AFL Round 12 Predictions

FRIDAY JUNE 11 AEST
Carlton vs Hawthorn
Telstra Dome 7:40 PM AEST

SATURDAY JUNE 12 AEST
Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda
MCG 2:10 PM AEST

Essendon vs Brisbane Lions
Telstra Dome 7:10 PM AEST

West Coast Eagles vs Adelaide
Subiaco Oval 5:40 PM AWST

SUNDAY JUNE 13 ACST
Port Adelaide vs Sydney Swans
AAMI Stadium 12:40 PM ACST

Geelong vs Kangaroos
Skilled Stadium 2:10 PM AEST

Richmond vs Fremantle
MCG 2:10 PM AEST

MONDAY JUNE 14 AEST
Melbourne vs Collingwood
MCG 2:10 PM AEST

Gaudio to kick the 1st goal!

[Floydyboy]

Hey Phil whats your prob i can remember when you used to have a tip, Now all you seem to do is stick ya beak in and hang sh,, on people
Be a legend and pick the card for next week
Its all a bit of fun here no need to take peoples opinions personally .Youve made your point (you dont like sportz)That being the case dont read his threads ,but dont let it it bother ya ....IMO its worth reading this forum if only to pick up some info >I suppose what im trying to say in short is .. Lighten up champ lifes to short to be stressed

My tips...

Carlton
St Kilda
Brisbane
West Coast
Port Adelaide
Geelong
Fremantle
Melbourne

[moeee]

He cracks me up that Phil.
Not so funny in the horse shit section,but funny here.

Well Floydyboy,it seems you got seven last week.Every chance you're gonna do it again.
Find it strange how you go against Freo at home,then tip them to win away.Not saying its wrong,just strange.

Well anyway,ditto you're tips for me.

Value bet is points head start Adelaide

Just an addendum here that I in fact confused Primos' tips with Floydyboy,who sent me to put in my tips but I can't see yours Floydyboy.
And that's the truth.


<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: moeee on 2004-06-07 22:14 ]</font>

[Floydyboy]

Sorry got weighlayed (or however you spell it)
Missed 2 Last week Saints and Adelaide ...I had a shocker.... all the value I found in the AFL, I Multied in to my ubeaut,red hot, couldnt get beat NRL selections and ended up with the arse out of my pants haha....Ive been told weekends like that can be character building ...but its a learning process and im picking enough winners to feel confident of snagging the odd multi ,,, enough drivel heres my early tips

CARLTON
SAINTS
LIONS
ADELAIDE
PORT
KANGAROOS
FREMANTLE
MELB


<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: Floydyboy on 2004-06-09 20:27 ]</font>

On 2004-06-07 20:15, Floydyboy wrote:
Hey Phil whats your prob i can remember when you used to have a tip, Now all you seem to do is stick ya beak in and hang sh,, on people
Be a legend and pick the card for next week
Its all a bit of fun here no need to take peoples opinions personally .Youve made your point (you dont like sportz)That being the case dont read his threads ,but dont let it it bother ya ....IMO its worth reading this forum if only to pick up some info >I suppose what im trying to say in short is .. Lighten up champ lifes to short to be stressed


Hey Floydyboy hope you're feeling better after getting that off your chest. Glad to have been some service :smile:

[moeee]

Your kidding if he's not funny.

Geez,big call there on Adelaide,Floydyboy.
Like I said,with the points in,a value bet,but straight out,way to go Floydyboy.
Suppose you could put some of your winnings from Melbourne last week.
Anyway,same call as before.
How come no go Fremantle at home,then pick them to win away.How come that?

One other thing.If your annoyed with Unlucky Phil,just think how pissed Sportznut must be.
Don't see him posting his tips.At least not until the bird has flown.
Oh well I suppose that's Smartgambling.

Cheers Mo.

Does this look like a good bet...

Pick 6
Brisbane-West Coast-Port-Geelong-Fremantle-Melbourne

at $11 - is that good or is that good.
Give me a good reason not to make this bet, besides the possibility of an upset.

[Floydyboy]

Well its not so much to do where they are playing as who they are playing.As far as Adelaide is concerned its my guts .Those selections are from my express method... Look at the teams, consider nothing except who you think will win and jot them down...Later in the week it may be different with injuries and such..and as i said before I lost all my AFL money because I multied them into my NRL selections ... but we'll get there

I am only planning to bet $5 on the bet, if I win there's a great profit, if I lose it's no big deal.

I'm starting to have doubts about Brisbane though, if they have equal points with Essendon and the match is being played in Melbourne why do we all predict them to win?

[rabbitz]

Am a bit wary of points multiples after the crows let me down last week
Have taken Lions at 20-39 @ $4.00
Early ,considering essendon have players at tribunal,if they lose a few through suspension notably solomon and johnson and rioli,could be more.remember the lions on ,the got the power and also I think their favourite song the lion sleeps tonight has been played too much,they havent really got out of second gear for a while.I think they will get no.4 this year.

how much are you betting on the brisbane lions to win by 20-39 points?

[rabbitz]

Primo two questions
1.Why do you ask
2.What do you think the winner or magin might be

[moeee]

Hey Primo.
Was that you who mentioned something about a huge bet on Collingwood last week.
If it was,don't concern yourself with the amount others invest.
For some people,$5 is equivalent to anothers $500.
I know people who go to the tote and invest $200 on a horse,after just 2 or so minutes of thought.
If it is calming to you to know that somebody lost more than you did on the event,then you need to re-assess your punting attitude.
Tell you what.If I saw $5 in the gutter,I'd have no qualms about stopping to pick it up and putting it in my pocket.
When you start investing more than you can afford,you begin the roller-coaster ride to disappointment and many sessions of misery.

Six selections in a Multi is pushing it a bit.I suggest you knock it down to four.
Write down the payout for each of the possible combinations of four,and see which of these turn you on the most.

Cheers Mo.

[sportznut]

Depending on any big team changes, here are my current ratings:
Carlton 96 Hawthorn 88
W.Bulldogs 78 St Kilda 134
Essendon 110 Brisbane 98
West Coast 101 Adelaide 87
Port Adel 110 Sydney 90
Geelong 111 Kangaroos 89
Richmond 89 Fremantle 89
Melbourne 117 Collingwood 97

Well, there you go Moeee. I've put my neck on the chopping block there. Let's see how they go. Before you ask, no I won't be betting on a draw in the Richmond/Fremantle game! That's just the way my ratings came out. Anyway, using your pricing formula, what odds do those ratings represent?

[goldmember]

ST KILDA by 50
BRISBANE by 18
W/COAST by 20
SWANS by 12
KANGAROOS by 4
FREEMANTLE by 26
MELBOURNE by 14

[goldmember]

CARLTON by 22
ST KILDA by 50
BRISBANE by 18
W/COAST by 20
SWANS by 12
KANGAROOS by 4
FREEMANTLE by 26
MELBOURNE by 14

[moeee]

Carlton by 6 $1.75 Hawthorn $2.30
St.Kilda by 60 $1.05 Bulldogs $16
West Coast by 2 $1.90 Adelaide $2.10
Brisbane by 3 $1.85 Essendon $2.15
Port Power by 9 $1.65 Sydney $2.50
Geelong by 11 $1.60 Kangas $2.65
Fremantle by 24 $1.33 Richmond $4
Melbourne by 21 $1.40 Magpies $3.60

[moeee]

On 2004-06-09 14:04, sportznut wrote:
Depending on any big team changes, here are my current ratings:
Carlton 96 Hawthorn 88 $1.70 $2.45
W.Bulldogs 78 St Kilda 134 $14 $1.07
Essendon 110 Brisbane 98 $1.55 $2.75
West Coast 101 Adelaide 87 $1.50 $2.90
Port Adel 110 Sydney 90 $1.40 $3.50
Geelong 111 Kangaroos 89 $1.35 $3.75
Richmond 89 Fremantle 89 $2 $2
Melbourne 117 Collingwood 97 $1.40 $3.50

Well, there you go Moeee. I've put my neck on the chopping block there. Let's see how they go. Before you ask, no I won't be betting on a draw in the Richmond/Fremantle game! That's just the way my ratings came out. Anyway, using your pricing formula, what odds do those ratings represent?

Don't see no chopping block at all,Sportznut.
Free advice I'm seeing.Take it or leave it.
The odds for your selected draw would be $40.
You'd be pressed to get 50's anyway.No value in chasing draws.Too much time between collects.

Cheers Mo.

Sorry.Just edited the Geelong game price.
And then the Saints game.(Thanks GM)
_________________
You can only win if the odds are in your favour!

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: moeee on 2004-06-09 15:34 ]</font>

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: moeee on 2004-06-09 15:37 ]</font>

[goldmember]

ST KILDA $14 !!!!!

[goldmember]

Moeee. must be a typo

rabbitz,

1. I'm not allowed to ask? Just say so next time. By knowing much you're betting it gives me an idea of how likely you think it (BRIS by 20-39) is.

2. I haven't thought about it much yet, but let me just say this. There's a reason Brisbane by 20-39 is at $4.00.

[rabbitz]

primo It doesnt matter what I'm betting. The odds are longer because the score has to between 20-39.outside of head to head lions$1.65
and ess $2.10
and under and over 39.5 pts its actually the favourite
Lions 1-19 $4.75
Lions 20-39 $4
Lions 40-59 $6.5
Lions 60+ $11.00
ess 1-19 $4.75
ess 20-39 $5.25
ess 40-59 $6.5
ess 60+ $17
primo it may be fairly close but I thought $4
was better value than lions under 39.5 $2.35
Cheers

[rabbitz]

Ok Mo and others tips and margins
Carlton by 32
st kilda by 68
brisbane by 32
west coast by 22
sydney by 16
kangaroos BY 18
fremantle by 26
melbourne by 27

[moeee]

Looking at the margins submitted,the thing I notice most is the common denominator that St.Kilda are going to s--t in.
Last weeks effort puts me off having a bet on the St.Kilda game this week.
System says they will win by 10 goals,but my guts is saying don't bet.
Trouble is if I listen to my guts too much,I probably never get a bet on.
Appears most punters here know when to forgive a poor result.

[sportznut]

Okay, I've done a few small reassessments to my ratings. The predictions now become:

Carlton 99 Hawthorn 79
W.Bulldogs 73 St Kilda 141
Essendon 112 Brisbane 100
West Coast 101 Adelaide 87
Port Adel 110 Sydney 90
Geelong 111 Kangaroos 94
Richmond 89 Fremantle 89
Melbourne 121 Collingwood 93

Probably way off the mark but who knows?

[Floydyboy]

Correct me if im wrong but from what ive seen is that Swans play spoiling football by stacking the defensive end Yet when I watched them last week they seemed to be able to break fast from the back (more men more options I suppose)Then created there chances up front. Saints will win IMO... by how many who knows ..... about 8 goals would be nice

[goldmember]

The swans have been hard to catch for me, they seem to give port adel trouble every time they play them, i backed port in the Q/F last year and the swans beat them, overall the swans have 6 wins to 4 and have won 3/5 at AAMI stadium, so there's no home advantage to port on those stats.

Essendon have 13 wins + 1 draw from 20 at telstra dome and the lions have 8 wins + 1 draw from 16 games there, almost even there , so no big disadvantage to the lions playing there.

[goldmember]

Moeee,is the M.C.G a hoodoo for the saints [not suggesting for 1 minute that they can lose to the bulldogs] but had a look at their last 20 games there,7 wins, only 2 have been in the day [5 at night] and the last win there R10 2003 against hawthorn 118-90

[sportznut]

Well, St Kilda have only really become a strong team in the last couple of years and in that time, I don't think they've played many games at the MCG.

[goldmember]

Sportz, i realise they are better but i didn't know if they had problems there or not. In 2002-2003 they played there 5 times for 1 win against hawthorn.
There last night game there was in R22 2001, also against hawthorn, winning by 2 points, what i'm saying is that maybe at the m.c.g, at night they mightn't win by the cricket score i originally thought they would have won by, maybe only 30-40pts.

[goldmember]

Just looking at the last 5 games at the m.c.g
w/bulldogs [average]92 opposition 112
st kilda [average]90 opposition 101

[sportznut]

Well, I must say that they are almost certainly a better team at the Telstra Dome than they are at the MCG. They're practically unbeatable under the roof.

[goldmember]

I know its a long way off, but i always like to see the best two play in the grand final, hopefully brisbane and st kilda.

[rabbitz]

I think that although St Kilda are playing well they might and I'm saying just might
choke in the finals just like port.So having said that Brisbane v Essendon at the g in september with a similar result to 2001.Also regarding a teams history at a particular ground,I think st Kilda have come of age so the MCG has probably lost the old hoodoo.

[moeee]

On 2004-06-10 14:26, sportznut wrote:

Probably way off the mark but who knows?



Wish you would stop doing that Sportznut.
Ending your tips with doubt.

You're definately not pulling marbles out of a barrel there.
I'm quite sure you've put a lot of effort into your selections and I think you should show more confidence in your ability.
From what I see and what you explained,you probably have 8 winners there.
Thing is I have my own methods of selection,but I respect your results whether they come in or not.
I didn't knock you for bragging last time,but for tipping after the race.
If your tips don't correspond with mine,we can discuss and review.
I'd much rather see 8 losers tipped before the race,than 8 winners tipped afterwards.

Cheers.

[moeee]

On 2004-06-10 15:29, goldmember wrote:
Moeee,is the M.C.G a hoodoo for the saints [not suggesting for 1 minute that they can lose to the bulldogs] but had a look at their last 20 games there,7 wins, only 2 have been in the day [5 at night] and the last win there R10 2003 against hawthorn 118-90


7 out of 20.
By my reckoning that comes out to 35%
Don't know how far back you went in your travels there,Goldmember,But if you care to find out their winning percentage (St.Kilda's) overall for the same period,excluding this year,35% is probably a better than average figure.

[moeee]

Sportznut.
On your advice,my advice would be to take the double,ESSENDON and RICHMOND.

But on my advice,my advice would be to steer clear of the AFL this weekend.Maybe a trip on the banks of the Murray.
Tell you what.Take me with you and I'll pay for the petrol.

Cheers Mo.

[moeee]

Hey Sportznut.
If I could be bothered,I could have my selections ready by midnight after the last game.
I've toyed with the idea of player ratings to allow for the ins and outs,(not the clockwork orange kind),but don't know if its worth the extra effort.

Tell me,if you will,what criteria did you use to modify your selections and do you monitor whether it improves your profit margin.

[Mr J]

Very cool guys. Everyone putting out there predictions now you know how I feel!!

I've a few games so far, and I'm glad you guys agree with hawthorn taking it to carlton. My unweighted ratings had carlton -6, my weighted has it pretty much even. Like the +27.5 offered here.

Well I've got a big call here. My ratings are a bit off but StK by 9. Hey I picked it last wkend maybe I'll be right here???Doubt it.

I've got brissie by 5 so I'll be on the home team.

So scores are:
Carl-Haw 90-90
WB-StK 107-98
Ess-Bris 96-101

I think I'll need to make some mods to the system. It was created for Super 12s and works well for NRL, I just think it needs some adjustments for a much higher scoring game (AFL).

[Floydyboy]

Newcastle Knights To Win
St Kilda Saints To Win
$2.35 Fixed Odds $75.00
GET ON

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: Floydyboy on 2004-06-10 19:26 ]</font>

[sportznut]

On 2004-06-10 18:02, moeee wrote:
Wish you would stop doing that Sportznut.
Ending your tips with doubt. You're definately not pulling marbles out of a barrel there. I'm quite sure you've put a lot of effort into your selections and I think you should show more confidence in your ability.


Moeee,

I am basically a very UNconfident person and I always worry that any tips I post on here will fail dismally.

However, I've recently begun posting racing tips on the Horse Racing forum, and so far they've actually done pretty well and a few people seem to appreciate them, so I guess I really shouldn't worry so much.

[sportznut]

On 2004-06-10 18:50, moeee wrote:
Tell me,if you will,what criteria did you use to modify your selections and do you monitor whether it improves your profit margin.


Nothing major. I just basically updated my ratings on a few of the teams based on form, injuries, suspensions and the H2H record against this week's opponents. Most of the teams stayed pretty much the same however.

I am basically a very UNconfident person and I always worry that any tips I post on here will fail dismally.

However, I've recently begun posting racing tips on the Horse Racing forum, and so far they've actually done pretty well and a few people seem to appreciate them, so I guess I really shouldn't worry so much.



Busting to translate but I'm frightened that bullyboy Floydyboy will pick on me again.


Don't worry Be happy!

[Floydyboy]

Bust away to your hearts content .Ive had my say....over

[Mr J]

Sportz I was going to ask you about your GG picks.

Always looking for new bets :wink:

[sportznut]

You want me to pick the next Governor General??? :lol:

On 2004-06-10 20:35, Floydyboy wrote:
Bust away to your hearts content .Ive had my say....over


Na!! He looks so cute when he is laughing.

[Paddy]

Will you please desist Unlucky Phil. Why don’t you bugger off to that other forum, where you have to login to post. You’ll find lots of mates there :smile:

Paddy you don't sound Irish to me.

There's another forum :evil:

[Paddy]

On 2004-06-10 21:30, primo wrote:
Paddy you don't sound Irish to me.


I'll take that as a complement. Thanks :wink:

Why take it as a complement?..

I was just saying you sound like an aussie, not an Irishman. that's all.

[Paddy]

On 2004-06-10 21:44, primo wrote:
Why take it as a complement?..
I was just saying you sound like an aussie, not an Irishman. that's all.


Sound primo? What's your computer got that mine hasn't got. :lol:

"Why don’t you bugger off to that other forum, where you have to login to post. You’ll find lots of mates there"

That is Aussie talk, not something I'd expect an Irishman to say. That's all bro.

Hey primo think I'll hang out with you bro. What's it like on the other forum?

_________________


<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: Unlucky Phil on 2004-06-10 22:27 ]</font>

[quapi]

Unlucky Phil,
As you have breached the Forum Terms of Use relating to "Personal abuse or unpleasantness," you have now been restricted.

[Desi]

Sounds like I've missed all the fun boys...been out with the flu and suffering from Fremantle fever as well!!!

The break has done me a lot of good, let's hope that it brings me luck as well..

Anyway, for what its worth, I don't think Carlton will know what's hit them tomorrow and I'm taking a line bet on the Hawks (they may not win but it will be closer than the 27.5 points on offer...)

Staying away from the Dockers against the Tigers...they have to stop Richo to have a chance...that's all Im saying.

Adelaide on the line look some value against the Eagles- its been quite heavy rain over here and if that continues it will be mud wrestling...could be good for the oldie Crows to get within 22 points.

Melbourne, Geelong, Brisbane, Saints and the Port to win their respective games...

Good luck guys and again great to read your thoughts and stats!

[sportznut]

My thoughts:

Carlton vs Hawthorn
Neither of these sides are good betting propositions. On form Carlton should certainly win this, but I expect Hawthorn to really guts it out, especially after what's happened during the week. The 27.5 pts start may be a bit too much.

W.Bulldogs vs St Kilda
I think it was a good wakeup call for the Saints last week and Brad Johnson out is a real loss for the dogs. My ratings suggest a BIG win for St Kilda, but I'm not as confident of that at the MCG as if the game was at the Dome.

Essendon vs Brisbane
The Bombers are in good form winning 8 out of their last 9 and they won the last encounter between these two teams at this ground. I expect it to be pretty close, but I think the Bombers can win, so Essendon +8.5 looks okay to me. (I'll still be cheering for the Lions though)

West Coast vs Adelaide
Adelaide have a good record in Perth, but I still favour the West Coast to get up here. I think the 22.5 points start could be a bit too much though. The Crows will be determined this week after an awful loss last week.

Port Adel vs Sydney
Sydney beat Port the last time they played here, but that was a final and we all know what happens to the Power in finals. I think Port can get up in this one, but I don't really expect a big margin though.

Geelong vs Kangaroos
The Kangaroos have a GREAT record against Geelong, but this is a vastly improved Cats team from previous years and their recent form has been excellent. I think they should win this one, but the Roos will certainly be tough and once again it could be less than 20 points.

Richmond vs Fremantle
My ratings suggest a very close match here, but neither of these teams really inspires any betting confidence for this game. The Tigers certainly have a great record against Fremantle at the MCG, but their current form is terrible. Who knows?

Melbourne vs Collingwood
The Demons are the surprise of the competition, although this IS an even numbered year, so we should have expected it. On form, Melbourne should have too much for the Magpies. Although Buckley is back, they could be without Tarrant AND Rocca. I feel the Demons should prevail by over 20 points.

[moeee]

On 2004-06-10 23:08, quapi wrote:
Unlucky Phil,
As you have breached the Forum Terms of Use relating to "Personal abuse or unpleasantness," you have now been restricted.




Does that mean I apologised and it wasn't even me ?

Mo.

[quapi]

It's good to own up, though.

Someone else didn't apologise and continued on as before.

[goldmember]

Moeee, did you know something we didn't when you quoted st kilda $14.00 and w/bulldogs $1.07

[goldmember]

moeee, i went back to the P/F in 1997 for overall matches to correspond to there last 20 at the m.c.g and they played 136 games for 46 wins [+ 2 draws], roughly 34%

[sportznut]

Well, they could be in trouble, because to win the title they've got to be able to win at the MCG and there's no doubt that they're a better team at the Dome.

[moeee]

On 2004-06-12 17:19, goldmember wrote:
Moeee, did you know something we didn't when you quoted st kilda $14.00 and w/bulldogs $1.07


No,but you knew something I didn't.HOW TO TYPE.

And further to that as an edit,just goes to show there ain't no hoodoo,just consistency.

Some games are worth betting on and some ain't.We all thought the Saints would shit in.I never lost a cent on them.


<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: moeee on 2004-06-12 17:53 ]</font>

Why has west coast eagles return gone from $1.33 to $1.42 ?

[sportznut]

On 2004-06-12 17:47, moeee wrote:
Some games are worth betting on and some ain't.We all thought the Saints would shit in.I never lost a cent on them.


Yeah, I agree there. I must admit that I thought the Saints would win and probably win well today, but they were never a good betting proposition in this match at $1.10 and -42.5.

I did however back the Bombers tonight with 8.5 start and it looks like that bet is down the drain. Can't say I'm totally upset though. Go Lions!

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-06-12 21:20 ]</font>

West Coast beat Adelaide
Brisbane beat Essendon

[sportznut]

The games aren't over yet Primo, although I think you're very safe in those assumptions. :smile:

[goldmember]

I think essendon are christians, because they were thrown to the lions. GO LIONS = 4 at the door

[rabbitz]

lions by 60+ was paying $11.00 on Unitab
I took lions 20-39 at $4.00
anyone got a crystal ball there not using
The above game will be repeated in september but I'm not sure who the opposition will be
No one is putting their hands up high enough

[Floydyboy]

Floydyboy wrote:
Newcastle Knights To Win
St Kilda Saints To Win
$2.35 Fixed Odds $75.00
GET ON ..............(the opposition )

[goldmember]

They still have a couple of players to come back in ,where are they going to put them??

[goldmember]

DON'T BE HARD ON YA SELF, BEFORE THE GAME EVERYONE THOUGHT THE SAINTS WOULD WIN AND MOST THOUGHT THE KNIGHTS[ I WASN'T SURE]

[Floydyboy]

No excuses with the saints ..But I jumped in early couldnt resist the odds on the Knights I thought Ben Kennedy was playing then they say hes going to Manly and hes not playing It was a big influence in my betting ...But I also thought the Storm was the easiest money of the weekend ....so there ya go

[Mr J]

I only had the Saints by 9. I also had Souths winning outright :wink:

[goldmember]

Yeah, b.kennedy was suppose to play ? a bit sus to me, although there was a doubt on j. perry, he's got a bad back, but with no johns,buderus and kennedy to do all the hard stuff, i was weary and stayed out of the game, i've jumped in early before and got burned, so i have learnt the hard way too, i nearly jumped on the swans as i thought they could win and then o'loughlin, barry and doyle came out, so lucky i didn't, because now, i think port will probably win.

[goldmember]

Mr J, good tip, as i said on the nrl post very close, did you have a good win on them?

I had Eagles by under 39.5. 15 minutes into 4th quarter they were up by 55, but ended up winning by just 32.

[goldmember]

good call primo, i know that the crows had a good record over there, but watching them recently i couldn't back them with monopoly money, keep on winning champ.

[Mr J]

Goldmember, had 1 unit on the +13 and 0.5u on the outright. It ended up saving the day where I went 2-4 (but even thanks the outright on souths).

Souths hit back and take it. 1-0
Knights weren't even a chance. 1-1
Essendon getting slaughtered. 1-2
Adelaide letting the Eagles get away for a large lead, although I think they did pretty well to make it a more respectable scoreline. 1-3
Nice win on the Western Bulldogs. 2-3
Last of all was the killer canberra-cronulla match where I only needed the Sharks to convert that last try. Course the kick was from the sideline and horrible, and never looked like going over. 2-4

primo
Joined: 05-23-2004 02:25
Posts: 64
From: Australia
Posted: 2004-06-08 18:48
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Does this look like a good bet...

Pick 6
Brisbane-West Coast-Port-Geelong-Fremantle-Melbourne

at $11 - is that good or is that good.
Give me a good reason not to make this bet, besides the possibility of an upset.

---------------------

Well all I need now is Melbourne to win.

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: primo on 2004-06-13 16:46 ]</font>

[Mr J]

You should be asking yourself whether the bet is value. Since Melb is the fave, there is less likely to be value. Course the bookies aren't too sharp so Melbourne might very well be the play. I'll be on collingwood to cover the handicap though.

[Floydyboy]

Buena Fortuna Primo

[Floydyboy]

Where do you go to get the latest NRL,AFL scratchings ,the NRL official site is useless .Are there updated teamlists somewhere or do you just get them from reports

[goldmember]

Floydy, i listen to the big sports breakfast show on 2ky and they have any late changes [ from the teams on the NRL site on wednesday]on thursday and friday mornings from 7.30- 8.00am , and 2gb on saturdays and sundays at midday. As for the AFL,[we dont get much coverage up here] after the footy show on thursday nights i can only pick up any changes on the tv, sports tonight on ch 10 or any on the radio[only when the swans play] THAT SUX

[Floydyboy]

I dont care whos on the bench as long as they are there but even the Club sites dont seem to tell you .You think they would .The knights site had Kennedy going to manly but still in the team ....winge whine bitch lol

[goldmember]

Him going to manly didn't make any differnce to being named in the team, he was 'supposed to be injured'as he always is,hmmm, maybe he is saving himself for manly??, only joking,here we call him the plastercine man

[moeee]

Kevin Sheedy sometimes names players,and then just before the start,there is a late replacement.
I believe there is a fine associated with late replacement.

[goldmember]

In the league you have to finalise your team 1 hour before kick off, so what chance do the punters have before that,not much, but in their defence their there to win games, they don't give a .... if your betting on the games.

[Mr J]

You don't need to know the lineup to profit.

[Mr J]

Well collingwood +19.5 now puts me at 5-3 on AFL for the weekend.

[rabbitz]

Moeee and others
9/14 in the big multi following 7/9 last week
on a lighter note I managed to jag the Flemington treble here in QLD and I only spent $6 for a half unit....It paid $4650.50
So you could say happy days are here again.Cheers
P.s. I couldn't post the selections here as I had no idea until about 2 minutes before the jump of the first leg.
P.P.S You can only win if you've got massive odds in your favour.

[Floydyboy]

Four and a Half Grand + plus change for drinks..Nice Darts Bugsy ..... YOUR SHOUT
...Schooner of GOLD for me thanks

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: Floydyboy on 2004-06-15 08:24 ]</font>

[moeee]

Over 4 grand.

Is that the Rabbitz Rabbitz or the not Rabbitz Rabbitz ?

Tell the truth.Will the real Rabbitz please stand up.

[rabbitz]

I am the real rabbitz,just like the real rabbitz on Saturday night against melb storm
Floydyboy,one schooner of gold available
dont know what you drink Moeee.Dont tell me a schooner of moet
Cheers