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moeee
1st May 2012, 10:56 AM
After having totally lost the plot as to what and how yesterday , I am Back to Basics.

WARRAGUL Race 5

8 ODIE FOR NOW $2.3
4 EL MULATTO $4.8
7 HODGE $6.4
1 BEYOND BROOKLYN $12
5 DAINTREE ROCKET $14
6 AERON BALE $30
2 ON THE GRID $80
3 MIGHTY GRUMPY $120

Slight doubt about the Pink getting around safely , otherwise Just Wins.
Only 2 possible dangers.
Box Trifecta should salute and First 4 comprises the top 5 selections.

moeee
1st May 2012, 11:28 AM
WARRAGUL Race 4

4 EURICO BALE $2.3
8 ARVO'S TWINK $7.9
5 ABSINTH SHOT $8.3
3 LEKTRA FLY $8.6
1 SONIC CHICK $15
7 ALWAYS PUZZLED $18
6 INVICTUS BIGGS $23
2 GO DEONNIE $24

2 queries that prevent the top selection being a certainty.
First start at the track.
And has been missing for 4 weeks after hurting itself last start.
I will be checking its weight tonight and also keeping an eye on the Market.

moeee
1st May 2012, 12:00 PM
WARRAGUL Race 3

5 UNDERCOVER GIRL $3.9
1 MASTER HUGH $6.1
3 IRVINE BALE $6.2
6 ALPINE PLAYER $6.8
7 CHYNA RUN $7.9
8 LIKA TORNADO $17.7
4 BLONDE POTTER $18.6
2 KINETIC BOOST $25

5 Winning Chances.
I leave it at that.

moeee
1st May 2012, 12:32 PM
HORSHAM Race 6

7 VOX POP $3.9
6 SIX BOB $4
5 DON'S FANTASY $5.4
3 QUIET BRAD $6.7
2 ELITE CITY $14
1 SURFIN' TIGER $27
4 ZAZOOM MAGIC $39
8 AWESOME BLUEY $41

4 winning Chances here
should go close to running the first 4
I'll be doing Race 8 at Horsham and will be taking some Daily Doubles.

moeee
1st May 2012, 01:26 PM
HORSHAM Race 8

1 KYNAN'S EXPRESS $3.8
3 RUWI'S REVENGE $6.4
4 LEKTRA IMPACT $7.8
2 ELITE LOMBO $8.3
6 TURKISH DELIGHT $9
5 CARLOS WEST $11.7
8 TIGER FLY $12.5
7 CRYSTAL CARNAGE $16

I could back 7 runners here and not be surprised if i missed the Winner.
So why make things worse by guessing.

I suggest Daily Doubles withn the top selection only.
7,6,5,3 - 1 for various Units totalling $8 worth.

moeee
1st May 2012, 02:33 PM
WARRAGUL Race 8

7 DYNA HACKETT $4
5 PHILDAVIAN $4.1
4 MID LEVELS $6.8
1 MOSCARDO $7.2
6 MAKIN' WAVES $12
8 VINTAGE DIAMOND $16
3 KARINGAL TOTE $25
2 LANBROOK ARCHIE $30

All the better animals are drawn poorly here.
Perhaps might be a thought monitoring the available Place Price of the red runner.

moeee
1st May 2012, 03:24 PM
WARRAGUL Race 6

5 CALL THE POLICE $3.6
2 ARVO'S VIXEN $3.8
4 RANCHO TEXICANO $7.7
3 THEATRICAL GIRL $10
1 MOROTAI $12
8 ALLEN BENJI $15
6 HENRY STOMPER $20
7 METRIC WAVES $30

Only the 2 Winning Chances here.

moeee
1st May 2012, 04:04 PM
WARRAGUL Race 2

4 SUAREZ $3.8
2 DEWANA EL GALO $7
5 DR. TYE $7.1
3 ALDUS BALE $8.4
8 ARCTIC WARRIOR $9.5
6 NUGGET CHOICE $9.6
1 ARVO'S BEATTIE $11
7 ARVO'S ROCCO $25

The top selection should beat these , but keep an eye out for an Overlay Price about the Checks.
Is $21 in The Watchdog although that is often a poor Guide to the Available Market.

moeee
1st May 2012, 04:44 PM
HORSHAM Race 6

7 VOX POP $3.9
6 SIX BOB $4
5 DON'S FANTASY $5.4
3 QUIET BRAD $6.7
2 ELITE CITY $14
1 SURFIN' TIGER $27
4 ZAZOOM MAGIC $39
8 AWESOME BLUEY $41

4 winning Chances here
should go close to running the first 4


Perhaps i should have taken my own advice :(
Simply forgot what I suggested apart from the Daily Doubles.
Not that the First 4 paid much. $128

woof43
1st May 2012, 04:48 PM
Adjusted to meadows
1 30.770 0.200
2 30.645 0.339
3 30.579 0.169
4 30.409 0.149
5 30.561 0.235
6 30.660 0.212
7 30.635 0.278
8 30.464 0.053

I have the #4 about a $2.50 chance of leading at the 1st turn Moee, the other dogs I figure are the #8 & #7 both of these will have pace to be close early and to perform well. I have the #2 a $10.60 chance.
Query dog for mine is the #5 , This is the type I like to anchor the 2nd leg of running doubles. It is under the radar type normally a slow beginner, but when it wins jumps really well.

moeee
1st May 2012, 05:11 PM
I have the #2 a $10.60 chance.

Query dog for mine is the #5 , This is the type I like to anchor the 2nd leg of running doubles.

A $10.60 Chance to do what? Lead? Who Cares - I base my assessment on its Winning Chance and have factored in that it won't be leading.

Good Luck with the Maiden Final in your running Doubles.
I know they are your Favourite sort of Races.
Not for me.

woof43
1st May 2012, 05:13 PM
1 30.743 0.279
10 30.997 0.244
3 30.497 0.327
4 30.829 0.230
5 30.468 0.295
6 30.580 0.191
7 30.360 0.224
8 30.874 0.261
1st split odds
Box Payoff Rank
1 $3.12 1
10 $34.36 5
3 $19.76 4
4 $270.27 8
5 $3.38 2
6 $91.74 7
7 $3.63 3
8 $68.97 6
the #5 has to be 1-2 to win at the turn, #1 when leading only goes 30.70 wouldn't think thats quick enough to beat these.

woof43
1st May 2012, 05:15 PM
A $10.60 Chance to do what? Lead? Who Cares - I base my assessment on its Winning Chance and have factored in that it won't be leading.

Good Luck with the Maiden Final in your running Doubles.
I know they are your Favourite sort of Races.
Not for me.

To win moee.

moeee
1st May 2012, 05:22 PM
HORSHAM Race 8

1 KYNAN'S EXPRESS $3.8
3 RUWI'S REVENGE $6.4
4 LEKTRA IMPACT $7.8
2 ELITE LOMBO $8.3



I took Exacta with the top selection to beat Elite Lombo.
Just as it looked like he may get a flukey run , he cops a massive check and does a triple somersault and then slams heavily into the outside concrete wall
Poor fella :(

moeee
1st May 2012, 05:26 PM
To win moee.

I'm sorry - it read different to me.
You seen what time it has run here?
Best Times have it easily on top.
Broke 30 seconds in a Trial at Sandown recently.

I'm not suggesting it will repeat , but I will take $10 every time they run this Race.

woof43
1st May 2012, 06:41 PM
1 30.439 0.243
2 30.768 0.176
3 30.444 0.240
4 30.250 0.263
5 30.323 0.261
6 30.420 0.210
7 30.436 0.330
8 30.732 0.275

Box 1st Split Rating Rank
1 $3.53 1
2 $21.12 6
3 $85.47 8
4 $5.93 3
5 $4.63 2
6 $32.10 7
7 $6.52 4
8 $11.27 5
Moee, the #4 is the best speed dog but it has pace drawn outside but to slow dogs under, but that also benefits the #1
Difference is the #4 will run 30.15 when 1-2 at the turn whereas the #1 will go 30.30, #5 drops off once challenged with serious early pace

moeee
1st May 2012, 06:42 PM
WARRAGUL Race 7

1 RILEY'S MATE $1.9
5 DR. BAILEY $5.9
3 CHIC SHIRAZ $7.7
6 FIB A LOT $13
8 SPIRIT CATCHER $20
7 DARRYL'S FUTURE $25
2 KATNOOK SPIRIT $100
4 STERJOVSKI $300

Totally no excuse for missing this First 4

1 - 5,3 - 5,3,6 - 5,3,6,8,7
The mighty skinny dividend is the problem.

moeee
1st May 2012, 06:51 PM
WOW!

I thought I had some deadly accurate Markets today , but I am doing as poorly as I did yesterday , if not worse :(

woof43
1st May 2012, 07:57 PM
1 30.432 0.236
2 30.614 0.204
3 30.574 0.255
4 30.485 0.182
5 30.352 0.310
6 30.558 0.302
7 30.325 0.253
8 30.497 0.208
Box 1st Split Rating Rank
1 $5.72 2
2 $28.29 7
3 $10.47 5
4 $7.22 4
5 $3.16 1
6 $43.20 8
7 $6.60 3
8 $15.54 6
The #5 has been showing impeccable box manners recently, more so then the #1 who has a habit of missing it, no doubt the #7 is a good dog and its young compared to most of the others