Lay Method

[michaelg]

I'm back doing what I normally like best - laying one horse each qualifying race, and there's a lot of action with this method. Yesterday there were 21 races for a profit of $52.43 for $33 liability Lay bets - so there is a mix of selections from both ends of the market. The only filter I use is that the selection is not resuming from a spell. There were also no accidents on Wednesday or Thursday.

Today's selections:

Rosehill
1/8
2/8
3/10
4/5
5/14
6/12
8/21

Eagle Farm
1/8
2/4
3/6
4/9
6/5
8/7

Morphetville
2/7
5/4
6/8
7/13

Newcastle
2/8
3/2
5/8
6/5
8/16

Gold Coast
2/7
5/9
8/18

Belmont
4/10
8/8

[michaelg]

A losing day - there were two accidents from the 26 selections for a loss of $9.64. One of the accidents was in a field of 9 runners. I won $52.43 yesterday so I'm not too disappointed.

[michaelg]

Today's selections:

Murwillumbah
3/12
4/3
5/10

Ballarat
3/3
7/17

Hamilton
1/9
2/3
3/6
4/10

Toowoomba
1/4
3/2
4/8
5/10
7/13
8/1

Launceston
1/1
2/8
3/9
5/76/13
7/138/8

Kalgoorlie
2/1
3/2
4/5
5/9
6/5
7/7

[michaelg]

The 27 selections were beaten for a profit of $38.77. Yesterday' s loss of $9.64 has been recouped.

[Rinconpaul]

Onya MG! It was a bad day for me with 3 accidents, how you avoided the shrapnel, I don't know?
RP

[michaelg]

The system is I think/hope original with some logic. I take the best (IMHO) half of the neurals in qualifying races and then separate the worst (IMHO) half but look for the best horse (IMHO) in this worst half - it's like pitting good against bad to find the selection.

Sorry for being so cryptic, but I can't publically reveal the method. It might even crash tomorrow...

[michaelg]

Today's selections:

Wodonga
1/13 - already been run for a profit of $0.63 which I won't record in the results.
5/7
7/4

Dubbo
1/10
3/2
4/2

Northam
2/7
4/6
5/4
6/12

[michaelg]

Today's 9 selections were beaten for a profit of $11.58.

[michaelg]

Today's selections:

Taree
1/3
2/5
3/12
5/14
6/6
7/7
8/13

Geelong
1/4
2/8
5/2
6/3
7/7
8/13

Devenport
2/6
5/1
7/7

Mackay
2/6
4/5
6/7
7/6

[michaelg]

There were two accidents today. Even though after three days the method is still in profit after three days I am undecided whether to end or alter it.

[moeee]

There were two accidents today. Even though after three days the method is still in profit after three days I am undecided whether to end or alter it.
Musta bin a horrific accident today to cause you to consider such a drastic measure in what appeared to be incrediby successful wagering.

[michaelg]

Mooee, on second thoughts I'll follow your suggestion and continue with the method. On the three days prior to first listing the selections here they were all smiles so I might have "jumped the gun" because of today's disappointment.

[moeee]

Post deleted. Just back from a 2 months suspension and you have made an unsubstantiated, negative comment about a business in the racing industry. This is in clear breach of the Terms of Use. Take very, very careful note of this moderation warning.

[michaelg]

I didn't lat the method yesterday but checking it this morning there weren't any accidents.

Today's selections:

Tatura
2/3
3/1
5/4
6/1
8/7

Geelong
4/8 - already run and was a smile. I won't record the profit of $1.93.
5/6
7/6
8/6
9/10
10/13

Gosford
2/5
3/6
4/8
5/5
7/9
8/14

Rocky
1/3
3/7 - already run and was a smile. I won't record the profit of $1.65.
4/8
5/7
7/4

Pinjarra
1/11
2/1
5/8
6/6
7/4
8/5

[michaelg]

I'm changing the selection process because there were three accidents yesterday and as the method is lightly in profit I'm hoping to improve it with more selections.

Today's selections:

Grafton:
2/14
3/12
4/3
5/1
6/4
7/5
8/13
9/17
10/13

Canberra
1/7
2/9
3/12
4/6
6/7
7/4
8/9

Swan Hill
1/7
2/16
3/13
4/7
5/13
6/9
7/11
8/16

Ipswich
1/7
2/5
3/9
4/12
5/4
6/16
7/14

There has been 6 races already run for no accidents. The profit is $19.10 which I won't record as I listed them too late on this thread.

[michaelg]

Today there was one accident for a profit of $34.20.