john hawkes first up

[noel]

i remember some discussion in past "punt to win" articles about john hawkes' horses racing first up.....2 recent winners spring to mind sports $22 in the auries star and adolesence $67 last saturday ....i'm sure there've been plenty of losers in between, but at those prices you could go a long way before losing....has anybody done an analysis of hawkes horses first up???

cheers,

noel

[Chrome Prince]

Hi noel,

All Hawkes horses greater than 30 days break including first starters.
Selections 214
Winners 27
Strike Rate 12.62%
POT <font color=red>- 25.51%</font>
Average Dividend $5.90

First Starters only
Selections 54
Winners 6
Strike Rate 11.11%
POT <font color=red>- 42.78%</font>
Average Dividend $5.15

No First Starters
Selections 160
Winners 21
Strike Rate 13.13%
POT <font color=red>- 19.69%</font>
Average Dividend $6.12

Won First Up before
Selections 26
Winners 7
Strike Rate 13.13%
POT <font color=green>68.46%</font>
Average Dividend $6.26

Caution that my database only has metro races for about 8 months and does not include the last week's results yet, but you get the general idea.

:wink:

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: Chrome Prince on 2003-09-08 14:50 ]</font>

[Mr. Logic]

Chrome Prince, what will be interesting is Hawkes horses that are first up at $10.00+ using IAS DiviPlus.