I restrict it to 4 YO geldings.
Wonder whether anyone with a data base will check it.?
Cheers
darky

who are you looking for ?

kingston town mark 2

[aussielongboat]

Probably..
Might be longer if I restrict it to 4 YO geldings.
Wonder whether anyone with a data base will check it.?
Cheers
darky


over 12 months for just about all Tattsbet gallops meetings - Aus and OS
selections 213
winners 33
win retn 173
plcs 88
pls retn 183

thus looses about 15%

if you open up the SP you get
selections 393
winners 48
win retn 266
plcs 131
pls retn 317

thus looses about 20%

[darkydog2002]

Woeful eh.?
Thanks
darky

[enjay]

Hi Aussielongboat.

Your bets must have all been overseas.

Using these rules.

DD.TEST
Horse Win %: 70 - 100
Career Starts: 10 - 999
Days to Last Start: 7 - 7
Last Start Finish Pos: 1 - 4
SP Price: 3.0 - 10.0 NOT CONCERNED WITH ON PACE RUNNER>

My Australian database back to Jan 2010 shows no bets at all..??

Even these rules show no results.
DD TEST
Horse Win %: 70 - 100
Career Starts: 10 - 999
Days to Last Start: 7 - 7

Using these rules
DD TEST
Horse Win %: 70 - 100
Career Starts: 1 - 999
Days to Last Start: 7 - 7
Shows only 12 bets for one win - loss of 87%.


Enjay

[norisk]

Lay systems galore from the looks of it;)

[aussielongboat]

Hi Aussielongboat.

Your bets must have all been overseas.

Using these rules.

DD.TEST
Horse Win %: 70 - 100
Career Starts: 10 - 999
Days to Last Start: 7 - 7
Last Start Finish Pos: 1 - 4
SP Price: 3.0 - 10.0 NOT CONCERNED WITH ON PACE RUNNER>

My Australian database back to Jan 2010 shows no bets at all..??

Even these rules show no results.
DD TEST
Horse Win %: 70 - 100
Career Starts: 10 - 999
Days to Last Start: 7 - 7

Using these rules
DD TEST
Horse Win %: 70 - 100
Career Starts: 1 - 999
Days to Last Start: 7 - 7
Shows only 12 bets for one win - loss of 87%.


Enjay

yeah - you are right - i actually did min 7 wins and min 10 starts
so the win % may be quite low.
70% SR gave us nothing - like you said.
i overlooked clarifying that in my response.
IMHO these obvious " banker" systems always lose because the animal is over-bet.
not worth separating on pace runners - or as i said we would be waiting for kingston town to get up from the grave to qualify

cheers
aussie

[darkydog2002]

Yep.Bin this idea or sell it to Bazza eh Norm.
Cheers
darky

[aussielongboat]

Yep.Bin this idea or sell it to Bazza eh Norm.
Cheers
darky
bin

[Barny]

The issue I see with this system is that you pick up the Weekend Husslers and Here De Angels of this world, and a truck load of more recent nags who's names escape me. Those that have won a bucketload of races early on but haven't gone on with it. I would flick the 1 - 4 last start and go for last start winner and something like one or two wins this campaign. There are a heap of nags who win 6 from their first seven or thereabouts and do little afterwards. I know this because I follow a Win% system and have a filter that gives these types the flick.

IT IS amazing how many nags win plenty in their first 6 or 7 runs then ..... nought !!!!

My pleasure ...... please send unmarked notes in a brown envelope to IM A GENIARSE, PO BOX 389, CAMERON(S) CORNER (the S is optional and you would know that if you've been there!)

[aussielongboat]

The issue I see with this system is that you pick up the Weekend Husslers and Here De Angels of this world, and a truck load of more recent nags who's names escape me. Those that have won a bucketload of races early on but haven't gone on with it. I would flick the 1 - 4 last start and go for last start winner and something like one or two wins this campaign. There are a heap of nags who win 6 from their first seven or thereabouts and do little afterwards. I know this because I follow a Win% system and have a filter that gives these types the flick.

IT IS amazing how many nags win plenty in their first 6 or 7 runs then ..... nought !!!!

My pleasure ...... please send unmarked notes in a brown envelope to IM A GENIARSE, PO BOX 389, CAMERON(S) CORNER (the S is optional and you would know that if you've been there!)

in reality it doesnt become a problem because there are no almost selections
or at least none that I can see.

cheers
aussie

[Barny]

yeah aussielongboat, 7 days last start must restrict it to nought selections.

[Chrome Prince]

Barny and that's the reason I steer away from the up and comers, the 2YO and 3YO champs.
Only a small percentage go on with it.

[Barny]

Hi Chrome Prince, I follow a system based on a fairly high Win% base, and it takes a heck of a lot of losing runs to eliminate a horse that's won say 6 out of it's first seven. As you say, most don't go on with it. That's my experience too. Get rid of them straight away and you're saving yourself a lot of "under priced" losing bets. Also get rid of them from the database that you're using to analyse your system because having Black Caviar and Sepoy in there will give you a great strike rate, and show a lot of promise ..... but there's no sense to it.

[darkydog2002]

Although its a dud system I,d immediately dump last start winners as the 14 % win ratio does absolutely nothing to engender confidence.
Cheers
darky