View Full Version : Another System
darkydog2002
20th March 2014, 10:26 AM
Not sure where I got this one from.
Highest Av Prizemoney
Last Run Won or Ran Within 3 Lengths of Winner
Won At Course AND Distance
Ist 4 Favs (Doesnt say whether OPENING Fav or at the Jump)
I,d assume OPENING as any mug at the TAB can back a horse into Favoritism
i.e "Follow the money etc
A lot of these systems leave important information out.
i.e Horse might be a backmarker and the race is 1000 M.
In a case like that you,d make a fortune Laying it .
evajb001
20th March 2014, 03:21 PM
Based on the hard rules:
29.39% SR (Approx 15,000 selections)
-14.65% LOT
I probably wouldn't proceed any further with trying to refine it, a system I was testing today was 20,000 selections for a -6% LOT and still took some fiddling and additional filters before getting it in reasonable profit at 4,000 selections.
evajb001
20th March 2014, 03:49 PM
Doing some quick fiddling this gives a better result:
15.15% SR (13,000 selection)
-3.80% LOT
2nd to 4th on the turn last start
Won or less than 2.0 lengths from winner last start
Ranked 3rd to 7th on profit won last 3 starts
Career Winning Percentage greater than 15%
Age 4 to 7y.o
Metro Only
Closing Price $0 to $30
Note if you add in that the last start was within 10 days you get:
17.77% SR (2,220 selections)
11.12% POT (+247.7 Units)
Thats just with some quick fiddling and a database. Personally I think anything that has the highest prizemoney rank, win% rank, API rank or anything of that kind is pretty hard to turn a profit on. You'll hit a high % of winners but you'll drain your bank over time unless someone else can prove otherwise. I think if you look outside of these area's, while the win % is lower and you have to have the balls to trust your system in the run of outs, they will typically give you a better chance of making a dollar.
All my opinion but hopefully the above shows how easy and quick it can be to look even slightly outside the square and come up with a profitable angle.
darkydog2002
20th March 2014, 04:19 PM
Thank You.
I remember the Author now.
Neil.
Cheers
darky
vBulletin v3.0.3, Copyright ©2000-2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.