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SpeedyBen
28th April 2017, 12:29 AM
I have been running a test to check the performance of horses which shorten a meaningful number of ticks on BF in the last few minutes before a race. That is the only criterion.
It has produced a sharp increase in the hit rate of the fancied horses as follows
Fav wins 41%
2nd fav 24%
3rd fav 18%
4th fav 14%
Each of these groups has made a level stakes profit so far.

thorns
30th April 2017, 06:34 AM
Nice work, interesting stats.

I wonder ifs just a bubble at the moment with the results showing profit, or if there is actually something in it long term?

UselessBettor
30th April 2017, 08:18 AM
How did it hold up yesterday?

SpeedyBen
1st May 2017, 10:02 PM
Nice work, interesting stats.

I wonder ifs just a bubble at the moment with the results showing profit, or if there is actually something in it long term?
It is regressing to the mean at present.
34%, 21, 11 and 11 resp.
I'm still running it in test and the stats build up quickly.