Might Be Interesting?

[michaelg]

Out of interest I've looked at a neural method:

1) Default neurals except CF, TIM and DLR on zero.
2) No Maidens, all runners with a minimum of 3 starts.
3) 7 to 11 starters.
4) Bet 70% of the top runners in the resulting neural market.

I've only been able to look at the last 3 days - there's been 29 races.

Results (Unitab) for Tues 19 Feb.

Win outlay $51
Return $68.30

Quinella outlay $138
Return $225

Wed 20 Feb
Win outlay $84
Return $118.90

Quinella outlay $231
Return $435

Thurs 21 Feb
Win outlay $59
Return $85.40

Quinella outlay $165
return $234

By my reckoning the total Win outlay was $194 and the return was $272.60 and,
the quinella outlay was $534 and the return was $894. Fortunately I won a few dollars yesterday on this method. Three day's results and 29 races are far from conclusive but it might be worthwhile to pursue it.

If I get time I'll post today's selections.

[kiwi]

MG, could you be a bit more explicit of how you decide this step "4) Bet 70% of the top runners in the resulting neural market."

At what level do you decide which are the 70% top runners in a market of eight runners in this field.Is it 70% of the field or what else?

5 Kuhreihen
Vlad Duric
57.0 126.0 $3.90 1
3 Cavallo Nero
Peter Mertens
59.0 116.5 $5.00 4
6 Aashiq
J Noonan
56.0 116.0 $5.00 8
7 Messene
Dean Holland
56.0 114.5 $6.50 2
2 Chile Express
Matthew Allen
59.5 109.0 $8.00 7
4 Two Hills
Darren Gauci
57.5 90.5 $11.00 3
8 Tower Of Lonhro
Michael Rodd
56.0 83.0 $14.00 5
9 Smooth General
Damien Thornton
55.0 72.0 $19.00

[michaelg]

Hi, Kiwi.

Rule 3 should be "8 to 11" runners.

Rule 4 should be 70% of the field...sorry for my lack of communication. And I should have explained that the maximum amount of selections per race is 6. If there's 8 runners the amount of selections is 8 X 0.7 = 5.6 = 6 selections.

Unfortunately I haven't had time to do today's selections. Goulburn Race 2 was a qualfying race which I was able to bet, the selections winning the race and the quinella (and the trifecta).

If I get time later this p.m. I will list the other qualifying races and their selections.