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UselessBettor
17th August 2013, 06:50 PM
EPL Tips :

Liverpool
Arsenal
Everton
Sunderland
West Brom
West Ham
Man United
Tottenham
Chelsea
Man City
Lord Greystoke
17th August 2013, 07:03 PM
Any suggestions for a parlay play, UB?

Cheers LG
UselessBettor
17th August 2013, 07:30 PM
Now I realise straight tips are quite useless. So I will also put up what I think are good bets with ratings and odds and Kelly staking.

Liverpool to beat Stoke 87/98 = 87%. Odds $1.41 (71%)
Swansea vs Man Utd 84/118 = 71%. Odds $2.05 (49%)
Chelsea vs Hull 83/89 = 93%. Odds $1.20 (83%)

Lets assume Half Kelly Betting for this exercise:

$1000.

Liverpool betsize = ((0.87*1.41)-1)/0.41 = 55% / 2 = 25% = $250
Man Utd betsize = ((0.71*2.05)-1)/1.05 = 43% / 2 = 21% = $210
Chelsea betsize = ((0.93*1.20)-1)/0.20 = 58% = 29% = $290

Lets see if this works.
UselessBettor
17th August 2013, 07:32 PM
Any suggestions for a parlay play, UB?

Cheers LG
See my last post. I am not very good at sports betting and I admit it. I'm just trying a few things for the EPL this season.

Those would be the 3 bets to string together though.
Lord Greystoke
17th August 2013, 07:41 PM
Nice one UB, here's to a clean lift-off.

Cheers LG
UselessBettor
18th August 2013, 06:30 AM
Liverpool betsize = ((0.87*1.41)-1)/0.41 = 55% / 2 = 25% = $250
Man Utd
betsize = ((0.71*2.05)-1)/1.05 = 43% / 2 = 21% = $210

Both the above won. Bank now : $102.5+$220.5+$1000=$1323


Bets outstanding:
Chelsea betsize = ((0.93*1.20)-1)/0.20 = 58% = 29% = $290
UselessBettor
18th August 2013, 03:22 PM
Bank : 1323

Bets Outstanding :
Chelsea bet size = ((0.93*1.20)-1)/0.20 = 58% = 29% = $290

New Bets
Tottenham to beat Crystal Palace 67/79 = 85% Odds $1.74 (57%)
Tottenham bet size = ((0.85*1.74)-1)/0.74 = 64%% / 2 = 32% = $320
UselessBettor
19th August 2013, 03:50 AM
Bank : 1323

Bets Outstanding :
Chelsea bet size = ((0.93*1.20)-1)/0.20 = 58% = 29% = $290

New Bets
Tottenham to beat Crystal Palace 67/79 = 85% Odds $1.74 (57%)
Tottenham bet size = ((0.85*1.74)-1)/0.74 = 64%% / 2 = 32% = $320
4/4 in the first round. You can't have a better start that that.

Bank : $1617.80
Lord Greystoke
19th August 2013, 09:03 AM
Houston to UB1..
You are good to orbit, Commander

Cheers LG
UselessBettor
20th August 2013, 06:23 AM
I forgot to post Man City vs Newcastle last night. For the purpose of completeness I have posted it below:

Man City to beat Newcastle 103/115 = 90% Odds $1.27 (79%)
Man City bet size = ((0.90*1.27)-1)/0.27 = 52% / 2 = 26% = $260

Bank: $1688.00

5/5 first round.