Lay experiment with small fields.

[michaelg]

My neuralmania system is currently doing quite well. One of the rules is that there must be 10 or more runners.

So for races with 9 runners and less I'm experimenting with a method that applies a slight twist to the neuralmania system. I hope/expect that due to the "small" fields that the smiles are not too "small"

Today's selections: ($33 Lay liability on each)

Wyong
3/4
4/9
7/10

Sale
2/3
5/6
6/3
7/7
8/12

Gundagai
5/3

Sun Coast
2/11
3/6
4/8
6/8
7/6
8/11

Bordertown
1/5
2/1
5/9
6/7

Benalla
1/8

Hobart
1/6
3/3
6/6

Hobart
7/6
8/7
9/8

Geraldton
3/3

[michaelg]

Correction - the selection for Gundagai race 5 is no.6, not no.3.

[michaelg]

From the 26 selections there were 25 smiles for a profit of $0.48.

I am tightening the rules, which still provided/s enough selections not for me to hopefully lose interest. There were 15 of them for 15 smiles for a profit of $13.83. The average smile was just a little less than a dollar.

[michaelg]

I'm adding to the method. Not only laying but also an each way, Win and a boxed Quinella methods.

Lay Method
Nowra
1/8
4/9

Mildura
1/4
5/7
6/8

Each Way
No qualifiers.

Win and Boxed Quinellas
Nowra
1/3, 4, 5
4/4, 5, 6

Mildura
1/3, 6, 8
5/1,2, 4
6/1, 2, 6


I looked at the Each-Way, Win and Quinella results for the past three days and it doesn't seem too bad, especially the Each-Way method, which unfortunately there are no qualifiers today.

[michaelg]

The 5 lay selections lost for a profit of $9.67.

The box quinellas all lost, and there were 2 winners from the 15 Win selections for a return of $14.80, or $17.01 on Betfair.

[michaelg]

We'll see how the methods go today:

Mackay
LAY:2/7 and 5/9

Bet: 2/1, 2, 4, 5
Bet: 5/2, 7, 8

Yarra Valley
LAY 8/13

Bet: 8/ 2, 3, 4

Tamworth
LAY 3/6 and 4/8

Bet 3/1, 3, 4, 7
Bet 4/1, 2, 3, 4

I might bet them on Betfair for $5 each.

[michaelg]

Not a bad day. The five Lay selections were beaten for a profit of $7.15.

The outlay for the Bet method was $21 and the return on Betfair was $26.84 for a profit of $5.84.

[michaelg]

Today's Lay selections:

Canterbury
1/7
2/7

Ascot
2/8

Launceston
5/7


BACK
Canterbury
1/1, 3, 4
2/1, 2, 3, 6

Ascot
2/4, 5

Launceston
5/1, 3, 5

[michaelg]

The 4 Lay selections were unplaced for a profit of $4.67. I was also able to Lay them to Place on S.P. for a profit of $21.48.

The winner was struck in the 4 races for a profit of $4.42.

[michaelg]

Today's Lay selections:

Hawkesbury
1/3
2/10

Ballarat
5/1

Beaudesert
3/12

Albany
3/5
4/8
5/8

Even though the Bet system has won each day for the three days I've listed the selections here I've currently lost interest in it. However I might one day revive it.

[michaelg]

Correction. Hawkesbury R2 is not a qualifying race because there are more than the maximum of 9 runners.

[michaelg]

The six selections were beaten for a profit of $4.36.

[michaelg]

Today's Lay selections:

Ipswich
1/6
3/11

Geelong
2/8
4/1
5/7
6/6
7/1

Cranbourne
4/2
5/9

[michaelg]

Correction - the selection in Geelong R7 is no.3 not no.1. which will probably win the race.

[michaelg]

The 9 selections lost for a profit of $6.26.

[michaelg]

Today's selections:

Randwick
2/10

Newcastle
4/2
5/8

Port Mac
4/3

Mornington
2/9
5/6

Ascot
1/5
4/6

Kalgoorlie
3/7
5/7

Toowoomba
1/10


After 5 days there have been 30 smiles from 30 selections for a profit of $32.11. It seems the divvies for these smaller fields aren't too bad.