The Pat Benatar

[TheSchmile]

After a brief sojourn into the dark arts of laying, Schmiley is back with an infallible system that is sure to *make us all rich beyond our wildest dreams!!

RULES
1/ Bet for THE PLACE ONLY
2/ Minimum acceptable price $1.30
3/ 3-5yo horses only
4/ Good up to Soft (5) tracks only
5/ Natural pattern of racing, must settle in first 4 horses
6/ Staking 1, 2.66 // If selection wins, start staking sequence again. If it loses, next bet is 2.66. If 2 losers in a row, wait for winner before starting new sequence.

The theory is we'll minimise long losing runs by waiting for a winner to be struck before betting again.


THE SELECTIONS
15:05 Werribee 4-9 Euchre Star // Sett 2nd/3rd / 3yF

16:45 Armidale 7-1 Another Charger C $2.9/1.48 // Sett 1st // 4yG

17:15 Bathurst 6-8 Pay Zone Princess C $3.25/1.53 // Sett 1st // 3yF

Bank: $3660 (allowing for 20 Outs)

*Actual results may vary from the over-hyped madness inherent in Schmiley's threads.

[darkydog2002]

"Let me at em"

[The Ocho]

I just looked up a list of Pat Benatar greatest hit songs and couldn't work out what the thread referred to.

Love (Racing) is a Battlefield?
Invincible?
All Fired Up?
Little Too Late?
Ooh Ooh Song (as in Oh ho!)?
Hit Me With Your Best Shot?

But then I saw it - You Better Run.

:D :D :D

Good luck with it TS.

[evajb001]

Hi TS,

If I may, where are you getting your settling position from? I assume you mean its predicted settling position is to be in the top 4?

Cheers

Josh

[jose]

A fine start!

[TheSchmile]

Hi TheOcho,

I was referring to 'Hit me with your best shot' after my brief foray into laying....as always bud, I LOVE your analysis!!!

Evajb, I just used the formguide based on last start at this distance.

RESULTS
16:45 Armidale 7-1 Another Charger C $2.9/1.48
WON $2.75/1.39

17:15 Bathurst 6-8 Pay Zone Princess C $3.25/1.53
WON $3.27/1.7

TOO SHORT
15:05 Werribee 4-9 Euchre Star WON $1.93/1.12

OUT 2 IN 3 (after commission)
PL +1 S/R 2/2

[The Ocho]

Thanks for that TheSchmile.

Good job today.

[TheSchmile]

Soft 7 at Taree, Shazza's Bubbles would've almost made the cut, without the soft ground. Apprentice on top though who hasn't won previously. Needs to roll forward as it did 3 starts ago in better company with Thompson aboard. No real pace in the race as far as I can see.

Also looked at Abbreviate in race 6 at Tatura. Bit concerned about the 60 kg's and the $2.25/1.25 opening quote.

Happy to look on today and see what tomorrow brings.

Best of luck to anyone having a play today, yesterday was a rare day. Had two other selections not listed that were midfield/backmarkers and they both got up at $4.8 & $3.

Collective odds $3+$4.8+$1.93+2.75+$3.27=.33x.208x.518x.363x.305
=0.0039% chance of that happening anytime soon.

Thanks Jose and TheOcho for your encouragement!!

[TheSchmile]

Weight told with Abbreviate prob wants 1600+ plus as well.

Shazza's bubbles needs the hand of an experienced jock and probably needing 1400m. Copped a slight check at the top of the straight but never appeared to be travelling that well under the riding of K. Kirkwood.

Blackbook Abbreviate (1600+) and move on to tomorrow.

Have a lovely evening!

[TheSchmile]

Sandown
15:45 5-3 Marrakesh - $4/1.75 // Sett 1st/2nd // 3yF
Carries 60 kg's but gets some relief from the apprentice M. Dee that rode her last start into a close second at track & distance.

Have a joyous day won't you one and all!

[TheSchmile]

Marrakesh finished 5th yesterday, which means we have to release, 'drum roll please'..........THE RECOVERY STAKE!!! (Cue screaming hordes)

Pinjarra
16:10 3-5 Stephansdom $2.1/1.25 // Sett 2nd // 3G

Stake 2.66 Again, minimum price $1.30

RESULTS
OUT 3 IN 3 EV
SR 2/3 66%

[TheSchmile]

So much for a place thread!

In my search for good things, I've inadvertently found some nice win commodities, thus far at least. My other pick today was going to be Seymour race 6 no. 4 Majestic Duke, which got the chocolates at $6/1.9. I decided against posting it as the 3 kg apprentice was on for the first time.

Anyhoot, officially no bet today as Stephansdom won at $1.75/1.15.

Have a fine evening won't you!

[darkydog2002]

If these keep going we all will.
Cheers

[TheSchmile]

Oh, and lack of time!

Hopefully back on board tomorrow.

Really interesting day with the 2yo's & Japanese raiders in Sydney & Bendigo hosting the VIC Metro meeting. I've gone cross-eyed doing the form!

Best of luck team!!

[TheSchmile]

Facing a big day of finger painting and slippery dips with my little one tomorrow, I thought I'd get in early.

All the action seems to be at the Sunshine Coast tomorrow:

Sunshine Coast
14:40 3-1 Divine Service $2.4/1.3 // Sett 1st // 3yG C

16:33 6-3 Qabla $9/3 // Sett 1-3 // 5yG - improved horse this prep, ran a really nice race last start, 1800 seems pet distance. Has a wide barrier to overcome.

16:53 8-7 Real Tricky $7.5/2.5 - Sett 3rd // 4yG - consistent since gelded and blinkers 3 starts back.

--------------------------
'The Almosts'

Wyong
3-7 Multilevel $3/1.4 - hampered last start sett 7th
7-3 Charge Missile $4.6 - failed last start on wet track. Ran best at c 2 back sett 6th

Dubbo
3-6 Ol' Brown Eyes $3.5/1.5 - Sett 6th, blocked twice

Geraldton
8-2 Cyber Crime Sett 1st // 9yG $3.4/1.45 // Poor blighter is too old for this system.......


THE OUTSIDER
Dubbo 7-8 Prattler - best at 1600m in Slow but runs well on all surfaces $34/8

[TheSchmile]

Didn't quite anticipate the massive storm that hit the Sunshine Coast on Sunday, resulting in a Heavy 8 so no bets.

Wouldn't you know it, the sole surviving selection, Divine Service, won at $6. It's getting a little outa hand here peeples..

Sunshine Coast
14:40 3-1 Divine Service $2.4/1.3 // Sett 1st // 3yG C

----------------
Rolling on, we head to the heart of the NSW breeding industry....

Scone
4-5 Blinkin Rockin' $5/1.73 // Sett 2nd // 5yG

Really nice run at this c two back on Good going. Happy to forgive last start on slow ground, as his good ratings are much stronger when it's dry. Three tries at the 900-950 for three 2nd placings, so perhaps a Tri with 5 for 2nd is the order of the day.

[TheSchmile]

I'll leave it to TheOcho to decipher this posts heading.

Result
Scone 4-5 Blinkin Rockin 2nd $1.84pl

2.66x.84 = 2.23 units profit

Tri with the field for 1st & 3rd $1106

A good day's recovery.

[The Ocho]

I'll leave it to TheOcho to decipher this posts heading.

Result
Scone 4-5 Blinkin Rockin 2nd $1.84pl

2.66x.84 = 2.23 units profit

Tri with the field for 1st & 3rd $1106

A good day's recovery.
It has to be Big Spender. Well done.