PDA

View Full Version : Betfair vs Tab for Odds On Prices


mattio
14th October 2012, 10:21 AM
This is a question someone who collects Betfair prices and has knowledge of their comparison to Tab prices. I am testing a lay theory for odds on horses and need to know what the approximate betfair prices might be compared to the Tab. I have been working on the theory that betfair will be 10% better in this price range but a more accurate figure would be good if anyone can help.

Cheers,

Mat.

UselessBettor
14th October 2012, 11:52 AM
The answer is it depends on each selection. I wouldn't use an average becasue its likely to be wrong.

Overall for all tatts odds on

Tatts average price : $1.67
Betfair Average price : $1.80

For winners:
Tatts average price :$1.65
Betfair Average price : 1.76

Commission is already factored in.

mattio
14th October 2012, 01:35 PM
Thats the problem though UB, I don't have each selection hence the question. I do know that the lower the price generally the closer it is to tab so I will just go with 10% and see how it fairs in the real world. Thanks for the info.

Lord Greystoke
14th October 2012, 01:52 PM
Moving closer/closest to parity for <$1.50 shots at or just before jump then...

Interesting.

LG

UselessBettor
14th October 2012, 02:34 PM
Thats the problem though UB, I don't have each selection hence the question. I do know that the lower the price generally the closer it is to tab so I will just go with 10% and see how it fairs in the real world. Thanks for the info.
Just keep in mind your more worried about winners prices then overall. hence its slightly lower at only 6%. Thats still lower then your 10%.

mattio
14th October 2012, 06:18 PM
Good point mate, hopefully 10% should be enough of a buffer.

UselessBettor
14th October 2012, 07:00 PM
Good point mate, hopefully 10% should be enough of a buffer.Are you laying or backing ? As the prices I providedd were for backing.

Its a different set of prices for laying probably about 3-4c higher and you would need to do commission differently.

mattio
14th October 2012, 07:55 PM
I'm laying.

UselessBettor
15th October 2012, 06:04 AM
Let me get you different figures then.

UselessBettor
15th October 2012, 06:17 AM
All runners:

Tatts average price : $1.67
Betfair Average price : $1.87 (12% higher)

For winners:
Tatts average price :$1.65
Betfair Average price : 1.83 (11% higher)

The largeincrease is removal of commission (5%-6.5%) and moving from the bet side of the screen to the lay side of the screen.

So whn you look at these figures your 10% is not a good estimate. You need to take at least 12% and the above fiogures do not include commission. You need to work out commission for your betting technique as its a lot harder to work it out laying but I believe it would add at least another few cents.