View Full Version : Bayesian Inferencing Systems

jazzy

3rd March 2012, 06:47 AM

I hope it's not against the rules to link to another forum...

Anyroad, I stumbled upon the following thread:

http://www.flatstats.co.uk/ppp/viewtopic.php?t=1831

I know it's old, but I found it interesting anyway and thought I might share.

Cheers

AngryPixie

3rd March 2012, 09:52 AM

Jazzy you could drown in all the different permutations that make up a horse race :)

I've a copy of the Punters Revenge that I thumb through occasionally. It's showing it's age a bit.

It's here also. Not sure if it's the whole thing.

"Punters Revenge..." (http://books.google.com.au/books/about/The_punter_s_revenge.html?id=JNk9AAAAIAAJ&redir_esc=y)

Pretty sure CXWONG discusses likelihood ratios in this pretty useful book

"Precision: Statistical and Mathematical Methods in Horse Racing" (http://www.amazon.com/Precision-Statistical-Mathematical-Methods-ebook/dp/B004VT0UA6/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1330731709&sr=8-1)

The following is a thought provoking book also. It makes me smile when pundits tell you that you can't win by following the crowd. ;)

"The Wisdom of Crowds" (http://www.amazon.com/The-Wisdom-Crowds-James-Surowiecki/dp/0385721706/ref=sr_1_cc_1?s=aps&ie=UTF8&qid=1330732121&sr=1-1-catcorr)

All good stuff for your racing library.

darkydog2002

3rd March 2012, 09:53 AM

Thanks Jazzy.

Cheers

darky

woof43

3rd March 2012, 04:32 PM

I hope it's not against the rules to link to another forum...

Anyroad, I stumbled upon the following thread:

http://www.flatstats.co.uk/ppp/viewtopic.php?t=1831

I know it's old, but I found it interesting anyway and thought I might share.

Cheers

When people try to employ this stuff, they generally become confused as to what edge they are trying to create, is it a wagering edge or a handicapping edge? Either is tackled from a different perspective.

UselessBettor

3rd March 2012, 08:33 PM

When people try to employ this stuff, they generally become confused as to what edge they are trying to create, is it a wagering edge or a handicapping edge? Either is tackled from a different perspective.

I assume by handicapping edge you mean strike rate and by wagering edge you mean POT ?

norisk

4th March 2012, 12:07 PM

Pretty sure CXWONG discusses likelihood ratios in this pretty useful book

"Precision: Statistical and Mathematical Methods in Horse Racing" (http://www.amazon.com/Precision-Statistical-Mathematical-Methods-ebook/dp/B004VT0UA6/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1330731709&sr=8-1)

Have you read this one yet AngryPixie? It has been recommended to me & I have it on order.

AngryPixie

4th March 2012, 01:05 PM

Have you read this one yet AngryPixie? It has been recommended to me & I have it on order.

Yes had it on the Kindle since last year. At some places the translation from Cantonese is a bit like its been done by Google Translator or something but the content very interesting. Some useful spreadsheets for download also.

norisk

4th March 2012, 01:17 PM

Thanks, I am looking forward to it.

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