View Full Version : Trifecta's
Benny
14th October 2012, 05:05 AM
How do I calculate the prob of multiple trifecta's Using the Don Scott methord
Try Try Again
14th October 2012, 08:48 AM
Hi Benny,
Not sure what you are actually asking for but if you are looking for a formula to calculate theoretical trifecta dividends then Dr Roger Dedman in his book Commonsense Punting gave us the following formula
{x * [(x*y-1)] *[z+1]/[x+1] -1
where x is odds of winner, y is odds of 2nd placegetter and z is odds of 3rd placegetter.
e.g. if x = $3.00 (2/1), y = $4.00 (3/1), z = $5.00 (4/1)
2*[(2*3-1)]*[4+1]/[2+1] -1
= [2*5*5/3]-1
= 50/3 -1
= 16.67 - 1
= 15.67 to 1
= $16.67
If this is not what you're after then I'm sorry to have wasted your time.
Benny
14th October 2012, 11:21 AM
Hi Benny,
Not sure what you are actually asking for but if you are looking for a formula to calculate theoretical trifecta dividends then Dr Roger Dedman in his book Commonsense Punting gave us the following formula
{x * [(x*y-1)] *[z+1]/[x+1] -1
where x is odds of winner, y is odds of 2nd placegetter and z is odds of 3rd placegetter.
e.g. if x = $3.00 (2/1), y = $4.00 (3/1), z = $5.00 (4/1)
2*[(2*3-1)]*[4+1]/[2+1] -1
= [2*5*5/3]-1
= 50/3 -1
= 16.67 - 1
= 15.67 to 1
= $16.67
If this is not what you're after then I'm sorry to have wasted your time.
It's just what I need. Thanks
Benny
14th October 2012, 03:02 PM
Is there any way that I can use a speadsheet to do the calulations. I take no more than 5 horses which is 60 tickets.
Try Try Again
14th October 2012, 08:05 PM
Hi Benny,
If you can list your email address I have put together a spreadsheet you can use for up to 5 horses.
Benny
15th October 2012, 10:55 AM
Hi Benny,
If you can list your email address I have put together a spreadsheet you can use for up to 5 horses.
This is my backup email
rhea5355@hotmail.com
Try Try Again
15th October 2012, 11:13 AM
Hi Benny,
I'll send the excel file later this afternoon.
Regards
TTA
Try Try Again
15th October 2012, 03:03 PM
Hi Benny,
I have sent you the spreadsheet. Let me know that you receive it.
Regards
TTA
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