View Full Version : Cranbourne Greyhounds
moeee
7th May 2012, 04:00 PM
Race 4
1 WHERE'S HANNIBAL $3.6
3 LINGUIST $6.2
8 UNDERCOVER GIRL $6.3
2 ZONTEA $7.8
7 IRVINE BALE $8.6
6 ARNIE'S STAR $10
5 BIG BLUE ROOSTER $20
4 ARVO'S BIANCA $75
Probably best to make it as least complicated as is necessary
Back the top selection to win.
There are simply just too many place prospects in the race.
moeee
7th May 2012, 04:21 PM
Wow
What a wipeout.
Couldn't get anywhere near the odds about the top selection , but got what I thought were MASSIVE Overlay about 2nd selection , but it did absolutely nothing :(
RACE 5
1 TAKE IT HOME $3.5
6 PRANCING JOE $4.9
5 SISCO TURBO $5.1
4 PHIL LE CHEF $9
2 OILY $12.3
7 OH CARITAS $12.6
3 SQUEEKY TAYLOR $33
8 PARAGON BUSTER $50
Try Boxing the top 3 selections in Exacta and Trifecta for 50 cents.
And if the top selection can stay - it wins
moeee
7th May 2012, 04:35 PM
Goodness me!
From zero to hero in the space of 20 minutes.
Just shows the roller coaster ride that is Punting.
RACE 6
8 OUR BUDDY $3.3
2 OOMOO $3.6
3 LINDEN MAGPIE $5.8
1 TOUGH DEFENDER $8.8
4 SAINT NEO $12
6 SISCO STYLE $30
5 GREEK IRISH $50
7 DAYDREAMER $250
Looks a dead set Quinella.
But I will go wider in my Exotics
Here should contain all winners.
8,2 - 8,2,3,1 - 8,2,3,1 - 8,2,3,1,4
moeee
7th May 2012, 04:52 PM
OUCH!!
Brought back to earth with a thud there even though the top 3 selections ran the placings.
RACE 7
3 WHY NOT HAPPY $5
1 MR. SHARP $5.1
6 SIMONOVA $5.3
4 LEKTRA FLY $6.5
8 HELLBENT LAD $7.5
7 LESLIE'S EXPRESS $19
5 ARVO'S BEATTIE $22
2 SISCO BIG $30
I have not the foggiest as to what to do here.
Lets try a First 4 Flexi for $4 worth
3,1 - 3,1,6 - 3,1,6,4 - 3,1,6,4,8
moeee
7th May 2012, 05:08 PM
Yep.
Its all falling apart now.
Picking quite well but wagering is getting tedious.
RACE 8
2 FULL CIRCLE $4
3 I'M FOOLING $6.1
1 EARS TYSON $8
8 ELITE CHI CHI $8.3
6 LINDEN KING $9.4
5 OUR PALE ALE $11.8
7 WHY NOT JAMES $12.2
4 GRAND COBBLER $15
Here's the Market I prepared but have zero confidence in it.
I'll waste a further $4 just in case of sudden Form reversal
2,3 - 2,3,1,8, - 2,3,1,8,6
moeee
7th May 2012, 06:12 PM
Here's one I done for SHEPPARTON
Race 8
7 BRENNA BALE $2.6
1 ABIT PATCHY $6.2
5 SCHNELLE FLYER $7.9
2 GOMES $8.6
4 BRYNNE BALE $14.5
3 LUCZAK $16
6 SOUTHWOOD BOLT $20
8 VAPOUR SHAKER $28
This one should be deadly accurate
The obvious wager to me looks like a Trifecta
7 - 1,5,2 - 1,5,2 for $1
And it wouldn't hurt to purchase a Box Quinella for 50 cents
1,5,2
Here's the progress
If you cou;ld call it that :(
Peak $7,701
Current $7,352
Loss -$348
woof43
7th May 2012, 07:40 PM
Moee, did you assess this race and if you did, did you review the Watchdog comments. makes interesting reading
moeee
7th May 2012, 08:17 PM
No I didn't Woof43 , but I may have a go as I not doing much else tonight.
Could you do me something if you have a spare half hour?
Visit this Web Page and see if there is anything extremely useful there.
http://www.aussportsbetting.com/guide/betting-strategies/maximising-expected-return-to-risk-ratio/
woof43
7th May 2012, 08:49 PM
Box 1st Split Rating Rank
1 $7.60 5
2 $4.25 1
3 $44.74 8
4 $13.63 6
5 $7.10 4
6 $17.18 7
10 $5.42 2
8 $6.50 3
split payoffs.
even though the #1 is ranked 5th it is just marginally behind at the first turn.
moeee
7th May 2012, 08:57 PM
Moee, did you assess this race and if you did, did you review the Watchdog comments. makes interesting reading
1 ALANA BALE $2.1
5 PORTLEE LADY $10.7
6 BRONTE'S SECRET $11.6
4 CEE RIOLI $13.1
3 MOONLITE SPICE $14.6
2 MISS SHANETTI $15.1
8 ORIENTAL LILLY $15.6
7 BOTHA BALE $17.2
So what did I miss out on noticing in The WATCHDOG???
woof43
7th May 2012, 09:02 PM
Hmmm I thought you would have had the #10 rated a lot higher
woof43
7th May 2012, 09:10 PM
1 30.559
2 30.644
3 30.592
4 30.529
5 30.618
6 30.648
10 30.410
8 30.503
my times for that race adjusted to meadows
was a good result in the end
moeee
7th May 2012, 09:11 PM
Why do I get sucked into messing with races that I simply have no business messing with?
Not only that , but the wager was even higher than I spent on races I do feel good about.
Now another $25 I must try and recoup tomorrow :(
But that's fine - it can happen!
woof43
7th May 2012, 09:31 PM
1 30.315
9 30.754
3 30.395
4 30.651
5 30.707
6 30.837
7 30.538
8 30.480
adjusted to meadows
Box 1st Split Rating Rank
1 $5.70 3
9 $48.31 6
3 $2.96 1
4 $28.78 5
5 $571.43 7
6 $2,000.00 8
7 $6.89 4
8 $3.53 2
#1 gets it's chance now drawn on the rails, to show it's best
vBulletin v3.0.3, Copyright ©2000-2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.