System test

[good 4th]

I dont have a Data base at the click of a button. Was wondering if someone did could you run this idea.

1. HCP Races only
2. Placed last two starts
3. Three runs from last spell (AT LEAST 3 runs from a spell )
4. Must have C,or D for form
8. Total Win percentage to exceed 20%
6. Total this win distance to exceed 20%
7. If more than one selection Pick highest
win %
8. Rating to be between 90-100
9. Not less than 1100 mtrs

And the ratings are from, http://www.tabonline.com.au


So example;
Total Number of runs. 26
Total Number of wins. 6
Win, Places =9
6/26 =0.23 *100 = 23%


Think thats it.

GD4TH

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: good 4th on 2004-02-18 12:30 ]</font>

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: good 4th on 2004-02-19 08:45 ]</font>

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: good 4th on 2004-02-19 08:56 ]</font>

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: good 4th on 2004-02-19 12:37 ]</font>

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: good 4th on 2004-02-19 12:42 ]</font>

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: good 4th on 2004-02-20 13:59 ]</font>

[good 4th]

Four selections
Yesterday

Two Wins
Three Places
Win Place
4.1 - 1.4
0 - ntd
2.8 - 1.4
0 - 1.6

Not bad i think and yet no one has responded to this maybe its a bad idea.


GD4TH

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: good 4th on 2004-02-19 07:47 ]</font>

[sportznut]

Well, it could be a good idea, but as I don't have a database, I can't really help you out. By the way, I don't quite understand rule 3 the way you've worded it. Do you mean the horse should have had at least 3 starts since a spell? Also, I'm not sure about the ratings. Are they Unitab ratings?

[crash]

People here with databases have no idea of whose ratings you are referring to.

Most form stats. add wins as a place when working out place % so win + place is a little confusing. Place % only is usually the most meaningful stat.

Cheers.

[good 4th]

Sorry. Rule three should read ( Three runs since a spell, I will change it thanks for that.
And the ratings are from, http://www.tabonline.com.au

Good luck today
Gd4th

[good 4th]

Yeah ive gotta explain myself a bit better.
The % is the Win & place added up together
divided by the number of total runs, seems to work so i'll stick with it.

So example;
Total Number of runs. 26
Total Number of wins. 4
Total Number of places. 5
Win, Places =9
9/26 =0.346 *100 = 34.6%

Simple idea has some good days????

[sportznut]

I'm sorry good 4TH, but do you mean EXACTLY 3 runs from a spell or AT LEAST 3 runs from a spell? There's a difference.

By the way, in the example you use, I take it you actually mean 4 wins and 5 minor placings. Personally, I always count wins as being placings anyway, so I would simply say that the horse must have a place strike rate of more than 30%.


<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-02-19 09:55 ]</font>

[good 4th]

Sportnut wrote- so I would simply say that the horse must have a place strike rate of more than 30%.
Can do it that way i spose but i use it's Wins plus it's 2nd and 3rd placings.

AT LEAST 3 runs from a spell,
Placings, just take 2nd or 3rd, but then If it wins it also places mmmmmmm.
Just use 2nd and 3rd
Example:
Starts - Wins - 2nd's- 3rd's
26:- 4 2 3

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: good 4th on 2004-02-19 12:40 ]</font>

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: good 4th on 2004-02-19 12:44 ]</font>