$6 Warragul Quaddie Suggestion

[moeee]

3 - 5,7,1 - 2,8,6,7,1 - 2 for $3 worth
3 - 5,7,1 - 2,8,6,7,1 - 3 for $2 worth
3 - 5,7,1 - 2,8,6,7,1 - 4 for $1 worth

[woof43]

Box 1st Split Rating Rank
1 $8.18 3
2 $3.94 1
3 $12.67 6
4 $42.83 8
9 $14.37 7
6 $8.32 4
7 $8.37 5
8 $4.71 2
adjusted to the meadows
1 30.449
2 30.263
3 30.368
4 30.534
9 30.608
6 30.182
7 30.198
8 30.404
BREAK %
1 0.064
2 0.290
3 0.714
4 0.333
9 0.077
6 0.117
7 0.515
8 0.583
% of time they miss the jump
1,6,2 pretty consistent in beginning well

[moeee]

Well Woof43.
Don't know what to make of that Break Percentage data.
Seems the most inconsistent animal won.

I got back most of the yesterdays damage via Horsham today.
Poor night at Warragul so far though


WARRAGUL Race 8

2 NORTHERN TROUBLE $3.1
3 CROSSFARNOGUE $4.6
4 OPTIMISTIC STAR $6.2
6 LORDIE KEATS $13.5
8 LED ZEPPELIN $13.7
1 JUST SUPREME $16
5 ON THE GRID $22
7 METRIC WAVES $25

I expect trifecta to be within this lot
2,3,4 - 2,3,4 - 2,3,4,6,8

[woof43]

Yes but check its time, the most important data you miss, the Fav. is not the best on time. if you kept records a light bulb would have turned on

[moeee]

Yes but check its time, the most important data you miss, the Fav. is not the best on time. if you kept records a light bulb would have turned on

Woof43.
My light bulbs must be very low wattage as I very rarely see anything in your figures , yet you always seem to be finding the Winners.

I post some suggested wagers and if they come in , then they do.
If they don't , then they don't.
There is no point in being cryptic when trying to assist members.

Here's Race 11

3 SIK EM MAX $3.9
2 SIENNA SAL $5.5
8 ON A DAY $7.4
4 EARLY RETURN $8.3
6 FLASHING WISH $9.4
5 OCTAGON $12.3
1 REGAL WOO $12.8
7 SEISMIC WHITE $25

I think the Trifecta comes from the top 5 selections again.
Something like this will go very close
3,2 - 3,2,8 - 3,2,8,4,6

[woof43]

Race 11 adjusted to meadows
1 30.602
2 30.434
3 30.345
4 30.684
5 30.447
6 30.528
7 30.537
8 30.343

[woof43]

1 5.257
2 5.063
3 5.149
4 5.138
5 5.162
6 5.101
7 5.264
8 5.128
adjusted meadows

[moeee]

I got $9 about the Checks at Betfair and it wasn't strong enough to hold out #6
Copped a nasty bump , but it would probably have weakened had it run unscathed.

I just need to make a bit more effort in handicapping animals that I am not familiar with (#3)
Tomorrow.

Good handicapping on that Race Woof43.
I expect you may have wagered profitably , although I understand you don't like taking Favourites so perhaps not.

Here's my Voucher

Peak $7,701
Current $7,395
Loss -$306

I seem to have settled down with my wagering and am sort of averaging a $40 profit every day lately
I just need to persevere with it for another 8 days :)
Not Likely though.

[woof43]

Good handicapping on that Race Woof43.
I expect you may have wagered profitably , although I understand you don't like taking Favourites so perhaps not.


to cut to the chase, it is when the fav is not in the top two for speed (know thy strike rates), then it is about backing all the overlays

this is where you should develop two distinct wagering approaches

[moeee]

this is where you should develop two distinct wagering approaches

Sometimes , If I take a skinny animal Blonk in my Exotics , I will take some extra tiny percentages with the Favourite missing completely.
This is so when the Favourite is an excessive Underlay and I have trouble backing an animal to beat it , but want a wager going should the favourite fall down.