AFL r8

[goldmember]

ADELAIDE v ESSENDON

adelaide have won 3 of their last 4 games against essendon at football pk

last 4 games:
R12 2001 ESSENDON 122-73 @ DOCKLANDS
R 4 2002 ESSENDON 122-81 @ DOCKLANDS
R19 2002 ADELAIDE 124-76 @ FOOTBALL PK
R15 2003 ADELAIDE 90-49 @ FOOTBALL PK

RICHMOND v W/BULLDOGS

At the M.C.G, w/ bulldogs have beaten richmond 5 times in 6 games, only loss was in r14 2000.

last 4 games:
R17 2001 RICHMOND 102-100 @ DOCKLANDS
R10 2002 W/BULLDOGS 117-98 @ M.C.G
R 2 2003 RICHMOND 111-89 @ DOCKLANDS
R17 2003 RICHMOND 155-95 @ DOCKLANDS

W/COAST v SWANS

w/coast have won 7/10 at subiaco against the swans, but only 1 of their last 3.

last 4 games:
R 2 2001 SWANS 104-89 @ SUBIACO
R17 2001 SWANS 83-48 @ S.C.G
R11 2002 W/COAST 102-89 @ SUBIACO
R14 2003 SWANS 92-84 @ S.C.G

BRIS LIONS v CARLTON

as the lions , since 1997 they have only beaten carlton 4 times in 10 clashes,winning 2/3 at the gabba.

last 4 games:
S/F 2000 CARLTON 151-69 @ M.C.G
R 8 2001 CARLTON 142-68 @ OPTUS OVAL
R13 2002 LIONS 124-109 @ GABBA
R 9 2003 LIONS 153-76 @ OPTUS OVAL

ST KILDA v COLLINGWOOD

collingwood have won their last 6 against st kilda, and the only 2 played at docklands.

last 4 games:
R 9 2001 COLLINGWOOD 98-80 @ M.CG
R 6 2002 COLLINGWOOD 111-28 @ DOCKLANDS
R21 2002 COLLINGWOOD 77-66 @ M.C.G
R 9 2003 COLLINGWOOD 149-84 @ DOCKLANDS

HAWTHORN v FREEMANTLE

hawthorn have won 10/14 against freemantle, and the only 2 games played at york park,TAS

last 4 games:
R18 2001 FREEMANTLE 106-90 @ DOCKLANDS
R 3 2002 HAWTHORN 89-79 @ YORK PK
R18 2002 FREEMANTLE 96-35 @ SUBIACO
R13 2003 HAWTHORN 96-68 @ YORK PK

GEELONG v MELB

geelong have won their last 9 against melb at skilled stadium.

last 4 games:
R18 2001 MELB 103-100 @ M.C.G
R10 2002 GEELONG 89-63 @ SKILLED STADIUM
R 4 2003 GEELONG 90-44 @ SKILLED STADIUM
R19 2003 GEELONG 84-45 @ M.C.G

KANGAROOS v PT ADEL

kangaroos have won 9/10 against pt adel , with their only loss being the last time they met at football pk.[pt adel have lost all 7 away games against the kangaroos]

last 4 games:
R13 2001 KANGAROOS 95-73 @ MANUKA OVAL
R 1 2002 KANGAROOS 83-73 @ FOOTBALL PK
R16 2002 KANGAROOS 99-70 @ OPTUS OVAL
R 8 2003 PT ADEL 103-49 @ FOOTBALL PK


<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-05-12 16:07 ]</font>

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-05-12 16:13 ]</font>

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-05-12 16:14 ]</font>

[Desi]

Thanks yet again Gold..interesting stats! Will have to rethink initial picks...am way down in the work footie picking comp LOL!

Can the Pies lift against the Saints and maintain an incredible playing record?

[goldmember]

Desi, after last week i have decided to stop tipping in all my comps, as for the pies i reckon they will do a bit better but the saints by 28.

[sportznut]

Desi,

I never enter tipping comps. I'm VERY superstitious and I always worry that if I tip my favourite team, it'll jinx them or something. If I did enter a tipping comp, I'd probably tip AGAINST my team most weeks. I also worry that I might jinx the teams I bet on. Silly, huh?

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-05-14 14:09 ]</font>

I always enter tipping comps, even though I too am VERY superstitious. But jinx my favourite team/s, I'm not that good! Even with a name like Unlucky Phil!! :lol:




<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: Unlucky Phil on 2004-05-14 14:39 ]</font>

[Mr J]

For some reason I profit off my fave teams. I made a profit off NSW (probally mostly against tho :sad: ). I also made profits of Aus in the world cup. Agghh I had to bring it up didn't I...

[Desi]

Whether tipping or betting, they both make watching sport that much more interesting...I gained an appreciation and enjoyment re AFL once I started tipping comp at work and became an avid Dockers from there...they were losing everything back then though so it was easy (and profitable?) to back the other team HAHA!

The World Cup Mr J...bring on 2007...reckon I am going to go mate too!!!

Good luck this weekend!

Go the Dockers!

[sportznut]

On 2004-05-14 15:05, Mr J wrote:
For some reason I profit off my fave teams. I made a profit off NSW (probally mostly against tho :sad: ). I also made profits of Aus in the world cup. Agghh I had to bring it up didn't I...


I almost never bet on my favourite teams, but I do quite often bet against them if I think the opposition are a genuine chance and are over the odds. Last year, I did very well betting against the Lions and the Broncos on the line. In a previous thread, I outlined just how poorly those two teams went 'against the spread' last year.

By the way, speaking of the World Cup, I actually backed England 12 months before the tournament even began at the very juicy odds of $5.50. However, when Australia made the final, I was hoping to lose that bet. I may be a punter, but I'm an Australian supporter first! :smile:

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-05-14 18:58 ]</font>

[sportznut]

On 2004-05-14 18:48, sportznut wrote:
I almost never bet on my favourite teams, but I do quite often bet against them if I think the opposition are a genuine chance and are over the odds.

Tonight was an example. I took +7.5 about Newcastle in the NRL. I thought that was very generous. :smile:

U 2 sportznut, what a coincidence, I think we could be twinz!

On 2004-05-14 18:48, sportznut wrote:
I almost never bet on my favourite teams, but I do quite often bet against them if I think the opposition are a genuine chance and are over the odds. Last year, I did very well betting against the Lions and the Broncos on the line. In a previous thread, I outlined just how poorly those two teams went 'against the spread' last year.

By the way, speaking of the World Cup, I actually backed England 12 months before the tournament even began at the very juicy odds of $5.50. However, when Australia made the final, I was hoping to lose that bet. I may be a punter, but I'm an Australian supporter first! :smile:

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-05-14 18:58 ]</font>



Geez sportnutz, your post brought tears to my eyes. Aussie, Aussie, Aussie, oi oi oi !

[goldmember]

After watching the roosters/ sharks game i switched over to watch the lions/ carlton last quarter. The blues must have been ordinary in the 1st 3 quarters , but it was good footy to watch as they had the lions on the back foot kicking 7 straight goals and then aker kicking a couple.

[sportznut]

Carlton did pretty well, but I reckon Brisbane went to sleep and let them back in. During the week, Voss had talked about the fact that the Lions are missing a 'killer instinct' and aren't putting teams away by as much as they should. It happened again last night. They probably should have won by about 80 points last night, but credit to the Blues for putting up a good fight.

Amazing 3rd quarter by the lions, no wonder they took it a bit easy in the last.

[goldmember]

I didnt see the first three quarters, were the lions "in their groove", because when carlton forced the pace in the last 1/4 they seemed to get rattled,that seems the way to play them, st kilda did it and for a while the swans did it, but in the last 5-10 minutes they steadied and controlled the ball.

[sportznut]

Brisbane started brilliantly in the first quarter, were okay in the 2nd quarter and then went beserk in the first part of the 3rd quarter to lead by 71 points. I think at that point they sort of put the cue in the rack, but I'm not taking anything away from Carlton. They played very well to come back.

[goldmember]

Thanks sportz,i cant watch all of the games live, but i get to see 10 of the 15 games in NRL and AFL, like you i dont normally watch a game a couple of hours later unless it is between 2 top teams.I didnt want to keep flicking over last night because i was watching my money go round, had my biggest bet on football in years on the roosters.

[Desi]

Lions looked unbeatable in the first 3 quarters...and the Saints keep winning...does that put Eddie's Pies out for the 8?

[moeee]

I had the Pies at 33-1 to make the 8.
And that was before the St.Kilda game.
I think 33's is still about the right odds.

[goldmember]

watched bits and pieces of the kangaroos/ pt adel game, even though i backed the kangaroos , i couldnt believe the score, the power had none [ha ha] and lived up to their away record; hopeless.

[sportznut]

Statistics are an incredible thing. Today's games show that previous performances often count far more than current form. The Demons had been in tremendous form so far this year but they haven't won at Geelong since 1988 I think, so the Cats were a great bet. Similarly, the Kangaroos have an absolutely AMAZING record against the Power, and Hawthorn have a great record in Tassie, so they were both good value as well.

There you go Mr J, 3 home dogs there. That system doesn't only work in S12.

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-05-16 19:45 ]</font>

[goldmember]

yep, agree there, wish i had something on geelong - thats 10 in a row at skilled stadium against melb, but i couldnt back hawthorn with bad money, even though they had previously won 10/14 against the dockers, just limited my AFL bet to the kangaroos as i didnt want to get greedy, i thought they were the better bet of the 3 but were the longest price of them ? $2.65

Just went back and had a look at the 3 sunday games- on stats it was a easy allup, @ $12.60 should have thrown a couple of bucks on it.. oh well

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-05-16 18:29 ]</font>

[sportznut]

Well, I backed all 3 of them on the line because they were selections for my 'home dog' system and it turned out I could have backed them all outright.

I have to admit I wasn't confident about the Hawks' chances. My biggest bet today was on Geelong. That incredible home record against the Demons was too good to ignore.

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-05-16 18:53 ]</font>

[goldmember]

so you must have had a good weekend as well,i hope it continues from here on in, as i thought it was the best round this year to bet on and my biggest win in the last 2 years on football

[sportznut]

Yeah, it was a great weekend on the punt thanks to my system which picked 5 from 5! :smile: