NRL r12

[goldmember]

BRONCOS v STGEORGE ILL

broncos have won 6/10 against stgeorge, but lost the only game at suncorp, the last time they met by 1 pt [ 4 wins at ANZ Stadium]

last 4 games:
R11 2002 STGEORGE 28-20 @ S.F.S
R17 2002 BRONCOS 34-22 @ ANZ STADIUM
R17 2003 STGEORGE 32-16 @ WOLLONGONG
R26 2003 STGEORGE 26-25 @ SUNCORP STADIUM

SHARKS v SOUTHS

sharks have won 17 of their last 19 against souths, and haven't lost to them at toyota park in the last 15 years.

last 4 games:
R20 2002 SHARKS 22-6 @ TOYOTA PK
R10 2003 SHARKS 30-14 @ TOYOTA PK
R25 2003 SHARKS 54-34 @ S.F.S
R 4 2004 SOUTHS 36-12 @ S.F.S

KNIGHTS v STORM

knights have won 9/12 against the storm, including 7 of the last 8 and all 6 played at newcastle.

last 4 games:
R13 2002 KNIGHTS 37-16 @ NEWCASTLE
R 4 2003 KNIGHTS 44-28 @ NEWCASTLE
R 8 2003 STORM 46- 6 @ OLYMPIC PK
R 2 2004 KNIGHTS 36-26 @ OLYMPIC PK

RAIDERS v MANLY

raiders had won 6 straight against manly [when merged the nthn eagles had won 4/6] since becoming manly again the raiders have won the only game played.


last 4 games:
R24 2001 NTHN EAGLES 36-22 @ BRUCE STADIUM
R 6 2002 NTHN EAGLES 36-12 @ GOSFORD
R12 2002 RAIDERS 28-16 @ BRUCE STADIUM
R22 2003 RAIDERS 51-16 @ BROOKVALE

ROOSTERS v WARRIORS

roosters have won 6/10 against the warriors and 4/7 at S.F.S

last 4 games:
R 2 2002 WARRIORS 21-14 @ ERICSSON
R24 2002 ROOSTERS 44- 0 @ S.F.S
G/F 2002 ROOSTERS 30- 8 @ STADIUM AUST
R25 2003 WARRIORS 26-24 @ S.F.S

PENRITH v BULLDOGS

penrith had lost 5 straight against the bulldogs until their last clash, when they won 28-26 at penrith,also penrith have won only 1 of their last 4 games at penrith pk against the bulldogs.

last 4 games:
R18 2001 BULLDOGS 40-14 @ SHOWGROUNDS
R 9 2002 BULLDOGS 25-22 @ SHOWGROUNDS
R13 2002 BULLDOGS 38-24 @ PENRITH
R16 2003 PENRITH 28-26 @ PENRITH

W/TIGERS v EELS

w/tigers have met the eels 8 times for 2 wins and 1 draw, with 3 games played at leichardt reslting 1 win each and a draw.

last 4 games:
R 2 2002 W/TIGERS 22-16 @ LEICHARDT
R25 2002 EELS 36-24 @ PARRA STADIUM
R 6 2003 EELS 28- 8 @ STADIUM AUST
R21 2003 EELS 21-18 @ PARRA STADIUM


la

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-05-27 20:33 ]</font>

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-05-27 21:33 ]</font>

[Paddy]

Doesn't that feel better goldmember!

[goldmember]

YEH my hair was staring to fall out

[Paddy]

So would 16.5 start for the Rabbitohs & 3.5 start for the Bulldogs be enough goldmember ?

[goldmember]

Backing up after the s.o.o is a test, but with gower out of the panthers i think the bulldogs should cover it. Souths will stuggle [ i cant believe i'm writing this] the sharks should give that start easily.

[Paddy]

stuggle goldmember :smile:

[goldmember]

WITH THEM ANYTHING IS POSSYBULL

[Paddy]

I’m intrigued goldmember. Are you an in-the-closet Rabbitoh fan?

[goldmember]

I hate them, don't think they belong in the comp, they are the only team in the last 2 years that i have not tipped or backed

[Paddy]

Now, now goldmember........feeling better, sorry to stress you out :lol:

[Desi]

I'm backing the home dog teams to win (well, actually none of them would qualify as dogs) with the Panthers v Doggies being a close one...Broncos to outpoint the Dragons even with the high no.s backing up...Gordo should keep them motivated.

I will take Wests and the Knights on the line bets but I am never sure about the Sharks although they are at home and scraped past an improving Sea Eagles outfit last week (at Manly too)...Manly's game against the Raiders will be an interesting one...lately, Canberra don't seem to know how to score but they have most of their forwards back and are playing at home...Manly can score points now (with Walker at the helm) but need to tighten up in their defence to have a chance...

And for my 'what the hell its only $10' bet...I'm picking the Warriors to stay within the 12.5 (on offer with IAS) of the Roosters and to score the first try ! That should liven up the weekend LOL!

[Desi]

Panthers are missing Gower this weekend...that will put the pressure on Preston to run off and set his forwards up...Bulldogs will fancy their chances targetting him in their runs...will be close...should be a great game!

[goldmember]

The sharks should win easily, covering the start.
Raiders will beat manly as it's their easiest home game for a while with wins against eels R4,knights R7 ,losing to penrith R2, broncos R9 and they have the wood on MANLY, winning the last 7.
Knights/storm is a 50/50 with the home ground advantage the knights - just.
I think the warriors can win, the roosters have fitzgibbon,hodges,crocker and flannery backing up from origin, wing and minichello stood down, hegarty injured and morley suspended, the warriors have won 4/10 against the roosters, 3/7 at the s.f.s and beat them last time they met.
I think the bulldogs can win a high scoring game, they play penrith very well and the panthers win against the cowboys was sluggish.
eels to win here, w/tigers very rarely win as favourites ,i remember the time during origin against the "baby broncos" they started fav and lost 28-14, plus a few other games as well.with smith dropping 5 players and FINALLY putting m.witt in at half [ they won 11/12 with him there last year]i'll take the punt on a form reversal @ $2.70


cheers

[Desi]

Gold, Heard that Witt is pretty good..that'll be good news for Hindmarsh, who has been giving his all for the Eels so far this year! Parramatta look out of sorts at the moment and a good half pairing is just what the doctor ordered..not sure if that will be enough against the Tigers though! It will be a see sawing game...like all Parra games.

[Floydyboy]

I understand the importance of strong forward play but without a "general" directing how and which way the plays should go teams seem to run around like headless chooks....one of the better half-5/8 combos ive seen over recent years was kimorley-hill the first time I saw them i thought there was something special there

[Desi]

Good call on the Storm v Knights Gold, took the Storm on the line...Melbourne's forwards played their usual hard, tight game and Scott Hill and co. did the rest...Floydy, if he is the Hill you are referring to at 5/8th then I'm not surprised that he had a good combo with Kimmorley..why he is not playing SOO is a mystery.

Souths are looking like the wooden spooners for 2004...anyone know if Fletcher is out after limping off yesterday...he must be wondering whether it was worth leaving a premiership team for the Rabbitohs...Langmack's days must be numbered!

[Desi]

Take it back...Warriors look like a good bet after their pitiful display against a depleted Easts outfit...what was I thinking!!LOL! Coach Anderson will now have to take some of the heat for a pathetic team display...tactically Warriors were always going to struggle...Finch looks on top of his game at the moment, he played a cracker of a game.

[sportznut]

The Parra team is looking pretty awful at the moment too.

[Floydyboy]

HONK.... ya got that right .Best bet of the weekend HONK !! last weeks profits GORN

[Mr J]

Well guys I've done my NRL system. Exactly the same as the S12 system, took me 5-10 mins to do. Held off on doing it for a bit since I was going to make a new system from scratch. The S12 one performed better over 1 round (a very small sample) but is much simplier and quicker to test so I gave it a go. So far it's 19-9 on all games from R4-R7. I'm about to all other rounds this season.

Definately going to try and adapt it to Super League and AFL. Still plenty of season left for me.

I know 19-9 is not a meaningful number statistically, but it is a nice start and considering the system has already gone 53-16 on another sport I'm optimistic.

The bookies seem sharper on NRL, just 1 point in the spread decides the bet more often than it does in S12.