Longershots for today 2.6.12

[kellmark]

Warwick Farm

Race 4 4

Sandown

Race 7 2
Race 8 13

Speculatives

Race 6 9

Eagle Farm

Race 5 6
Race 6 10

Speculatives

Race 5 14
Race 7 6,11
Race 8 5,6

[Lord Greystoke]

Nice work Kellmark.
You are a niche player on the longer shots I see.

Would be interesting to see what they might do to Quaddie divvie!

LG

[kellmark]

Good afternoon LG, thanks for your message.

Looking for long shot winners is a passion of mine. Is it more difficult to do that than pick a short priced winner? Probably, if you look at prices of shorter priced winners as a proportion of all winners. It's as much as finding a valid reason why a 25/1 can win as why a 2/1 can't. But if picking winners full stop was that easy the betting agencies would soon be broke.
For Saturdays longershots it's a case of a mechanical system based on form and class. I do Provincial Flutter on Sundays, which is a work in progress, which uses no form analysis at all but still throws up big priced winners. Makes you wonder sometimes. If you keep good records patterns do come up. I use them mostly for exactas, either boxed 4 or 4 and the field. I've collected some whopper divs and am well ahead there.
Good to see others enjoy the extra challenge of finding those surprise winners! Cheers

[Mike367]

Nice work, I'll keep an eye on your future longer shot posts
cheers,
Mike