Target 600

[moeee]

I'll be seeking to win $600 in this thread.

The Meadows Race 5
2 MALIBU $3.3

The $3.3 is about as short a Price as I will accept.
I'ld like to win about $60 on the race , so the Wager size will be $60 divided by $2.3 , or whatever the odds available are.
So thats about $25 the Win.

[moeee]

Poor race and will be chasing $30 this time.

4 SONIC LEGEND $4.1

So thats $30 divided by 3 makes it a $10 Win Bet here

[moeee]

I cant split 2 animals here.
Both are possessed with early speed.
I have decided to gp a Quinella for $8 worth

7 USAIN OCTANE
2 FAST RED

[moeee]

Well now I'm chasing $625 after getting $3.87 about Malibu.
Close but no cigar after it gets run down by the Simone Fisher trained dog.
Her animals are running very well at the minute.

[moeee]

And then the target became $635 after securing $4.20 on Betfair about Sonic Legend who got totally smashed out of it.

Starting to get a little bit tilted and am considering a Win Bet in the Next if one of the quinella selections is at large Overlay , which is doubtful

EDIT: Seems FAST RED is much better Odds than is Usain Octane and I will be backing it to win and dropping the Quinella and taking Exacta 7 - 2 for $5
Win Bet Size is to return about $60 , so is in the $15 vicinity

[moeee]

Well i managed to make a meal of Race 7.
By the time i posted here , the $4.40 Fixed Odds about the winner were down to $3.90 and I figured I would try waiting for $4.40 at betfair , but it never happened.

Lets just say I lost $8 like I said I was going to invest.

So thats now target of $643 and feeling very ordinary.

In The Meadows race 8 there is no wager , but I am on tilt , so am taking a Box Quinella of the top 4 selections in this Market
That will be costing $6

8 DALE BALE $4.3
2 WONGAWILLI SIMON $6.1
3 EL RIO $6.3
5 BLACK JACA $6.5
1 SO MANIC $9.5
7 SISCO TURBO $11.2
6 KILRUSH $14.2
4 HIPPY PRINCESS $36

[moeee]

Shepparton Race 6

1 TARMAC BEAUTY $2.7
2 STOP THE CLOCK $3.9
8 IKARI THUNDER $6.1
7 NANCY JAY $10
6 GOOD SENSATION $15
4 SEISMIC TEXAN $30
3 BENALLA GAL $40

I've totally lost the plot and am throwing $14 into the trifecta Pool rather than just backing the red to win.
I'm worried the Check mows it down

1 - 2 - 8 - $3
2 - 1 - 8 - $2.5
1 - 8 - 2 - $2
1 - 2 - 7 - $1.5
2 - 1 - 7 - $1.5
2 - 8 - 1 - $1.5
1 - 8 - 7 - $1
2 - 7 - 1 - $1

[moeee]

How about $15 on #6 ARNIE'S STAR

I expect it to lead these all the way.
$3 is as low a Price I will accept.

[moeee]

Bendigo Race 3

7 LET ME BE for $14 a Win.
$2.80 would be nice.

[moeee]

Bendigo race 5

6 MICKIE GEE for $25 at $2.30 or so

[moeee]

GEE!!!! Got a collect with Mickie Gee
Backed it on supertab.

Profitted on the race to get this thread in the black now at Target $595
Yes thats right customers.
All that risk so far to win $5 :(

[moeee]

SANDOWN Race 6

4 OUR SNOWMAN
Anything over Evens will be just fine and dandy for $25 worth

[moeee]

SANDOWN Race 7

1 CLASSY BLING $2.2
7 VAPOUR FLASH $4.6
8 KING'S KARIZZMA $10
5 ALLEGIANCE $10
6 DODGE THE BATTEN $16
4 ZENDA $25
2 NEVIL LONGBOTTOM $25
9 BRUTIS MAXIMUS $200

So there are only 2 winning Chances here.
The Red is much too good, except for that their is another inexperienced animal that I have trouble lining up.

the situation is that The Market will tell how good the black is , and will influence my wager - OR NOT!

If I decide the Black is rubbish then I place $30 on the Red looking for $2.50 or so.
If there is plenty of money for the Black then I would want a lot better than $2.50 about the Red.
In either case I do not back the Black.
But if the red is Odds On , then I back the black for a small amount - like $10 because I am having a good day - get it?
How and what and why to wager turns losers into winners

[woof43]

well done

[woof43]

thought the #1 red would be odds on in the 7th

[woof43]

Bendigo has been a nightmare for Fav. punters they are currently in -30% + territory

[moeee]

Bendigo has been a nightmare for Fav. punters they are currently in -30% + territory

I guess it should be at minus 15%.
New Track , New Distances , maybe even New Punters.
Plus the last 2 Meetings had a massive amount of New Dogs so I,m not surprised

[moeee]

In the Real World , things happen.

Like , in the previous Race I was concerned about taking the $3 about the Red on the tote , because indications were that that Price wouldn't hold.
It did but I chose to let the race go, but the animal failed and I saved my money , even though I tried to get set last second.
Part of my problem is not having Live Video due to not being prepared to pay the extra $20 per month for access to Sky 2.

But for the purposes of this thread I include the loss and the Target is now $585.

Here is Race 8 Market

3 DAINTREE ATOM $3.4
1 SHOW ME HOW $3.5
7 MISS LOUISE $4.9
8 MAN OF MYSTERY $14
6 SUZIE WAVES $15
5 CIVIC OCTANE $33
2 SHAZZLE MONELLI $33
4 SHELDON COOPER $40

If u have a spare $3 , buy yourself a Box Trifecta of 317 - I will be.

[woof43]

That red dog wants the outside from the boxes, thats why it was going to be layed. based on times its odds on, but being subjective it was always going to be longer

[moeee]

That red dog wants the outside from the boxes, thats why it was going to be layed. based on times its odds on, but being subjective it was always going to be longer

If you are talking about race 7 , then there was never much better than Even Money available at Betfair yet started $2.70 on SuperTab , so i figure it wasn't in fact laid.
But everyone looks at the same things and sees different.
Thats why Punting continues to exist.
And thats why some win and some lose.

[moeee]

Cranbourne race 7

6 LEELICIOUS for $30 and looking for around $2.40

[moeee]

So that was a $43 collect on Leelicious makes the target $542

I'm liking something in race 10 at Cranbourne

5 AXEMAN @ $4.5
The Wager will be $10