Quick pick betting system ideas ...

[Neil]

Here are a few quick pick betting system ideas worth having a look at imo.

They are for Melbourne, Sydney and Brisbane city racing:

1. Backing the favourites.

Back favourites with a win strike rate of at least 25% for the win. Never take odds on.

2. Lets win second up.

a) The horse finished 2nd. or 3rd. first up from a spell.
b) It is a bet next start provided it has the limit weight ( lowest) or a kilo above before any apprentice claims.
c) It must be no wider than barrier 7
d) In a reliable pre post market it must be no more than $7.50.

[Neil]

The results at Caulfield last Saturday for the Favourites system:

Miss Promiscuity 1st. $3.00
Black Heart Bart 1st. $2.50

The results at Rosehill last Saturday for the Favourites system:

Federal 1st. $5.50
Sonic Swish 4th. $5.50
Crafty Cop 3rd. $4.60
Malaguerra 1st. $2.90
Old North 1st. $4.00
Risque unpl. $3.30
Sadler's Lake unpl. $5.50

[Neil]

Just checked the Doomben results.

There were 2 bets. Happy Event $2.70 ran 3rd. and Sir Moments, $2.10, was unplaced.

So overall, a very nice winning day at the 3 City tracks combined.

[dcpg]

I just ran the favourites system for Friday.

There were 5 wins from 8 picks. Townsville was a big hit!

Profit was $4.90. This does include the favourites that were odds on however.

If you exclude the odds on, there were 3 winners from 4 picks. Profit was even better $5.70.

I like simple plans like this one. Hard to get it wrong!

I did notice however, that some of the winners had run very few races previously - so their win percentage can be misleading.

[Shaun]

Favs have been winning a lot of late, or seems so.

[Neil]

Results for the Favourites System on Saturday:

Randwick

Astern $2.15 1st.
Libran $2.25 1st.
Lofty's Menu unpl. $3.10
Super Cash unpl. $4.80
Yankee Rose $3.80 1st.
Exosphere unpl. $3.10
Alaskan Rose 2nd. $3.90

Doomben

Lady Jetsetter 1st. $2.60
Spot The Diff 1st. $2.35
Wicked Intent unpl. $3.30
Honey Toast 2nd. $3.30
Beckham unpl. $4.00

[aferw]

Here are a few quick pick betting system ideas worth having a look at imo.

They are for Melbourne, Sydney and Brisbane city racing:

1. Backing the favourites.

Back favourites with a win strike rate of at least 25% for the win. Never take odds on.


Using ratings on line.. Upped the % to higher. Include Adelaide. Passing on a couple of 100% win , Syd Suspense. Bris Elegant composure

sandown 7 3 sheidel. 3.5
morphet 1 10 cocoa doll . 2.8
morphet 7 1 thames court . 2.8

[aferw]

sandown 7 3 sheidel. 3.5
morphet 1 10 cocoa doll . 2.8 1st 2.20-1.30
morphet 7 1 thames court . 2.8
16th
randwick 3 1 old north
randwick 7 6 press statement

[aferw]

23rd
see how we go.
rosehill 4 1 galaxy warrior
morphet 5 3 neapolitan
morphet 6 9 tuscan sling
morphet 8 1 miss gunpowder

[Neil]

Betting System 1

Results for 23/4/2016.
Not the best of days, losing a few betting units.

Odds from Saturday morning's Herald Sun

Caulfield
Grey Street 3rd. $2.50
Invincible Heart 4th. $10.00
Under The Louvre 3rd. $6.50
Real Love 2nd. $3.30

Rosehill
Reincarnate 4th. $2.00
Falkenberg 4th. $3.50
Sort Affair -
His Majesty 2nd. $4.00
Hetty Heights 1st. $4.40, TF $5.50


Results for 23/4/2016.

Odds from the Winning Post

Caulfield
Grey Street 3rd. $2.50
Sheidel 1st. $4.40
Real Love 2nd. $3.30

Rosehill
Reincarnate 4th. $2.00
Falkenberg $4th. $3.60
Sort Affair 4th. $4.00
His Majesty 2nd. $4.00
Well Hardly Ever -

[Vortech]

Neil you find the results interesting looking at the horses that firm and drift.

[Neil]

Thanks Vortech.

Betting System 1

Results for 7/5/2016.

Odds from Saturday morning's Herald Sun

Flemington
Fleur Fatale 3rd. $2.60
Prestwick unpl. $4.20
Duibio unpl. $4.20

Rosehill
Grunderzeit unpl. $6.00
Circle Game unpl. $6.50
Rodrico unpl. $3.40
Sir Bacchus 1st. $3.30
Start Wondering unpl. $2.50
Lady Le Fay 2nd. $3.80
Daysee Doom 1st. $2.60

[Neil]

Betting system 1 - selections for Sat. 14th. May. Odds used from the Winning Post.

Caulfield
1/5 Raw Impulse
2/1 Blue Tycoon
2/2 Bringaroo
4/1 Lyuba
5/7 Show A Star
6/1 Unbreakable
7/4 Ability
8/9 Belesron
9/1 Nevis

Doomben
1/2 Secret Saga
2/9 Inz'n'out
3/7 Elegant Composure
4/6 Real Love
5/11 Tiyatrolani
6/8 Lordag
7/11 Japonisme
8/2 Cylinder Beach

[Neil]

Betting System 2.

2. Lets win second up.

a) The horse finished 2nd. or 3rd. first up from a spell.
b) It is a bet next start provided it has the limit weight ( lowest) or a kilo above before any apprentice claims.
c) It must be no wider than barrier 7
d) In a reliable pre post market it must be no more than $7.50.

Using Saturday morning's Herald Sun odds.

Doomben
4/10 Astronomos

[Sands]

Betting System 2.

2. Lets win second up.

a) The horse finished 2nd. or 3rd. first up from a spell.
b) It is a bet next start provided it has the limit weight ( lowest) or a kilo above before any apprentice claims.
c) It must be no wider than barrier 7
d) In a reliable pre post market it must be no more than $7.50.

Doomben winner Saturday, Pienkna, looks to have qualified

[Sands]

Results for Doomben last Saturday for the Favourites system:

Ours To Keep 1st. $2.10
Real Princess unpl. $4.40
Winning Rupert 1st. $1.10 (No bet)
Doubt Defying 1st. $4.60 (EF other EF didn’t qualify)
Sweet Redemption 3rd $3.00
Saga Miss unpl. $3.80
Most Important 1st. $2.60
Upstart Pride unpl. $5.00

[Sands]

Back favourites with a win strike rate of at least 25% for the win.

Quick look, these look like qualifying winners yesterday

Morphettville
Arizona Wildcat
Optimize
Big Effort
Strategic Demand
Evil Dreams

Ascot
Shady Gray

Eagle Farm
Mystic Opal

Moonee Valley
Wheal Leisure
Burning Front
Big Duke
Ameristralia

Randwick
Deploy

[Sands]

Back favourites with a win strike rate of at least 25% for the win.

Moonee Valley tomorrow

R2 Fastnet Latina
R4 Wangaala
R5 Bella Vino
R7 Farson
R8 Exocet

[kiwiz]

1. Backing the favourites.

Back favourites with a win strike rate of at least 25% for the win. Never take odds on.

Moonee Valley

R3 Miss Vista
R4 Soho Ruby
R5 Lord da Vinci
R6 Katsuro
R8 Heart Starter
R9 Leodoro

[kiwiz]

Rosehill

R2 Arbeitsam
R3 Zamex
R4 Test The World
R5 Moss 'n' Dale
R6 Supply And Demand
R9 Invincible Knight

[kiwiz]

Morphettville

R1 Kid Flash
R2 Super Haze
R5 Vivaldi's Quest
R6 Affray

[kiwiz]

Randwick

R1 Dracarys
R3 Memes
R4 Super Too
R6 Sound Proposition
R7 Felines
R8 Kings of Leon
R9 Steyne

[kiwiz]

Randwick

R1 Dracarys
R3 Memes
R4 Super Too
R6 Sound Proposition
R7 Felines
R8 Kings of Leon
R9 Steyne
Dracarys 2nd
Memes 1st
Super Too 5th
Sound Proposition 1st
Felines 3rd
Kings of Leon 1st
Steyne 6th

[kiwiz]

I think these all qualified (Sat 16 Sep)

Comin' through 1st
Winx 1st
Redzel 1st
Royal Symphony 1st
Theanswermyfriend 1st
Redkirk Warrior 1st
Catchy 1st
Ingeegoodbe 1st
Manias 1st
Snitz 1st
Impregnable 1st
Jetoomy 1st
Handsome Thief 1st
Glam Guru 1st
Nodoubtaboutit 1st

[Kingston Rule]

city racing:

1. Backing the favourites.

Back favourites with a win strike rate of at least 25% for the win. Never take odds on.

(added one other filter) finding best odds & 1x3 been working for me

[Kingston Rule]

(added one other filter) finding best odds & 1x3 been working for me
should always be an objective

[watsonnek]

Neil you find the results interesting looking at the horses that firm and drift.
Agree, back the steamers, think twice the drifters.

[grizzle]

Agree, back the steamers, think twice the drifters.
yes, always pays to watch the market if you can (or build into your app) before placing those final bets