Three horses in a race

[hermes]

Here's a selection and staking strategy in one that involves splitting a bet over three horses per race.

We are only interested in runners #2 to #7. We are looking for races where #1 is unlikely to win. Working from data on the TABQ website.

Selecting Races

1. Eliminate races where the Radio Tab Tipsters have #1 among their top three picks.
2. Eliminate races where less than two of the Radio Tab picks are in the 2-7 band. (eg. 2,9,12 = no race)

Selecting Runners

Pair the runners 2-3, 4-5, 6-7.
Take the lowest priced runner in each pair.
Don't replace scratchings.

Staking

Order your three selections in order of price and bet 5 units on the lowest priced of them, 3 units on the second lowest and 2 units on the longest priced of the three. = $10 per race.

Yesterday this gave 20 races, 20 x $10 = $200 for a return of $289. It makes a decent profit consistently in my trials. Runs of outs are few. The danger to the system are runs of short-priced faves (less than $2) getting up.


Happy punting

Hermes

[hermes]

If we approach it mechanically the qualifying races today are:

Kilmore, 1, 2, 7
Sunshine Coast, 1, 3, 4, 7, 8
Scone 1, 6
Warnambool 4, 5
Port Licoln 6, 7
Hobart 1, 3, 8.
(No tips for Bunbury)

We'll see how it does today. In practice, though, I watch each race shape up and don't bet on them all. Apply some judgement as the final filter.

Hermes

[hermes]

An example of judgement:

The first qualifying race today, Hobart R1, looks hopeless to me. So I'm staying out. There are three clear selections but

The $5 selection is paying less than $2.50
The $3 selection is paying about $3
The $2 selection is paying about $4

Given that spread, it aint worth the bet. Plus I fancy #7 Weazel Wav as a real danger, so we could back three horses in a 5 horse race and still lose. And we're risking it for nothing.

There's still fifteen minutes to jump but its looking like a no bet race, system or no system.

Hermes

[darkydog2002]

HERMES.I used that staking many years ago .Good to see its still holding up .
Your quite correct about the prices.If there too low wait for a better betting opportunity.
Regards.
darky.